Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Picks, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Regular-season NBA action will resume on Thursday night with a heavyweight Western Conference bout between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks. Coverage begins from American Airlines Center in Dallas at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Mavericks 113, Warriors 110

Best Bets

Mavericks -2 (-110) at DraftKings

Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors kicked things off with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by double-digits.

The last few months have been shaky for Golden State though, considering the Warriors enter Thursday riding a relatively bumpy 25-16 SU and 15-23-3 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as favorites in 33 of those contests.

On the other hand, the Mavericks posted a surprisingly slow start to the season, as Dallas kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming matchups they were favored in.

Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense through the winter months though, considering the Mavericks boast records of 21-7 SU and 19-9 ATS across their last 28 games – while surrendering just 101.6 DPPG to their opponents across that timeframe.

I’ll back Dallas here, as the Warriors are 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, while scoring just 110.4 OPPG and allowing 113.6 DPPG across that window – setting the stage for a tough road matchup against a Mavericks squad that’s surrendered 105 PTS or less in eight of their last ten contests (101.8 DPPG).

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Resources

• Matchup: Pacific vs. Southwest
• Date: Thursday, March 3, 2022
• Venue: American Airlines Arena
• Location: Dallas, TX
• TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 8:30 p.m. ET
• Injury Report

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

• SU: 43-19
• ATS: 30-28-4
• O/U: 26-34-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU regular-season showing, Golden State returned seeking vengeance to open the new season, as the Warriors kicked things off with wins in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that span coming by slim margins of four points or less.

Golden State has primarily leaned on its defense since December, as the Warriors enter Tuesday riding a relatively pedestrian 25-16 SU stretch, while scoring just 109.1 OPPG and allowing 106.2 DPPG across that span. Golden State’s mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, considering the Warriors are averaging 112.3 OPPG across their last 17 games.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

• SU: 37-25
• ATS: 34-27-1
• O/U: 21-40-1

After another frustrating first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that disappointment train rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

Dallas has recently found success by leaning on its defense though, considering the Mavericks enter Thursday riding a sturdy 21-7 SU run – while surrendering 100 PTS or less in 15 of those contests (101.6 DPPG).

Warriors vs. Mavericks Head-to-Head

The Mavericks won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Golden State last year, with all three contests soaring over the total at a lofty average of 255 PPG. The Mavericks are also 2-1 SU against Golden State this season, with both Mavericks’ victories staying well under the total at an average of 194.5 PPG – while the Warriors’ lone win went over with a score of 130-92.

Key Players to Watch

• GSW: Steph Curry - PG (25.8 PPG, 5.3 REB, 6.5 AST)
• GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (17.1 PPG, 3.8 REB, 3 AST)
• DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (27.5 PPG, 9.1 REB, 8.8 AST)
• DAL: Jalen Brunson - SG (16.1 PPG, 3.7 REB, 5.3 AST)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Conclusion

After losing to Dallas at home just a few nights ago (L, 107-101), the Warriors hit the road for Thursday’s contest as short underdogs against the Mavericks at American Airlines Center – marking the first time Golden State has been an underdog since visiting the Jazz on February 9^th.

I’ll back Dallas here, as the Mavericks are 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in their last ten games, while holding their opponents to just 101.8 DPPG across that window – likely serving as a difficult road task for a Warriors squad that’s allowed 115+ PTS in five of their last seven contests (114 DPPG).

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
• The Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 matchups against Golden State.
• The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Warriors' games.
• The Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson