Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets Predictions, Picks, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Regular-season NBA action will resume with the highly anticipated return of Kevin Durant, as the Miami Heat will visit Brooklyn Nets on Thursday night. Coverage begins from Barclays Center in Brooklyn at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Heat 114, Nets 106

Best Bets

Heat -3 (-110) at DraftKings

Heat vs. Nets Predictions

After finishing sixth in the East with a record of 40-32 SU last year, Miami bounced back with an excellent start to this season, as the Heat opened with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Aside from a brief nine-game lull in December though (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami has kept that same ball rolling all the way into March too, considering the Heat enter Thursday riding an impressive 27-10 SU and 21-15-1 ATS stretch– despite getting tagged as underdogs in 12 of those contests.

On the other hand, Brooklyn barreled out to a triumphant start to the season, as the Nets kicked things off with an impressive 26-14 SU run – with 15 of those victories coming by eight points or more.

Brooklyn has played awful since Durant’s latest injury though, considering the Nets enter Thursday riding a frustrating 3-15 SU skid, while scoring just 103.1 OPPG at home and 110.2 OPPG on the road across that span – which seemingly stems from the inconsistent participation of Kyrie Irving.

I’ll back Miami here, as the Nets are 3-15 SU and 6-10-2 ATS in their last 18 games, while scoring just 107.6 OPPG and allowing 117.4 DPPG across that window – setting the stage for an incredibly difficult home matchup against a Heat squad that’s averaging 114.8 OPPG across their latest 7-1 SU stretch.

Heat vs. Nets Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Heat vs. Nets Betting Resources

• Matchup: Southeast vs. Atlantic
• Date: Thursday, March 3, 2022
• Venue: Barclays Center
• Location: Brooklyn, NY
• TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 7:30 p.m. ET
• Injury Report

Miami Heat Betting Resources

• SU: 41-21
• ATS: 35-26-1
• O/U: 37-25

After last year’s relatively lackluster 40-32 SU showing, the Heat made some bold offseason moves to better suit their needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry.

The move worked perfectly to start, as Miami kicked off the year with an impressive 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with the Heat’s only ATS loses across that span coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

The depth that Miami sacrificed in order to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in November, considering a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a frustrating 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid. Depth certainly hasn’t been an issue as of late though, considering the Heat enter Thursday riding a sturdy 27-10 SU run.

Brooklyn Nets Betting Analysis

• SU: 32-31
• ATS: 25-36-2
• O/U: 32-30-1

After falling to Milwaukee in a thrilling seven-game conference semi-final set, the Nets stormed out to an impressive start to this season, as Brooklyn cruised into January sitting at 26-14 SU – yet still ranked near the bottom of the barrel ATS at 17-22-1

Brooklyn has struggled miserably without KD and James Harden though, considering the Nets enter Thursday riding a depressing 3-15 SU skid – which includes a 1-8 SU tally in matchups with Kyrie, and a 2-7 SU mark in matchups without him.

Heat vs. Knicks Head-to-Head

The Nets won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Miami last year, with the first meeting going over the total at a score of 128-124 – while the ensuing two affairs stayed under at an average of 199.5 PPG. The Heat are 2-0 SU against Brooklyn this season though, with the first matchup staying under the total at a score 106-93 (U 218.5) – while the second soared over with a score of 115-111 (O 222.5).

Key Players to Watch

• MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (21.7 PPG, 6.3 REB, 5.8 AST)
• MIA: Bam Adebayo - C (18.9 PPG, 10.2 REB, 3.6 AST)
• BKN: Kevin Durant - SF (29.3 PPG, 7.4 REB, 5.8 AST)
• BKN: Seth Curry - SG (15.4 PPG, 3.4 REB, 4 AST)

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Conclusion

After dropping back-to-back matchups against the Raptors to open March, the Nets enter Thursday’s contest as steep home underdogs against the Heat at Barclays Center – marking the 11^th time Brooklyn has been an underdog across their last 12 games.

I’ll back Miami here, as the Heat are 9-1 SU and 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games, while averaging 113.4 OPPG and allowing just 103.1 DPPG across that timeframe – likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a Nets squad that’s scored 108 PTS or less in four of their last five games (107.9 OPPG).

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

• The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last 11 matchups between Miami and Brooklyn.
• The Heat are 11-5 ATS in their last five road games against Brooklyn.
• The Nets are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games.
• The Heat are 9-1 SU in their last ten games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson