MAVERICKS Odds: Schedule, Matchups, & Stats

Current Matchup

Live KFAA

507 Mavericks 26 - 56

Best Away Odds

+3.5 -118

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508 Bucks 32 - 50

Best Home Odds

-2.5 -110

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Previous Matchup

April 12, 2026

Bulls

128

Mavericks

149

 

Dallas Mavericks Odds & Betting Guide: 2026-27 Season

Dallas starts 2026-27 with a new front office, a new coach, a healthy Kyrie Irving and a second-year Cooper Flagg, and books have priced all of it as a rebuild. Oddsmakers hung a win total in the mid-30s after a 26-56 season. The NBA odds board will show quickly whether bettors agree. This guide covers how Dallas prices across spreads, totals, moneylines, props and futures, and which schedule spots should move those numbers.

Where the Mavericks Stand

The Mavericks finished 26-56 in 2025-26, tied with New Orleans for fourth in the Southwest and 12th in the West, outside the play-in. Irving never played after tearing his left ACL on March 3, 2025. Dallas sent Anthony Davis to Washington at the February deadline for Khris Middleton and draft capital, then returned Middleton to the Wizards in a July sign-and-trade. Flagg carried the season: 21.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists, and the Rookie of the Year award.

Ownership then replaced everyone above the roster. Patrick Dumont fired general manager Nico Harrison in November. Dallas hired Masai Ujiri as president of basketball operations in May and Mike Schmitz as general manager four days later, then parted ways with Jason Kidd. Dusty May, who won the 2026 national title at Michigan, takes his first NBA job.

The roster turned over too. Dallas drafted Morez Johnson Jr., May’s forward at Michigan, ninth overall, and traded up to No. 25 for Spanish guard Sergio de Larrea. Schmitz also added Zaccharie Risacher from Atlanta, Santi Aldama from Memphis and Marcus Sasser from Detroit.

Irving is the input that moves Dallas prices most. He scored 17 points in 22 minutes in his first game back, a preseason win over Houston in Macao, and May sat him for the other game on that trip. Expect the staff to manage his workload and expect books to move numbers on every Irving decision. Dallas also owes its 2027 first-round pick to Charlotte, so the front office gains nothing from losing late.

Western Conference and Southwest Division Context

Dallas plays Houston, San Antonio, Memphis and New Orleans four times each, 16 of 82 games. Division titles no longer guarantee a top-four seed, so the race that matters for Dallas runs along the play-in line, seventh through 10th in the West.

The Southwest is top-heavy. San Antonio won 62 games and reached the Finals, and books price the Spurs at -1200 on the Southwest Division odds board. Houston sits around +750, and DraftKings lists Dallas at +7500. In the Western Conference odds market, the Spurs lead at +155 and Dallas trails at roughly +17500.

Last season Dallas went 4-12 inside the division. The Houston Rockets odds reflect a 52-win team with Kevin Durant that hosts Dallas on opening night, Oct. 21. The Memphis Grizzlies odds start from 25-57 and a 28.5-win total, and Dallas makes back-to-back trips to Memphis on Jan. 10 and Jan. 12.

Mavericks 2026-27 Win Total

BetMGM posts Dallas at 34.5 wins with -110 on both sides. FanDuel moved its number up to 35.5 in late July and priced the over at +100 and the under at -125. That under price implies 55.6%, while the over implies 50%. The uneven juice tells you money landed on the under at that book and FanDuel adjusted its exposure. It does not tell you whether Dallas wins 36 games.

Dallas has gone under its total two straight seasons: 39 wins against 49.5 in 2024-25 and 26 against 41.5 last year. The over case rests on Irving’s return and a roster with no reason to fade late. The under case rests on a first-year NBA coach, a lineup still learning to play together, and 16 back-to-backs. Books sit a full win apart, so compare every number on VI’s NBA win totals page before you bet.

Mavericks 2026-27 Futures Odds

Books price Dallas between +20000 and +40000 to win the title. Longshot futures carry the heaviest margin on the board, so shop every book before you place one. One market lists Dallas at +220 to make the playoffs and -300 to miss. Those prices imply 31.3% and 75.0%, a combined 106.3%, and the extra 6.3 points are the book’s margin. The same market offers +140 on reaching the play-in.

Flagg opened at +20000 for MVP at FanDuel. He played 70 games as a rookie, so the 65-game threshold matters less for him than Dallas’ record does. Voters rarely reward a player on a team outside the top six. Track every award and title price on VI’s NBA futures page.

The Mavericks angle: NBA Cup group games count in the standings, and Dallas drew a hard group. The Mavericks host Houston on Oct. 30 and Utah on Nov. 6, then visit Denver on Nov. 24 and Phoenix on Nov. 27. One book lists Dallas at +800 to win the group, the longest price of the five.

Betting Mavericks Point Spreads

Books set a point spread to turn an uneven matchup into a roughly even bet. The favorite gives points, the underdog takes them.

Mavericks -6.5 (-110) / Wizards +6.5 (-110)

Dallas covers by winning the game by seven or more. Washington covers by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. The half-point means neither side can push. A winning $100 bet at -110 returns $190.91: the $100 stake plus $90.91 in profit. A losing bet returns nothing. Both sides here are priced at -110, and that is where the book earns. You risk $110 to win $100 whichever side you take. When books post a whole number instead, a game decided by exactly that margin pushes and both sides get their stake back.

Dallas covered 37 of 82 games last season, a 37-45 mark that cost a $100 bettor roughly $1,136 across the year. VI’s NBA ATS rankings place the Mavericks tied for 22nd in cover rate. Those rankings reset when the season tips, so the first month will show whether a healthy Irving changes the pattern.

The Mavericks angle: The schedule packs 16 back-to-backs, and Dallas plays the second night on the road nine times. The roughest stretch comes in November. Dallas hosts the Clippers on Nov. 21, flies to Utah the next night, then plays at Denver on Nov. 24: two altitude games in three days with no rest before the first. A five-game road trip from March 17 to 24 runs through Oklahoma City, San Antonio, both Los Angeles teams on consecutive nights, and Minnesota. With a 34-year-old guard returning from ACL surgery, back-to-backs are where rest decisions land. Watch for late lines on those nights.

Betting Mavericks Totals

Books set a total for the combined points both teams score, then let bettors take a side. Say books post Mavericks vs. Pelicans at 226.5. The over cashes if the two teams combine for 227 or more. The under cashes at 226 or fewer. A half-point total cannot push. NBA totals follow pace. Two fast teams produce more possessions and more scoring chances, and that matters more to the number than either team’s shooting percentage.

Dallas games went over 37 times last season and under 45, an over rate of 45.1%. The Mavericks made 11.0 threes per game, 29th in the league, while Irving sat the entire year.

Why Mavericks totals move: May has said he wants his team running when it controls the defensive glass, and Irving’s shot creation should lift a half-court offense that stalled without him. Early totals may lag that change. If Dallas pushes the pace, early unders lose their footing, so track how books adjust through October and November. VI handicappers post daily leans on the NBA picks page.

Betting the Mavericks Moneyline

The moneyline asks one question: who wins. Points do not matter.

Mavericks -240 / Wizards +200

Minus marks the favorite, plus the underdog. At -240 you risk $240 to win $100. At +200 you risk $100 to win $200.

Converting to implied probability makes the pricing clearer. The -240 favorite implies 70.6%. The +200 underdog implies 33.3%. Those sum to 103.9%, not 100%. The extra 3.9 points are the book’s margin, and the book collects it whichever side wins.

One thing worth getting straight: a short price is not automatically a bad bet. Bettors call heavy favorites bad value out of habit, but if the Mavericks win this matchup 75% of the time, -240 is a price worth taking, because it only implies 70.6%. Value is the gap between real probability and priced probability. The size of the number tells you nothing on its own.

When one side carries heavier juice than the other, that tells you where money is landing, not which side is correct. If the Mavericks drift from -240 to -270, bettors backed the Mavericks and the book adjusted its exposure. The team did not become more likely to win.

Run any price through VI’s betting odds calculator to convert it to implied probability. If you are opening a new account to bet Dallas this season, compare welcome offers with our bet365 bonus code and BetMGM bonus code first.

Mavericks Player Props

A player prop prices one player’s production in one game.

Cooper Flagg points: 24.5 (over -115, under -105)

The over needs 25 points. The under needs 24 or fewer. NBA props respond to availability more than anything else. When a teammate is ruled out, his minutes and shots move to the players still on the floor, and books adjust within minutes of the news. Check the injury report before betting a prop, and check the book’s rules for a player who does not play, because they differ between books.

The Mavericks angle: Flagg played his entire rookie season without Irving and ran much of the offense as a point forward. Irving’s return should cut into Flagg’s touches on nights both play. It should push them back up on nights Dallas rests Irving, which makes the back-to-back calendar a prop calendar too. Compare lines on VI’s NBA player props board.

Mavericks Line Movement: Open Versus Consensus

VI’s odds board lists two numbers for every game. The Open is the first line a Las Vegas or global book posts. The Consensus is the median current line across VI’s books. When the consensus sits off the open, bettors have pushed books to a new number, and the direction shows where the money went.

Dallas’ preseason home game against New Orleans on Oct. 14 shows how far a number can travel. The line opened at Dallas -2.5, and the consensus settled at New Orleans -2.5, a five-point swing. On the moneyline, Dallas opened at -142 and the consensus moved to +114. Preseason numbers swing hardest because teams announce rest decisions late, and the same mechanic will apply on regular-season nights when Irving’s status changes.

VI’s NBA matchups pages chart every move by timestamp and carry head-to-head ATS history. That history flags a trend worth watching in the division: Dallas failed to cover all four meetings with New Orleans last season, and all four went under the total.

Mavericks Franchise History

Dallas won its only championship in 2011 and returned to the Finals in 2024, losing 4-1 to Boston. Eight months later the front office traded Luka Dončić to the Lakers for Davis. Davis is already gone, and both executives tied to the deal have left.

That history still shapes the price. Books overrated Dallas two years running, and the market has now cut the total by roughly seven wins. Dončić’s Lakers carry a brand premium wherever they play, so expect public money on Los Angeles when they visit Dallas on Feb. 28. The Mavericks then visit the Lakers on March 21 and April 6.

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets price Mavericks outcomes as contracts that trade between 0 and 100 cents. A contract on Dallas reaching the play-in trading at 40 cents implies a 40% chance, the same figure you would compute from a sportsbook price. Compare the two before you commit. A gap of several points between an exchange contract and a sportsbook’s implied probability shows you which venue offers the better number. Check each platform’s fees, because they change the real price.

New users can claim a sign-up bonus with our Polymarket invite code before trading Mavericks contracts this season.

VegasInsider Staff

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