User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Horses
Golf
Auto
Soccer
More
Betting Tools

 
Divisional Playoff History

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Editor’s Note: Don’t miss out on Bruce Marshall’s pro football playoff selections on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!

Divisional Playoff games have historically been the territory of home teams and favorites (almost always one and the same), their dominance has not been especially pronounced in recent years. Indeed, since the 2004 postseason, road underdogs stand 23-16 against the number in the Division Round.

Advertisement
Remember some dynamics worth mentioning that are unique to this round. Since 1990, when the playoffs expanded from 10 teams to 12, all Division Round hosts have been off a "bye" and a week of rest.

And almost all of the "powerhouse" NFL teams in recent memory are from that first-round "bye" group, including 54 of the last 70 Super Bowl participants since '78 (when the first-round "bye" was introduced).

However, at least one top conference seed has met defeat in seven of the past eight seasons, including Denver in the AFC a year ago.

Also identifiable with this round are lopsided results, which have recurred with regularity over the decades. In fact, since 1975, more than half of these games have been decided by double-digit margins.

Favored teams laying a TD or more (usually representing the cream of the NFL crop) have covered at a 56% (42-33-1) in the Division Round since '75.

The strongest trend in recent years has been on the "totals" side, "overs" in particular, now 11-1 since the 2010 season playoffs (and 4-0 a year ago).

Following are the point-spread results in various spread categories of NFL Division Round playoff games since 1975. Our "charting" begins with the '75 season because, prior to then, playoff home teams were predetermined in a divisional rotation, as opposed to the better won-loss record.

A "margin of victory" chart for the games since 1975 is included as well.

CATEGORY RESULT

Favorites vs. line... 76-72-3 (1 pick)
Favorites straight up... 104-47
Favored by 0-3 points... 9-15-1
Favored by 31/2-61/2 points... 26-23-1
Favored by 7-91/2 points... 27-22
Favored by 10-131/2 points... 12-8
Favored by 14 points or more... 3-3-1
Home teams straight up... 107-45
Home teams vs. spread... 79-70-3
Home favorites vs. spread... 74-68-3
Home underdogs vs. spread... 4-2
Home picks vs. spread... 1-0
Over/under (since 1986...) 60-48

MARGINS OF VICTORY

1-3 points... 36
4-6 points... 12
7-10 points... 26
11-13 points... 12
14 points or more... 66

  
HEADLINES
David: 2015 SuperContest open!
News: Books make Winston ROY favorite
Steelers looking to host 2023 SBowl
LB Spikes pleads guilty in hit-and-run
Bills add OT Hunter, last played in 2012
Ex-Cowboy Spillman arrested for assault
Hernandez murder conviction to stand
Eagles sign G Moffitt, release Manhart
Hyundai is new NFL auto sponsor
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
VegasInsider.com Gold Membership
2014 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Vince Akins + 1826
Joe Williams + 1594
Bruce Marshall + 1341
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 100
Mark Franco + 100
Doc's Sports + 100
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Vince Akins 57 %
Doc's Sports 57 %
Stephen Nover 56 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 630
Marc Lawrence + 610
Vince Akins + 436
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 1252
Hank Goldberg + 505
Joe Williams + 273
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 1114
The Gold Sheet + 1043
Stephen Nover + 750
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Daily Fantasy Sager Bomb