New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Picks, Predictions, Odds

The New York Mets (37-19) will take on the San Diego Padres (33-21) Monday for game-one of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET at Petco Park in San Diego, California and can be viewed on MLB Network.  

Score Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 2

Best Bets 

• Under 7.5 (-105) Caesars

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Predictions

The New York Mets enter this matchup first in the NL East standings, eight games ahead of the second place Atlanta Braves. The Mets most recently went 2-2 SU in a four-game series against the Dodgers. The Mets struggled with their bats in the first two games, but managed to turn things around with 14 runs combined in games three and four. The offense has been on fire all season, averaging 5.10 runs per game. The bullpen was solid against the Dodgers and has an ERA of 3.59 on the season. The right-hander Carlos Carrasco is scheduled to start Monday. Carrasco is 6-1 in 10 games this season with an ERA of 3.63 and has given up 56 hits, 23 earned runs, and struck out 51 batters in 57.0 innings.  

San Diego is currently second in the NL West standings, two games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for first place. The Padres most recently won three out of four games against the Milwaukee Brewers. San Diego had their bats working with 21 runs scored throughout the series. This is above their season average of 4.11 runs per game. The bullpen also played well, shutting out the Brewers in two games and holding them to nine total runs throughout the series. Left-handed pitcher Blake Snell is expected to take the mound Monday. Snell is 0-2 in three games this season with an ERA of 4.80 and has given up eight hits, eight earned runs, and struck out 18 batters in 15.0 innings of work.  

This should be interesting series as the Mets are an excellent offensive team while the Padres have been great on the mound. I like the total to under in game one. The Mets went 10.0 innings on Sunday against the Dodgers and may not be able to get much going against Snell. Carrasco has been a bit inconsistent this season, but should keep the Padres bats at bay. Backing the under in this matchup.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds

• Mets -110
• Padres -110
• Mets -1.5 (+155)
• Padres +1.5 (-180)
• Over 7.5 (-105)
• Under 7.5 (-115)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, June 6, 2022
• Matchup: NL East vs. NL West
• Stadium: Petco Park
• Location: San Diego, California
• TV-Time: MLBN - 9:40 p.m.

New York Mets Betting Analysis

After defeating the Dodgers Sunday afternoon, New York is now 37-19 SU, 34-22 ATS, and have an O/U record of 28-24-4. The total has gone over in nine of the Mets last 13 games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last six games against an opponent from the NL West. The Mets are 2-4 SU in their last six road games and 18-11 SU on the road this season.  

New York’s offense has been excellent all season. As a team the Mets have a batting average of .264 (1st), on base percentage of .335 (1st), slugging percentage of .408 (8th), and have scored 286 runs (2nd). Designated hitter Pete Alonso has been a monster this season with a batting average of .283 (60-212), 16 home runs, and 54 RBIs. The shortstop Francisco Lindor has been productive as well with a batting average of .259 (55-212), nine home runs, and 45 RBIs.  

The Mets bullpen has been solid in most games this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .230 (12th), have a WHIP of 1.19 (9th), and have an ERA of 3.59 (7th). The right-hander Carlos Carrasco is scheduled to start Monday. Carrasco is 6-1 in 10 games this season with an ERA of 3.63 and has given up 56 hits, 23 earned runs, and struck out 51 batters in 57.0 innings. In his most recent outing against the Nationals, Carrasco struck out five batters in 5.0 innings while giving up four hits and zero runs.  

San Diego Padres Betting Analysis

The Padres have been playing great and are 33-21 SU, 29-25 ATS, and have an O/U record of 23-29-2. The total has gone under in five of the Padres last six games at home. Following this trend, the total has gone under in four of their last six games against the Mets. San Diego is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent form the NL East and 13-10 SU at home this season.  

San Diego’s offense is hitting the ball fairly well on the season. As a team the Padres have a batting average of .233 (21st), on base percentage of .310 (18th), slugging percentage of .357 (28th), and have scored 228 runs (15th). The third baseman Manny Machado has been great this season with a batting average of .333 (66-198), nine home runs, and 32 RBIs. First baseman Eric Hosmer has been productive as well with a batting average of .296 (56-189), four home runs, and 25 RBIs.  

The Padres bullpen has been the key to their success this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .215 (2nd), have a WHIP of 1.13 (5th), and have an ERA of 3.34 (5th). Left-handed pitcher Blake Snell is expected to take the mound Monday. Snell is 0-2 in three games this season with an ERA of 4.80 and has given up eight hits, eight earned runs, and struck out 18 batters in 15.0 innings of work. In his most recent start against St. Louis, Snell struck out six batters in 6.0 innings while giving up two hits and two earned runs.  

Key Players to Watch

• NYM: Francisco Lindor - SS (Last Game: 2-4, 2B, R, BB)
• NYM: Pete Alonso - 1B (Last Game: 1-5, 2B, 2 R, RBI)
• SND: Manny Machado - 3B (Last Game: 0-5)
• SND: Eric Hosmer - 1B (Last Game: 1-5, 2B)

Probable Pitchers

• NYM: Carlos Carrasco - RHP (6-1, 3.63 ERA, 51 K, 1.21 WHIP)
• SND: Blake Snell - LHP (0-2, 4.80 ERA, 18 K, 1.07 WHIP)

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Conclusion

I think the results of this game could go either way, but I do like the total to go under. I expect the Mets to be a tad worn out after playing a double header on Saturday and 10.0 innings on Sunday. The Padres offense looked great against the Brewers, but I don’t think they will have as much success with Carrasco taking the mound for the Mets. Backing the under in this matchup.