Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:59 AM
Weekly Total Talk
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|Over-Under Hot Streaks|
The Boston Red Sox have looked very ordinary so far this season, and no one expected even 18 regular-season games that they would be dead-last in the majors with a minus-40 run differential. They were scorched by the New York Yankees by an 8-0 score in Tuesday's series opener, and they have just one run over the past two games. The 'under' has connected in three in a row for Boston, and the under is 4-1 in their past five against teams with a losing record, and 4-0 in their past four road games against teams with a losing overall home mark, too. With Nathan Eovaldi on the mound, though, that could turn around. The over is 6-0-1 in his past seven starts, and 4-0 in his past four on the road while going 3-0-1 in his past four games inside the division.
For the Yankees, they too have struggled, and are below .500 midway through April. They were expected to battle the Red Sox in the standings, but not to avoid the basement in the American League East. The under is 6-1 in the past seven home starts for the Yankees, while going 4-1 in their past five games against teams with a winning percentage under .400. Like Eovaldi, the over has been a common 'Happ'-ening for JA Happ. The over is 6-0 across his past six starts, and 5-0 in his past five outings against divisional foes. The over is also 5-1 in Happ's past six hoe outings, and 7-0-1 in his past eight against teams with a losing overall record. The over is also 7-3 in the past 10 meetings between these AL East rivals.
Wednesday, April 17
The Giants and Nationals do battle in the nation's capital at 7:05 p.m. ET. The under is 6-1-1 in San Francisco's past eight games against National League East foes, while going 4-1-1 in their past six games overall. The undeer is also 4-1 in Jeff Samardzija's past five starts overall. The over is 5-0 in Washington's past five against teams with a losing record, and 16-6 in their past 22 overall. The over is also 24-9-1 in the past 34 games at home. However, the under is a whopping 16-3 in Jeremy Hellickson's past 19 starts overall, 4-1 in his past five home starts and 4-0 in his past four against teams with a losing overall mark.
The Astros and Athletics continue their battle in Oakland. The under is 8-3 in Houston's past 11 on the road, while going 5-2 in the past seven road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The over is a perfect 8-0 in the past eight overall for Oakland, and 4-0 in the past four against divisional foes. However, the under is 7-3 in the past 10 at home for the A's, and 4-1 in Frankie Montas' past five outings while going 4-1 in his past five inside the division, too. The over is 15-5-1 in the past 21 meetings in this series in Oakland.
The wind won't be a factor in many parks, although the winds will affect the Giants and Nationals. We'll have breezy conditions knocking balls down, as a wind blows 10-13 mph from right field into the face of the batters. If the game in Minneapolis gets underway with a 70 percent chance of rain from 6-9 pm CDT, the batters will be facing stiff wind from 12-15 mph blowing in from the left-center field power alley. In Texas, the wind will also be blowing in from 13-16 mph, keeping totals down.
Thursday, April 18
Hey, for what it's worth (not much), the under is 7-0 in the past seven for the Reds on a Thursday. More importantly, the under is 9-1-1 in their past 11 games against pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is also 21-6 in their past 27 games on the road, while going 17-5 in their past 22 road games against a teams with a winning record. For the Padres, they like going low on Thursdays, too, going 24-9-1 in their past 34 on the day. The under is 7-3 in their past 10 home games heading into Wednesday. However, in this series, the over is 10-1 in the past 11 meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six battles at Petco Park.
The Mariners have RHP Felix Hernandez on the bump, and he is opposed by RHP Chris Stratton. The over is 8-3-1 in the past 12 overall for the M's, and 7-3-1 in their past 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers. In addition, the over is 4-1 in King Felix's past five road outings, and 6-2 in his past eight against AL West foes. For the Halos , they entered Wednesday's game with a 16-5-1 mark in their past 22 games, and 9-4 in the past 13 vs. RHP. In addition, tue under is 7-2 in Hernandez's past nine road outings against the Angels, and 15-6-1 in his past 22 overall against the Halos.
For the afternoon game between the Diamondbacks and Braves, there will be a 10-13 mph wind blowing in from center field to home plate. The winds will be blowing out moderately for the Giants-Nationals at 9-12 mph. In Detroit, the White Sox-Tigers game will see rain in the forecast starting right around first pitch. If they do get underway, the winds will be gusting in from 17-20 mph, keeping totals down. Winds will be blowing left to right at Target Field for Jays-Twins, a steady 13 mph wind. For Phillies-Rockies, the winds will be gusting early on from the left-center field power alley to home plate, decreasing as the game progresses.