Sharp Moves - Week 7
October 18, 2013
By Mike Rose
Editor’s Note: Don't miss out on Week 7 Winners from Mike Rose on VegasInsider.com!
We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that look a lot sharper than others. Here’s a look at some of the best spots on the Week 7 board.
All betting percentages courtesy of VegasInsider.com matchups as of Friday afternoon
(Rotation #413) Tampa Bay +7 – The Falcons have so many injuries right now that it’s no laughing matter. Joe Public doesn't seem to care, as it thinks that Tampa Bay's winless record is enough to keep it on the wrong side of the number on Sunday at the Georgia Dome. Little does the public remember that the Buccaneers are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 visits to Hot 'Lanta.
Opening Line: Tampa Bay +8.5
Current Line: Tampa Bay +7
Public Betting Percentage: 62% on Atlanta
(Rotation #398) New York +3.5 – There's no way that QB Tom Brady and the gang couldn't cover 3 ½ lousy points against the Jets, right? That's the perception right now, but we aren't so sure that it’s truly a reality. New York has a team that can contend for a spot in the playoffs for sure in the weakened AFC, and this is a game that is winnable, especially with the Patriots missing three massive starters in their front seven defensively.
Opening Line: New York +3.5
Current Line: New York +3.5
Public Betting Percentage: 74% on New England
(Rotation #401) Houston +6.5 – The Texans are sliding in a bad way. You'd figure that starting QB Case Keenum would have caused the betting lines to move, but sharp action probably thinks that this Houston team might actually have more talent on it, even with the Keenum at quarterback, than the undefeated Chiefs have. Remember that KC really hasn't played much of anyone all year long.
Opening Line: Houston +6.5
Current Line: Houston +6.5
Public Betting Percentage: 70% on Kansas City
(Rotation #423) Minnesota +3.5 – The Giants have yet to win a game this season, but they are actually laying points on Monday Night Football against the Vikings. Starting QB Josh Freeman isn't helping matters any for the Vikings, knowing that he is starting after just 12 days of being on the team, but the Giants can't stop the run either. RB Adrian Peterson might have a field day. Having the MNF bias certainly helps out the case for the dogs.
Opening Line: Minnesota +3.5
Current Line: Minnesota +3.5
Public Betting Percentages: 66% on New York
7-1 L2 Sundays, 25-12 NFL Run
12-3 G-Play Run, +1,115 TY
8-1 Last 9 NFL Guarantees
8-1 L9 Totals, 11-4 L15 Selections
7-1 L8 G-Plays, 11-5 Totals TY
9-3 L12 G-Plays, 3-1 L4 Mondays
6-1 Thursdays TY, 11-6 L17 GPlays
5-2 Last 7 NFL Guarantees
8-3 Last 11 Guaranteed Plays
3-0 L3 Thurs., 7-3 L10 Picks
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