Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions, Odds, Picks

Nov. 10, 2021
Eytan Shander
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Bulls and Mavs each come off impressive wins ahead of their Wednesday night tip. Dallas hits the road for their longest stretch so far, taking on a Chicago team that just knocked off the Nets. Tip off in Chicago is 8:00 p.m. ET at the United Center.

Score Prediction

Bulls 110, Mavericks 98

Best Bets

Bulls -3.5

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Predictions

The Mavs come in winning seven of their first ten games, but the strength of schedule falls short to what they are about to face. The Bulls are simply a better team right now – record aside. Dallas is going to have to work hard for points, even with Luka Doncic cruising through the first part of their schedule.

The Mavs are going to have a hard time scoring elsewhere – relying more onJalen Brunson off the bench than anyone not named Doncic. Brunson can keep Dallas in the game, pacing the second unit with consistent scoring. Even Chicago’s lack of size won’t be truly tested – as Kristaps Porzingis is playing at a rather pedestrian level, and Maxi Kleber is out Wednesday night.

Demar DeRozan and Zach LaVine have become one of the deadlier 1-2 punch scorers in the league. Lonzo Ball is effortlessly guiding the offense and putting a ton of defensive pressure on opposing guards. Chicago doesn’t light up the scoreboard, but they do score more points than Dallas and play much better team defense.

Nik Vucevic’s ability to shoot and stretch the floor at the five will come in handy against a weaker Dallas frontcourt. Expect driving lanes to be wide open for the Bulls. Rookie Ayo Dosunmu comes off a great performance off the bench against the Nets, something to keep an eye on how they keep up with the Mavs bench.

Dallas looks solid on paper; they have one of the most exciting players in the NBA and are statistically 10th overall in league defense. They just don’t score any points. It’s been masked for the most part with their early start being against worse teams, but they were exposed recently against the Heat.

Brunson has become the team’s second-leading scorer coming off the bench, and Porzingis continues to disappoint. Tim Hardaway Jr. now has such a limited window for failure or else the entire offense is just watching Luka. The Mavs hit the road for a decent stretch starting in Chicago, against a tough Bulls defense. Don’t expect Dallas to come out expending all their energy, this should be a lower-scoring slower-paced game.

Nerves were starting to settle in for a Chicago team that dropped two straight to the Sixers. This was after winning two straight, and six of their first seven games. They bounced back with an emphatic statement victory over Brooklyn, holding the Nets to under 100 points. Dallas is 25th in the NBA in overall offense, and Chicago must be drooling at the thought of clamping them down.

Doncic will get points – Durant dropped 38 in that BK loss – but will find it hard to facilitate and get other guys involved. Expect that momentum to carry in for the Bulls team who also hit the road after Wednesday’s game.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Odds

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southwest vs. Central
  • Date: Wednesday, November 10, 2021
  • Venue: United Center
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 8:00 p.m. ET

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Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-3
  • ATS: 3-7
  • O/U: 1-8-1

Doncic leads the way with 25 PPG, a team leading 8 RPG and 6.7 APG. Nobody else is even close to his eight boards and nearly seven dimes a night. Jalen Brunson has made the most of his minutes off the bench, averaging 15 PPG, 5.1 RPG, and 4.5 APG on 49.6% shooting.

Hardaway Jr. adds 14.4 PPG along with Porzingis at 14.2 PPG. Dallas averages just 102.4 PPG as a team – that’s 25th overall in PPG. They only give up 104.7 on defense – which has them 10th overall in the NBA.

Chicago Bulls Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-3
  • ATS: 7-3
  • O/U: 4-6

The Bulls top two scorers account for over 53 of the 109 points the team scores each game. DeRozan leads the way with just under 27, and LaVine is just over 26 PPG. He’s shooting 48% from the floor – which is just under DeRozan at 50.3%. They dominate the scoreboard and are doing it as efficient as anyone.

Vucevic adds a double-double each night with 13.2 PPG and 11 RPG – he’s only shooting 37.8 percent from the floor. Ball is just under 12 PPG adding 5.4 RPG and 4.4 APG. Factoring in Alex Caruso at 3.9 APG, the Bulls have four different players hovering at 4 APG.


The Bulls have failed to cover the spread in 18 of their last 23 home games against a team with a winning record. (AP)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Head-to-Head

The first matchup between these two teams will be Wednesday night in Chicago. The Heat will take on the Lakers Wednesday then the Clippers on Thursday night. The Mavs hit a stretch where the next six of seven games will be away from Dallas.

Key Players to Watch

  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (24.9 ppg, 8 rpg, 6.7 apg)
  • DAL: Tim Hardaway, Jr. - SF (14.4 ppg)
  • CHI: DeMar DeRozan - SF (26.9 ppg, 5.7 rpg)
  • CHI: Zach LaVine - SG (26.2 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 4.3 apg)

Injuries

  • Maxi Kleber - PF (Out)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Conclusion

The Bulls come in as the better team – both on offense and against the spread. Chicago’s 7-3 ATS record dwarfs the 3-7 ATS record for Dallas – especially when looking at the Mavs 7-3 record.

Unless you think Dallas comes in and wins the game, taking the points is an exercise in futility. The Bulls stand a much better chance at beating the Mavs by a couple of possessions while holding them under 100 points.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Trends

  • Chicago has failed to cover the spread in 18 of 23 home games against a team with a winning record.
  • Dallas has failed to go OVER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
  • Dallas has gone UNDER the point total in four straight road games.
  • Dallas has won four straight games when facing Chicago as the underdog.