NBA Best Bets Today | Expert Picks for Thursday, March 28

Boston was upset last time out by a 120-118 score by this same Atlanta squad, and now redemption is at hand. Im betting on a merciless effort here from the Celtics and for the Hawks to have to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in chase mode which Im projecting will help easily eclipse this total.

BOSTON L/28 revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons has een a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 253.6 ppg scored.

ATLANTA is 10-1 OVER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 252.5 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (BOSTON) - after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 67-29 OVER L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play over

We think this is a great spot for the Pels to exact a little revenge vs. the Bucks.

We're coming down the home stretch and teams are still jockeying for position.

Milwuakee had its two-game win streak snapped in a 128-124 OT loss at home to the Lakers, and we think they'll have difficulty regrouping on the road here vs. this Western Conference opponent.

Milwaukee returns home to face the Hawks after this, so we think the visitors get caught looking ahead.

The Pels do indeed play with revenge after falling 141-117 at Milwaukee in January and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; the play is New Orleans.