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At the Gate - Wednesday
 
 
 

It certainly is not glamorous, but it sure can be profitable.

The Aqueduct winter meeting kicks off today, with racing moving from the main dirt track to the winterized inner dirt.

This is the last week we will see turf racing in New York until spring.

So why the heck am I so excited?

For some reason, the inner track at the Big A has been very friendly to my bankroll over the past few years, and I am hoping for more of the same this winter.

A combination of key trainers, horses for the course, and knowing who the speed is is vital in handicapping the inner dirt.

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Many think early speed is king on the inner surface, and at times that is true.

However, let’s not go overboard by betting on any horse that can get their head in front in the first furlong.

If we go back to last December and January at Aqueduct, I found just five days where I thought there was an inside speed bias.

For the most part the inner track played fair, and stalkers and closers actually had the advantage on five days during the two month period.

I’ll take a wait and see approach this week to see how the track plays, and the weather can certainly have an affect as well.

It looks like we will have a fast track to start the meeting, and a solid nine race card including an overnight stake.

To purchase my full card report for Aqueduct that includes analysis, selections, fair odds, and wagering recommendations for today, click here.

Here is today's opening race from Aqueduct to get our day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:30 ET)
#7 Samurai Moon 8/1
#6 Driven by Solar 7/5
#5 Nearly There 6/1
#1 Pent Up / #1a Believe in Love 3/1

Analysis: We move to the inner dirt today. #7 Samurai Moon is making his second start off a 5 1/2 month layoff and note the gelding took some play in both of his starts, sent off at 3/1 in his debut where he ran fourth and 2/1 last out off the bench, pressing a sharp early pace and tiring to finish fifth. There is plenty of early zip in here and breaking from the outside should give Garcia some options, and I hope he decides to track what should be a lively pace. The gelding is by FuPeg out of a Capote mare that has dropped one other foal to race, stakes winner Giant Moon ($396K). Decent value here if we catch most of the 8/1 ML.

#6 Driven by Solar is making his first start since February for the Pletcher barn that is 17% winners with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff. He ran into repeat winners in his first two starts and was put on the shelf after dueling for the early lead and fading to finish fifth last out going a mile on the inner. If he runs back to the figure he earned two back in his last sprint he would be tough here but hard to like him at the 7/5 ML price.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 9/2 or better.
EX: 6,7 / 1,5,6,7
TRI: 6,7 / 1,5,6,7 / 1,3,5,6,7

Today's Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 Tate S. (3:44 ET)
#7 Bold Union 2/1
#9 Yes She's a Lady 6/1
#1 Powder Princess 4/1
#2 Boodles 7/2

Analysis: #7 Bold Union dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish third last out in the slop at the Big M in the Seton Hall. The winner of the race was Tar Heel Mom, who returned to win the In Her Glory here on Nov. 11. She was in deep in her previous starts running with Informed Decision and Sara Louise. She has not seen a fast dirt surface since earning a career top winning a stake at Penn back in July. A couple of bullet works in NJ on the morning tab for a sharp barn in Breen.

#9 Yes She's a Lady set the early fractions and faded to finish fifth last out in the Poker Night, which was her first go off a 5 1/2 month layoff. This filly ran big two back in May in a one turn mile in the Deceit, winning by ten lengths. She is the lone runner in here with a win on the inner surface, breaking her maiden going long back in February. She should be tighter second off the bench.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 9/5 or better.
EX: 7,9 / 1,2,7,9
TRI: 7,9 / 1,2,7,9 / 1,2,3,7,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #7 Samurai Moon 8/1
R4: #9 Southern Princess 8/1
R6: #5 Dreamnote 10/1
R7: #9 Crafty Shocked 10/1
R7: #7 Way to Karakorum 12/1
R9: #2 Lemon Shore 12/1

Good luck today!

  
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Game On Dude wins at Santa Anita
I'll Have Another wins Lewis Stakes
Hansen, Union Rags head TC nominees
MORE HEADLINES
 
  HORSE RACING EXPERT
 
  Mike Dempsey
Mike covers the New York racing circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont Park, and Saratoga) year round as well as Keeneland, Churchill Downs, the Triple Crown, and the Breeders’ Cup.

For the third time in the last five years VI subscribers using Mike’s Reports had the winner of the Kentucky Derby. In 2011 Mike nailed Animal Kingdom with his top pick, the upset winner paying $43.20 to win, $19.60 to place & $13.00 to show!

In the 2010 Kentucky Derby, Mike hit Super Saver with his top pick, the winner returning $18.00, $8.80, and $6.00.

Street Sense was his top pick in 2007, the winner returning $11.80, $6.40, and $4.60.

No handicapper in the industry works harder to bring you analysis that produces profits at the track!

Mike’s Reports include his selections, detailed analysis, a fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for the entire card.

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Jerry "Shots" Sessa has been involved in horse racing for over 30 years. He now brings his meticulous handicapping style to VegasInsider.com. When Jerry posts picks you are getting his best bets...when you win, he wins.

Jerry's debut on Friday 5/30/08 on VI resulted in 7 out of 10 winners at Mountaineer! His Best Bet in the 6th race cashed in for $25 on a $2 bet.

Jerry looks forward to working with everyone and making money for anyone who invests in his picks on a daily basis.

Join Jerry everyday with daily picks from Aqueduct or choose a package that contains selections from Multiple Tracks for the LOW PRICE of $14.95! Or better yet, how about 30 Days of horse racing picks with his Monthly Racing Package for ONLY $99.95!
 
 
  
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