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WCup - Regional Breakdown

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Group Breakdown

With the World Cup weeks away let’s first take a look at how each confederation has performed in the last five World Cup’s to get a feel for approximate success rate of reaching the knockout stage & deeper into the tournament:

World Cups - 1992-2010
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 8 1 - - -
CONMEBOL 15 10 4 3 2
UEFA 46 26 15 7 3
AFC 5 1 - - -
CAF 5 2 1 - -
OFC 1 - - - -


This matrix probably comes as no surprise to many soccer fans, but perhaps the domination of the UEFA region is – they have placed the following %’s of teams in each round:

-- Round of 16: 57.5%
-- Quarterfinals: 65.0%
-- Semifinals: 75.0%
-- Final: 70.0%
-- Champion: 60%

That is pure & utter domination folks – take a look at the semifinal round for example: 20 teams have reached that stage over the last 5 World Cups and 15 of those teams were from UEFA!

There also has been only one team that has reached the semifinal round from outside CONMEBOL or UEFA during that time period – that was 2002 South Korea, who reached that round playing nearly home games in Japan. Otherwise it has been domination of CONMEBOL & UEFA – and with this year’s tournament taking place in Brazil I look for similar splits when all is said & done.

To give even more of a feel for how strong the UEFA confederation is here are the Top 50 teams in the FIFA World Rankings that are NOT playing in the 2014 World Cup:

Performance Ratings
Country Region Rank
UKRAINE UEFA 17
SCOTLAND UEFA 22
DENMARK UEFA 23
EGYPT CAF 24
SWEDEN UEFA 25
SLOVENIA UEFA 29
SERBIA UEFA 30
ROMANIA UEFA 32
ARMENIA UEFA 33
PANAMA CONCACAF 35
CZECH REPUBLIC UEFA 36
TURKEY UEFA 39
AUSTRIA UEFA 40
VENEZUELA CONMEBOL 41
PERU CONMEBOL 42
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CAF 42
HUNGARY UEFA 45
SLOVAKIA UEFA 46
WALES UEFA 47
TUNISIA CAF 49


We can see from this list how dominant the UEFA confederation is as 13 of the 32 entrants in the 2014 World Cup come from UEFA, while 14 teams currently ranked inside the Top 50 World Rankings come from UEFA as well.

Keeping with this theme let’s now take a look at year by year results by confederation – the sum of these five breakdowns will equal the splits in the green matrix above:

2010
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 2 - - - -
CONMEBOL 5 4 1 - -
UEFA 6 3 3 2 1
AFC 2 - - - -
CAF 1 1 - - -
OFC - - - - -


2006
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 1 - - - -
CONMEBOL 3 2 - - -
UEFA 10 6 4 2 1
AFC - - - - -
CAF 1 - - - -
OFC 1 - - - -


2002
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 2 1 - - -
CONMEBOL 2 1 1 1 1
UEFA 9 4 2 1 -
AFC 2 1 - - -
CAF 1 1 1 - -
OFC - - - - -


1998
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 1 - - - -
CONMEBOL 3 2 1 1 -
UEFA 11 6 3 1 1
AFC - - - - -
CAF 1 - - - -
OFC - - - - -


1994
Region 16 QF SF FINAL WINNER
CONCACAF 2 - - - -
CONMEBOL 2 1 1 1 1
UEFA 10 7 3 1 -
AFC 1 - - - -
CAF 1 - - - -
OFC - - - - -


Going back to 1994 & 1998 is almost certainly too far back to have an impact on this year’s tournament, as is perhaps 2002, but it still can provide a feel for the type of breakdown we can expect when filling out your bracket.

In case you are not familiar with the confederations I have laid out above here is a breakdown showing which teams will represent them in this year’s tournament:

AFC: Australia, Iran, Japan, South Korea

CAF: Algeria, Cameroon, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Nigeria

CONCACAF: Costa Rica, Honduras, Mexico, United States

CONMEBOL: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Uruguay

UEFA: Belgium, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Croatia, England, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Switzerland

*No teams qualified for the 2014 World Cup from OFC



  
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