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Tech Trends - Week 12

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College Football Trends

Thursday, Nov. 22
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Houston Texans at Detroit Lions Lions on Thanksgiving not so hot...no wins or covers last 8 on Turkey Day! Lions 3-7 vs. line last 10 at Ford Field, while Texans are 21-8 last 29 vs. line overall. Lions also "over" 29-15-2 since late 2009. Texans and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys Dallas 5-1 SU and vs. spread last six Thanksgivings. But Cowboys 0-4 vs. line at home TY, no covers last seven at Arlington, 2-11 13 at home vs. spread. Skins have covered last five at Big D, and Shan 4-0 vs. line vs. Dallas since 2010. Skins, based on team and series trends.
New England Patriots at New York Jets This series is "over" six in a row, and Belichick now "over" 36-12 since late in the 2009 season, Jets "over" 33-16 since late '09. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Sunday, Nov. 25 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals Raiders "over" 7-3 TY, "over" 17-9 since 2011, "over" 27-15 since 2010. Bengals 3-7-1 as home chalk since 2010, 3-13-1 in role since 2009. "Over" and slight to Raiders, based on "totals" and team trends.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Steelers have won 16 of last 17 SU vs. Browns (last loss was at Cleveland on a Thursday night in 2009), although Cleveland covered both meetings LY. Steel has covered its last two on road but still just 4-11 vs. number last 15 away from Heinz Field. Browns 11-5-1 last 17 on board. Browns, based on team trends.
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts Colts 4-1 SU and vs. line at home TY. Colts, based on team trends.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Broncos have covered last three at Arrowhead. Chiefs "over" 6-3 TY, Denver "over" 7-3 TY and 34-15 since late 2009. Although last three "under" between these old AFL rivals. Broncos and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Remember, road team has covered first ten J'ville games this season, with Jags 0-5 vs. spread at EverBank Field. Titans, based on team trends.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears Bears no covers their last three at home TY, but Vikes only 1-3 vs. points away. Bears have won and covered last five meetings. Bears, based on series trends.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Bucs have covered last four and 8 of 10 this season. Schiano also "over" 5-01 last six in 2012. Falcs 4-1 vs. line away TY. "Over," based on recent Bucs "totals" trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins Dolphins fading with SU and spread losses in last three. Meanwhile, Pete Carroll 7-3 vs. line TY, 18-6 last 24 on board. Seahawks "under" 4-1 away TY, Miami "under" 6-3-1 overall TY and "under" 18-7-1 since LY. Dolphins only 1-3 vs. line at home TY. Seahawks and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
Sunday, Nov. 25 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers Norv 1-5 SU and 2-4 vs. line last six TY. But Ravens no covers in both LY after facing Steelers and 3-6 vs. line last nine in role. Ravens, based on recent Norv woes.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints 49ers only 3-5 vs. line last 8 on road since late LY. Saints have covered last three at Superdome TY, now 12-2 SU vs. line at home since LY. Slight to Saints, based on team trends.
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals Cards "under" 8-2 TY and "under" 13-5-1 since mid 2010. "Unders" 8-1 last nine in series. "Under," based on "totals" trends.
Sunday, Nov. 25 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Green Bay Packers at NEw York Giants Since 2007, Pack has won all three reg.-season games vs. NYG (Pack 2-1 vs. line in those) but has lost both playoff games vs. G-Men. Pack "over" 19-9 since late in 2010 season. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.
Monday, Nov. 26 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles Andy Reid 1-9 vs. line TY and 0-6 as chalk. Also 0-5 vs. line at Linc TY. Panthers have covered last three on road TY. Birds "over" 4-1 at home TY. Panthers and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

  
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