Joe Nelson
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Joe Nelson

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Joe Nelson - VegasInsider betting expert

2022-23 NFL & NCAA Predictions

The VegasInsider handicapping experts have provided their futures picks for the upcoming NFL and College Football seasons on the most popular betting markets in each sport.

Listed below are the top betting choices for Joe Nelson.

2022-23 NFL Futures Predictions

Follow our NFL Futures Odds and find the best odds for the below selections.

NFL Championship Picks

  • Super Bowl Winner: Kansas City Chiefs
  • NFC Champion: San Francisco 49ers
  • AFC Champion: Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Win Totals Breakdown - Best Bets

Over or Under? The NFL Win Totals betting market continues to increase in popularity and Joe Nelson has identified Best Bets for both Over and Under picks in each of the eight NFL divisions.

AFC NorthSteelersBengals
AFC SouthJaguarsColts
AFC EastJetsBills
AFC WestChiefsBroncos
NFC NorthLionsBears
NFC SouthSaintsBuccaneers
NFC EastEaglesCowboys
NFC West49ersCardinals

NFL Playoff Projections

The NFL postseason will have a field of 14 teams and Joe Nelson has identified his projections on the seven clubs that will represent the NFC and AFC conferences next January and bettors can wager on those selections in the NFL Playoff Prop Odds market.


  1. San Francisco Giants
  2. Green Bay Packers
  3. Philadelphia Eagles
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  5. Los Angeles Rams
  6. Minnesota Vikings
  7. New Orleans Saints


  1. Baltimore Ravens
  2. Kansas City Chiefs
  3. Buffalo Bills
  4. Tennessee Titans
  5. Los Angeles Chargers
  6. Pittsburgh Steelers
  7. New England Patriots

NFL Most Valuable Player Best Bets

The NFL MVP Odds betting market is showing a strong lean to quarterbacks this season and Joe Nelson is providing his top three picks based on three different ranges - Favorite, Middle Range and Long Shot.

PlayerMVP Picks
FavoritePatrick Mahomes
Middle RangeLamar Jackson
Long ShotMatt Ryan

2022-23 NCAAF Futures Predictions

Follow our NCAAF Futures Odds and find the best odds for the below selections.

College Football Playoff Picks

CFP Winner: Ohio State

College Playoff Final Four Projections

  1. Ohio State
  2. Alabama
  3. Clemson
  4. Georgia

Heisman Trophy Best Bets

The Heisman Trophy Odds betting market continues to grow in popularity and Joe Nelson is providing his top college football player picks based on three different ranges - Favorite, Middle Range and Long Shot.

FavoriteC. J. Stroud (Ohio State)
Middle RangeTyler Van Dyke (Miami)
Long ShotBraelon Allen (Wisconsin)

NCAAF Win Totals Breakdown - Best Bets

College Football has 10 major conferences and bettors can follow Win Totals Odds on all of them and make wagers based on their upcoming 12-game season. Joe Nelson has identified Best Bets for each of the 10 conferences, focusing on either Under or Over wagers.

ConferenceBest Bet
SECOle Miss Over
Big 12TCU Over
Big TenNebraska Under
Pac-12UCLA Over
AACTulsa Under
MACBowling Green Over
MWCAir Force Under
Sun BeltOld Dominion Over

About Joe Nelson

A regular on the leaderboard across all sports, Joe Nelson has been a content contributor as well as an acclaimed handicapper on VegasInsider since 2006. A past Wise Guys Contest champion, Nelson is known for producing the Green Sheet football newsletter and he makes his very best selections available to VegasInsider clients in the NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, and Baseball.

Dozens of top finishes are documented over the past decade and a few seasons in particular stand out. The 2013-14 football season was especially profitable with the rare accomplishment finishing as the #1 win percentage handicapper in both college football and the NFL on VegasInsider.

Often considered the toughest handicapping discipline, Nelson’s +3546 mark in NFL selections since the start of the 2012 season is the very best record among the prestigious field of handicappers on the VegasInsider roster as we approach the 2021 season.

Even with the great challenges of the unusual 2020-21 football season Nelson was one of only six handicappers that managed a profitable finish in both college football and the NFL, including a #3 finish for the college season.

Basketball has also provided great positive returns for those following Nelson including a net gain of +8520 the past six college basketball seasons combined from 2015-16 to 2020-21. Nelson is on a run of positive results in the NBA since the 2017-18, including an epic run in 2018-19 that included a 14-game winning streak in guaranteed selections.

In baseball Nelson was the VegasInsider MLB underdog leader in 2019 while posting top 3 finishes for MLB totals in 2017, 2018, and 2020.

Nelson is a University of Wisconsin graduate with a background in statistics and regrettably, is also a pessimistic Vikings fan.

Look for regular blog posts and articles for insight and commentary throughout the year and consider following Nelson’s selections this season.

Handicapper Hot Streaks

• 19-2 NCAA BK Guaranteed Run: 12/21/18 -1/21/19
• 14-0 NBA Guaranteed Run: 12/8/18 -12/22/18

Documented Records

• 2021-2022 NCAAB Overall Money: $1,026
• 2020-2021 NCAAF #3 Money Leader: $838
• 2020-2021 NCAAF #4 Percent Leader: 59%
• 2020 MLB #3 Totals Leader: $681
• 2019 MLB Underdog Leader: $2,427
• 2018-2019 NCAAB Record: 56%, $1,941
• 2018 MLB #3 Totals Leader: $1,076
• 2017-2018 NBA Overall Money: $1,053
• 2017-2018 NCAAB #2 Percent Leader: 57%
• 2017-2018 NCAAB Overall Money: $2,129
• 2017 MLB #3 Totals Leader: $682
• 2015-2016 NCAAB #3 Money Leader: $1,709
• 2015-2016 NCAAB #3 Percent Leader: 56%
• 2014 MLB #3 Favorites Leader: $1,100
• 2013-2014 NBA #3 Totals Leader: $993
• 2013-2014 NFL Money Leader: $1,340
• 2013-2014 NFL Percent Leader: 60%
• 2013-2014 NCAAF Percent Leader: 60%
• 2013-2014 NCAAF #2 Money Leader: $1,446
• 2012 #2 MLB Totals Leader: $1,208
• 2011-2012 NBA #2 Money Leader: $1,219
• 2011-2012 NBA #3 Percent Leader: 55%
• 2011 MLB #3 Underdog Leader: $1,607
• 2007-2008 NFL #3 Money Leader: $1,470
• 2006-2007 NBA #3 Percent Leader: 54%