2026 WNBA MVP Odds: Wilson Stretching Out as Favorite
WNBA MVP odds for 2026 are gaining attention, with two-thirds of the regular season in the books.
Las Vegas Aces standout A'ja Wilson won the honor last season, becoming the first four-time MVP in league history. And Wilson is the growing favorite in odds to win WNBA MVP this season.
Here's everything you need to know about WNBA odds to win the 2026 MVP: line moves, action and betting trends.
Be sure to utilize our prediction market apps and Kalshi promo code by clicking on the module below, or our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action on 2026 WNBA Finals futures odds.
(Feature image: Stephen R. Sylvanie/Imagn Images)
Updated on 7/31/26
2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Odds
All Aces
LATEST UPDATE: On May 7, a day ahead of the regular-season tipoff, Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson was the +225 favorite in BetMGM's WNBA MVP odds. Last season, Wilson won her second straight MVP award and fourth overall.
She then won the Finals MVP honor, while leading the Aces to their third title in four years. And so far this season, Wilson has the Aces (18-8) at No. 2 in WNBA Finals odds.
Wilson leads the league in scoring at 25.6 points per game, 2.3 points more than any other player. And she's averaging a league-leading 2.0 blocked shots per game, as well.
So it should be no surprise that Wilson is also putting some distance on the field in 2026 WNBA MVP futures. In mid-June, Wilson was -190. Now, as of July 28, she's -400 chalk.
"Wilson is the most-bet-on player for MVP by a wide margin. But the short price has kept it to where it is currently a slight winner for us," BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini said. "Her price has kept people away lately as we are now, too. Her best price all year was +250."
Dallas Wings standout Paige Bueckers slipped from the +550 second choice in mid-June to +850, though she's still the second choice. That ended what had been a steady climb for Bueckers, who opened +2000 and began the season at +1600.
Indiana Fever star Caitlin Clark, a massive fan favorite her first two seasons, slid out from a +250 second choice preseason to the +1500 fourth choice as of July 21. A week later, on July 28, Clark has improved to the +1200 third choice.
Clark is averaging 20.7 points and 7.8 assists for the Fever (17-10).
Clark also no longer leads BetMGM's ticket count, dropping to a tie for second with Bueckers, in a close race vs. ticket leader Wilson. And Wilson is lapping the field in money, taking 11 times more dollars than Clark and 3.5 times more than Bueckers.
For that matter, Bueckers is taking three times more money than Clark.
"It's a significant drop-off in Caitlin Clark money, based on the previous two years," Cipollini said.
The top five in tickets in BetMGM's WNBA MVP odds:
- Wilson
- Bueckers
- Clark
- Minnesota Lynx guard Olivia Miles
- Los Angeles Sparks guard Kelsey Plum
The top five in money in BetMGM's 2026 WNBA MVP odds:
- Wilson
- Bueckers
- Miles
- Clark
- Lynx forward Napheesa Collier
"We have liability on Bueckers and Miles," Cipollini said. "A'ja Wilson would be fine. But we wouldn't want Miles to get into the race."
Miles is the +1400 fourth choice, helping the Lynx to a league-leading 22-6 record. As Cipollini alluded to, Miles is BetMGM's largest liability in this market, after opening as a +12500 long shot. Bueckers is the second-largest liability.
Collier, Miles' teammate, missed the first 10 weeks of the season (27 games) before returning from offseason surgery on both ankles. So her standing in money is solely off preseason action, as she's been off the board for months.
In mid-June, Plum was the +2000 fourth choice. But a leg injury has kept her out since late June, and she's since plunged to +15000.
Odds to Win 2026 WNBA MVP
(As of July 28)
- A'ja Wilson (Las Vegas Aces) -400
- Paige Bueckers (Dallas Wings) +850
- Caitlin Clark (Indiana Fever) +1200
- Olivia Miles (Minnesota Lynx) +1400
- Breanna Stewart (New York Liberty) +4500
All others +12500 (125/1) or longer. Odds from BetMGM
WNBA MVP History
A'ja Wilson of the Las Vegas Aces captured her fourth Most Valuable Player Award, landing the honor for the 2025 season.
To wager on the 2026 season's winner, try out our DraftKings promo code today!
Below are the WNBA MVP regular-season award winners of the past 10 years.
- 2025 - A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
- 2024 - A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
- 2023 - Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty
- 2022 - A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
- 2021 - Jonquel Jones, Connecticut
- 2020 - A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces
- 2019 - Elena Delle Donne, Washington Mystics
- 2018 - Beanna Stewart, Seattle Storm
- 2017 - Sylvia Fowles, Minnesota Lynx
- 2016 - Nneka Ogwumike, Los Angeles Sparks
Use our bet365 bonus code to get potential bonus offers when you bet on WNBA action!