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At the Gate - Thursday
December 17, 2009
By Mike Dempsey
VegasInsider.com
W ednesday night proved profitable as we headed off to Charles Town, Turfway Park, and Delta Downs.
I had three winners on top in ten races, good for a +31% +ROI for the evening. We knocked down four exactas, paying $16.00, $48.00, $37.20, and $52.60.
That sure beat spending the evening at the mall doing some Christmas shopping.
I did not get around to looking at Charles Town, but I think I came up with several playable races at Turfway Park and Delta Downs for Thursday evening:
Turfway Park Race 2 #4 Inquisition was the beaten fav last out at Hawthorne at this level, checking in fourth. The runner up and fifth place finisher in the race both came back to win their next starts. He is back with McPeek and his lone go on the fake stuff was a decent fourth versus $7.5K non-winners of two back in October. Use #6,#11,#8 in exotics.
Turfway Park Race 4 #10 Archie Tucker set the early fractions and tired to finish ninth against open $5K claimers. Three back when last in for restricted company the gelding beat $10K non-winners of three over the main track here. The gelding has won 3 of 9 over the poly here. The gelding drops into a softer spot here facing non-winners of three in ’09 or non-winners of four lifetime. Use #6,#11,!2 in exotics.
Turfway Park Race 7 #5 Touch of Success stretches out to a mile after finishing a non-threatening seventh going six furlongs. The filly has only been two turns once in her career, a fifth place finish three back where the filly was fanned out seven wide for the stretch drive, making a mild late run. The barn is 21% winners moving runners from sprint to route. Has the look of a live longshot here and worth a look if we catch most of the 12/1 morning line. Use #6,#8,#2 in exotics.
Turfway Park Race 8 #5 Oh Charlie Boy faded badly in the Iroquois last out at Churchill Downs going a mile, drops in class, and returns to the fake stuff. Two back at Presque Isle in his stakes debut he was fifth in a highly graded race won by Noble’s Promise, who exited that race to win the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) at Keeneland, then run a game third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1). The colt is one of two in here that has beaten winners, taking a Alw-2L race at Mountaineer Park in August in his first go against winners. Use #2,#1,#4 in exotics.
Delta Downs Race 7 #8 El Tormento could get the late Pick 4 off to a good start if he can score near his 15/1 morning line. The gelding dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish fifth last out in his first go off a three-month break. Two back he was fourth behind repeat winner My Project Runway, who beat $3.5K non-winners of three in his next start. The gelding does not need to move forward all that much second off the bench to be in the mix here. Use #7,#5,#6 in exotics.
Delta Downs Race 8 #8 Cold and Windswept was a sharp winner against $4K claimers last out in her first go off nearly a three-month break. The mare has now won 3 of 7 over the main track for the Richey barn that is hitting at a 37% clip at the meeting. Looks capable of wining right back. Use #9,#5,#2 in exotics.
Delta Downs Race 9 #4 Passion Rules is a Woodbine invader and will be making his first start on conventional dirt. The Asmussen trainee ran huge in his second career start going five furlongs on the fake stuff, drawing clear to win by ten lengths. He looks like he has been facing tougher than he catches here. The gelding has four sibs that are winners including stakes winner Party Maker (3 for 5, $114K). Use #8,#1,#7 in exotics.
Delta Downs Race 10 #3 Abram’s Creek was dismissed at 26/1 in his debut but shoed some good early speed dueling for the early lead before weakening to finish sixth. The winner Mountain Ride came back to beat $10K non-winners of two in his next outing on Nov. 18. The third place finisher in the race was Resolved Issue, who checked in third in the state bred Kudzu on Dec. 11. Lasix is added to the mix here. Use #9,#8,#2 in exotics.
Good luck today!
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