Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Twin Killing
The Minnesota Twins continue to tear things up in the American League Central, and they don't fool around when playing losing teams. They'll face the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, sending RHP Jake Odorizzi to the hill against RHP Glenn Sparkman in another game they're heavily favored.

The over is an impressive 5-1-2 in the past eight games inside the American League Central Division, and they're 9-3-2 in the past 14 games overall. In addition, the over is 6-1-2 in the past nine vs. RHP, and 33-16-3 in the past 52 games on the road. When Odorizzi is on the bump, the over has connected in six of the past seven road outings, and the over is 4-1 in their past five when work on four days of rest. However, the under is 7-2-1 in the past 10 AL Central battles while going 5-2-1 in the past eight starts by Odorizzi against teams with a losing overall mark.

 The over is an impressive 4-0-1 in the past five games for the Royals, while going 22-10-1 in the past 33 games at home against a right-handed starter. The over is also 3-1-1 in the past five starts by Sparkman. However, the under is 4-1 in Kansas City's past five home outings, while going 4-1-1 in their past six vs. RHP. The under is also 5-2-1 in their past eight inside the division. However, the over is 6-0 in the past six meetings in Kansas City, and a whopping 38-17-4 in the past 59 meetings overall in this series.

Looking Ahead

Thursday, June 20
The A's close out their homestand against the Rays on Thursday night, and it's a strong pitching matchup with RHP Charlie Morton squaring off against RHP Frankie Montas. For Tampa Bay, it's all under all the time. The under is 20-7 across their past 27 games on the road, 11-4-1 in the past 16 games overall and 5-2 in the past seven against a right-handed starting pitcher. The under is also 5-1 in the past six starts by Morton on the road, while going 7-2-1 in the past 10 starts overall by Morton. For the A's, the over is actually 5-2 in the past seven overall, but the under is 4-1 in the past five against a team with a winning overall record. The under is also 7-3 in Oakland's past 10 vs. RHP, and 6-2 in the past eight by Montas against teams with a winning overall mark. In this series, the under is 8-2 in the past 10 in Oakland, and 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

The Giants and Dodgers tangle in a southpaw battle, as LHP Madison Bumgarner and LHP Julio Urias lock horns at Chavez Ravine. The over is 3-1-2 in San Francisco's past six games overall, and 3-1-2 in their past six against winning teams. The over is also 6-2 in MadBum's past eight starts overall, and 7-3 in the past 10 road outings when Bumgarner is on the hill. The over is also 6-1-1 in Bumgarner's past eight road outings against teams with a winning overall mark. For the Dodgers, the under is 13-5-1 in the past 19 overall, and 7-3 in the past 10 inside the division. The under is also 6-2 in the past eight vs. LHP, while going 4-1 in Urias' past five home outings against teams with a losing record. The under is also 4-0 in the past four starts against San Francisco by Urias. 

Wind Report
Winds will be gusting from 12-15 mph in from right field for the afternoon battle between the Indians and Rangers in Arlington. Outside of that game, winds and precipitation will not be a problem at any of the other venues.

Friday, June 21
The Astros and Yankees tangle with RHP Brad Peacock squaring off against LHP James Paxton in the Bronx. The under is 6-2-1 in Houston's past nine outings against left-handed staring pitchers. However, the over is 7-1 in the past eight starts by Peacock against the AL East, and 3-1-1 in the past five starts by Peacock when working on four days of rest. The under is also 4-0 in his past four outings in Game 2 of a series. The over is 6-1 in Paxton's past seven outings, while going 4-0 in his past four starts on four days of rest. In this series, the over is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings, and 5-2-1 in the past eight battles in the Bronx.

The Reds have RHP Sonny Gray facing Brewers RHP Chase Anderson at Miller Park. The under is 5-1 in Gray's past six road outings, and 4-0 in this past four road starts against teams with a losing overall record. The under is also 4-1-1 in Gray's past six starts inside the NL Central, and 3-1-1 in his past five starts overall. For the Brewers, the over is 3-1-1 in the past five starts by Anderson, but the under is 13-3-2 in the past 18 starts inside the NL Central. In this series, the under is 4-1-1 in the past six starts by Anderson against the Reds, while the under is 8-1 in the past nine meetings, and 5-1 in the past six battles at Miller Park.

The Orioles use LHP John Means against RHP Mike Leake and the Mariners at T-Mobile Park in SoDo. The over is 6-1-1 in the past eight games for the O's, while going a perfect 4-0-1 in the past five road outings against a team with a losing record. However, the under is 6-2 in their past eight road games, and 6-2 in the past eight against AL West foes. The under is also 9-2 in the past 11 starts by Means, and 4-1 in his past five on the road. The under is also 7-1 in the past eight starts against teams with a losing overall mark. The over is 19-5-2 in the past 26 games at home for the Mariners, and 20-7-1 in their past 28 vs. LHP. The under is also an impressive 17-5-1 in the past 23 at home against southpaws.

Wind Report
The Marlins and Phillies will face 10-13 mph winds blowing in from the left-center field power alley. The Braves and Nationals face the same conditions, blowing in 10-13 mph from left-center field to first base.

In the Bronx, the Astros and Yankees will face a stiff 13-16 mph wind blowing out to the short porch in right field. The Blue Jays and Red Sox will face a 10-13 mph wind blowing left to right at Fenway Park.

In Arlington, the White Sox and Rangers will face a hot, humid wind blowing at 15-18 mph in from right field with temperatures around 100 degrees. It will also be hot and humid with temps around 100 degrees, with a wind blowing 14-17 mph out to left field for the Twins-Royals battle. In St. Louis, the Angels and Cardinals will see 10-13 mph winds blowing from first to third.

VegasInsider Staff

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