Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Under My Thumb
The Rays and Indians kick off a four-game set in Cleveland on Thursday evening. Tampa Bay enters the contest hitting the under in seven of their past eight road contests, while going 4-1 in the past five away from home against right-handed starting pitchers. The under is also 23-10-1 in the past 34 road outings against a team with a winning home mark, too. However, the over is 10-4-1 in Tampa Bay's past 15 aginst teams with a winning overall record, and the over is 7-1-1 in the previous nine against a starting pitcher with a WHIP less than 1.15.

 For the Indians, the under is 5-1 across the past six games at Progressive Field, while going 19-7-1 in the past 27 games overall. The under is also 5-1 in the past six against teams with a winning percentage over .600, and the under is 4-1 across the past five against American League East opponents. As far as Adam Plutko is concerned, the under is 5-0 in his past five home outings, and 7-1 in his past eight games overall. In addition, the under is 4-0 in his past four against teams with a winning overall record, and 7-0 in his past seven assignments at a venue with a grass field.

As far as head-to-head, the over is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in Cleveland, while the under is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings overall. As a bonus, Tampa Bay is 4-1 in the past five meetings, and 4-1 in the previous five battles in Cleveland, too.

Looking Ahead

Thursday, May 23
The White Sox will square off with the Astros in Game 4 of a four-game set. The under is 4-1 in Chicago's past five, with the lone exception being Wednesday's 9-4 victory in Houston. The under is also 7-2 in the past nine road outings, while going 6-2 across their past eight against teams with a winning overall record. In addition, the under is 10-4 in the past 14 against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 4-1 in Lucas Giolito's past five outings. The under is also 7-1-1 in the past nine road outings by Giolito against teams with a winning overall mark, and 14-6-3 in Giolito's past 23 outings overall.

For the Astros, the under has connected in six of the past seven contests, while going 4-1 in his past five vs. RHP. The over is 9-3-2 in Houston's past 14 at home against losing teams, and 9-4-2 in the past 15 overall aginst teams with a losing record. In this series, the under is 18-8-1 in the past 27 meetings, while going 11-4 in the past 15 meetings at Minute Maid Park. The under has also connected in five of the past six games with umpire Brian O'Nora behind home plate.

Wind Report
The wind will be blowing out at an 11-14 mph clip to the left-center field power alley in the NL East battle between the Nationals and Mets at 12:10 p.m. EDT at Cit Field. The wind will also be blowing out at a 12-15 mph clip for the Rockies-Pirates series finale at 12:35 p.m. EDT at PNC Park in the Steel City.

Winds will also be kicking up in the Midwest, as the interleague battle between the Marlins and Tigers in Detroit will face breezy conditions. The winds will be gusting 17-20 mph in Motown, and the winds will be blowing 12-15 mph at the Friendly Confines of Wrigley Field for the Phillies-Cubs battle. In Cleveland, the Rays and Indians will experience winds of 14-17 mph blowing left to right.

Friday, May 24
The Dodgers and Pirates open a three-game set in the Steel City on Friday. The under is 11-5-3 in Walker Buehler's past 19 starts, and 12-4-2 in the past 18 outings against a team with a winning overall record. Inaddition, the under is 8-2 in Buehler's past 10 starts against NL Central foes. For the Bucs, the over is 9-4 in their past 13 in a series opener, and the under is 35-16-4 in the past 55 against a starters with a WHIP under 1.15.

The White Sox and Twins renew acquaintances at Target Field to open a set on Friday. The under has connected in seven straight starts by Reynaldo Lopez, while going 5-0 in his past five against divisional does and the under is also 5-1 in his past six on the road. The under is 6-2 in the past eight by Lopez against winning teams, too. For the Twins, the over is 5-2 in the past seven overall, while going 5-2 in their past seven against winning teams, too. In this series, the over is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings, and 3-1-2 in the previous six battles in the Twin Cities.

The Mariners and Athletics square off on Friday in the Coliseum. The over has connected in five straight starts by LHP Wade LeBlanc, although the under has hit in eight of his previous nine away from home. The over is 7-3-1 in Seattle's past 11 outings against divisional foes, while going 7-2 in the past nine vs. RHP. The over is also 11-3-1 in the previous 15 against teams with a losing overall mark. For Oakland, the under has cashed in four straight at home, and 6-1 in the past seven at home vs. LHP. The under is also 4-1 in the past five overall, although the over is 7-3 in the past 10 against divisional opponents. The over is also 5-2-1 in the past eight starts by Daniel Mengden, while going 9-4-2 in the past 15 starts at home by the righty.

Wind Report
The winds will be much calmer across MLB venues on Friday, and those stadiums with wind will see a much different direction. The Tigers and Mets kick off an interleague battle at Citi Field, and they'll face winds of 11-14 mph blowing in from the left-center field power alley into the face of the batters.

The only exception will be for the Yankees-Royals battle at Kauffman Stadium at 7:15 p.m. CDT, as the teams will see winds of 10-13 mph blowing out to the left-center field power alley.

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff