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At the Gate - Thursday
November 25, 2009
By Mike Dempsey
VegasInsider.com
T he feature today at the Big A is the $100,000 Highweight Handicap (G3), and if jockeys want to hit the buffet before the race, it won’t be a problem.
Horses will be carrying from 123 to 134 pounds, with the likely favorite Go Go Shoot the top weight in the ten horse field.
The four year old gelding is part of a entry sent out by the Repole Stable. Since trainer Bruce Levine took over the training duties back in April, the gelding has won two stakes and popped a 109 Beyer not once but twice.
The gelding figures to bounce back off his fourth place finish in the Vosburgh (G1), but the price may end up on the light side.
I am going to go with the up and coming Sean Avery, who beat first level allowance company in his last start for trainer Mike Hushion.
The action gets underway early this morning, with a first post at Aqueduct of 11:25 am ET. The nine race card concludes at 3:10pm ET, which will give me about twenty minutes to make the drive to the in laws.
Enjoy the holiday and don’t forget there is some outstanding racing throughout the holiday weekend.
To purchase my full card report for Aqueduct that includes analysis, selections, fair odds, and wagering recommendations for today, click here.
Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Clm $16,000 (11:25 ET) #1 Debbie's Fast Girl 5/1 #4 Choosing 7/2 #6 Elena's Princess 2/1 #9 Double Dinghy Day 6/1
Analysis: #1 Debbie's Fast Girl stalked the early pace form the inside and finished evenly when angled out in the stretch in a fourth place finish against $25K claimers. The runner up #6 Elena's Princess came back to beat $16K claimers in her next outing on Nov. 8. The filly is a four time winner on turf and has done some of her best work over ground with some give to it, which we should see again today. The turf course was listed as yielding for yesterday's card. She beat state bred Alw-1 foes four back over soft footing four back. I like the jock switch to Prado and the 5/1 ML looks fair enough.
#4 Choosing made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out behind the loose on the lead gate to wire winner #6 Elena's Princess. She looks to be heading back into good form here as she makes her third start for the Jacobson barn, who claimed her for $25K back in August. She has landed in the exacta in 6 of 8 trips this year.
Wagering WIN: #1 to win at 3/1 or better. EX: 1,4 / 1,4,6,9 TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,6,9 / 1,4,6,9,10,13
Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 Fall Highweight Hcp G3 (2:42 ET) #3 Sean Avery 9/2 #1 The Roundhouse / #1a Go Go Shoot 5/2 #9 Greenspring 5/1 #6 Ah Day 6/1
Analysis: #3 Sean Avery gets the call and I like the equine version much better than I like the hockey player. The gelding takes on stakes company for the first time here after a sharp Alw-1 score last out off a two month break. The gelding should get a good tracking trip sitting off what likely is going to be a sharp early pace. He is getting ten pounds from the likely favorite and still appears to have some upside potential.
#1a Go Go Shoot has run huge twice since Levine took over the training duties, popping a couple of 109 Beyers winning the Longfellow and running second in the Vanderbilt (G2). The gelding set the early fractions and had nothing left late last out in the Vosburgh (G1). He faces an easier group here and looks tough if he can shake loose. His entrymate #1 The Roundhouse will be one of the late closers. We have lost a few bucks on this guy since he ran a good third in the Churchill Downs 'Cap (G2) back in May, winning just 1 of 6 since that outing.
#8 Greenspring beat Alw-3 optional claimers last out at Laurel Park and ships in from Maryland for a sharp barn in Grove. Hard to knock a guy that has won 4 of 5 but he really did not beat much last out while earning a solid fig. If his price drifts up a few points he will be more attractive.
Wagering WIN: #3 to win at 3/1 or better. EX: 1,3 / 1,3,6,9 TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,6,9 / 1,3,6,8 / 1,3,6,8,9
Live Longshots: These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct R3: #2 Missing Blue / #2b Angelic Aura 20/1 R4: #4 Good Karma 10/1 R4: #1 Really Somebody 15/1 R5: #1 Ouchy Night 8/1 R6: #4 My Friend Sandy 15/1 R7: #4 Too Amenable 10/1 R7: #6 Beneath the Crown 20/1
Good luck today!
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