User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto Racing
Horses
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
Divisional Playoff History

New Sportsbook.com customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

   

Editor’s Note: Don’t miss out on Bruce Marshall’s pro football playoff selections on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!

Divisional Playoff games have historically been the territory of home teams and favorites (almost always one and the same), their dominance has not been especially pronounced in recent years. Indeed, since the 2004 postseason, road underdogs stand 23-16 against the number in the Division Round.

Advertisement
Remember some dynamics worth mentioning that are unique to this round. Since 1990, when the playoffs expanded from 10 teams to 12, all Division Round hosts have been off a "bye" and a week of rest.

And almost all of the "powerhouse" NFL teams in recent memory are from that first-round "bye" group, including 54 of the last 70 Super Bowl participants since '78 (when the first-round "bye" was introduced).

However, at least one top conference seed has met defeat in seven of the past eight seasons, including Denver in the AFC a year ago.

Also identifiable with this round are lopsided results, which have recurred with regularity over the decades. In fact, since 1975, more than half of these games have been decided by double-digit margins.

Favored teams laying a TD or more (usually representing the cream of the NFL crop) have covered at a 56% (42-33-1) in the Division Round since '75.

The strongest trend in recent years has been on the "totals" side, "overs" in particular, now 11-1 since the 2010 season playoffs (and 4-0 a year ago).

Following are the point-spread results in various spread categories of NFL Division Round playoff games since 1975. Our "charting" begins with the '75 season because, prior to then, playoff home teams were predetermined in a divisional rotation, as opposed to the better won-loss record.

A "margin of victory" chart for the games since 1975 is included as well.

CATEGORY RESULT

Favorites vs. line... 76-72-3 (1 pick)
Favorites straight up... 104-47
Favored by 0-3 points... 9-15-1
Favored by 31/2-61/2 points... 26-23-1
Favored by 7-91/2 points... 27-22
Favored by 10-131/2 points... 12-8
Favored by 14 points or more... 3-3-1
Home teams straight up... 107-45
Home teams vs. spread... 79-70-3
Home favorites vs. spread... 74-68-3
Home underdogs vs. spread... 4-2
Home picks vs. spread... 1-0
Over/under (since 1986...) 60-48

MARGINS OF VICTORY

1-3 points... 36
4-6 points... 12
7-10 points... 26
11-13 points... 12
14 points or more... 66

  
HEADLINES
Marshall: NFL Draft Analysis
News: Johnny Football Props
News: CG posts 2014 Win Totals
WR Rice agrees to terms with 'Hawks
Vikings sign safety Kurt Coleman
Jets sign former Titans RB Chris Johnson
Giants sign QB Josh Freeman as backup
Backup QB Flynn returns to Packers
Judge again rejects NFL's $765M deal
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
VegasInsider.com Gold Membership
2013 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Nelson + 1340
Chip Chirimbes + 1286
The Gold Sheet + 1262
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mike Rose + 200
Pat Hawkins + 120
Chip Chirimbes + 100
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Joe Nelson 60 %
The SportsBoss 59 %
The Gold Sheet 59 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Nelson + 805
The Gold Sheet + 713
Scott Pritchard + 615
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Dave Cokin + 400
Joe Williams + 324
Tony Stoffo + 203
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
ASA + 670
The SportsBoss + 385
Brian Edwards + 337
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!