Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Picks, Predictions, Odds

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Analysis

The Rays will visit the Yankees at Yankee Stadium for the first of a three-game set on Friday, September 9, 2022.

Tampa Bay remains 4.5 games behind the Yankees in the American League East with a 77-58 record, despite going 30-34 away from Tropicana Field. The Yankees currently lead the AL East with a record of 83-55 overall and 48-21 at home.

Updated on 08/11/2025

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Prediction

Tampa Bay enters this matchup second in the AL East standings, four and a half games behind the New York Yankees for first place. If unable to catch the Yankees by the end of the season, the Rays are currently first in the AL Wild Card race. Tampa Bay most recently swept Boston in a three-game series and have won eight of their last 10 games. Both sides of the ball have played extremely well over that stretch. The offense has averaged 4.7 runs per game, a bit higher than their season average of 4.25 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Rays bullpen has a team ERA of 2.2 over their last 10 games, well below their season ERA of 3.25 (3rd). The right-hander Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.70 ERA) is scheduled to start for Tampa Bay Friday.  

New York is currently atop the AL East standings with a four and a half game lead over the second place Rays. The Yankees have struggled since returning from the All-Star break and could end up as a Wild Card team if they cannot finish the season strong. They went 3-1 SU in their most recent series with the Minnesota Twins and are 5-5 SU over their last 10 games. After leading the league in all major batting categories in the first half of the season the Yankees do not rank quite as high with a batting average of .238 (20th), on base percentage of .322 (5th), slugging percentage of .422 (6th) and have scored 675 total runs (4th). The bullpen has remained consistent since returning from the break with a WHIP of 1.10 (3rd) and team ERA of 3.28 (4th). Right-handed pitcher Frankie Montas (5-11, 3.79 ERA) is expected to start Friday.  

I like Tampa Bay to win game of this series. Rasmussen has pitched well this year and I expect him to see success against this Yankees offense that has been inconsistent as of late. Montas did have a solid outing against the Rays this past Monday, giving up just one hit and zero runs in 5.0 innings of work, but I think Tampa’s offense will be more productive this time around. Backing the Rays moneyline in this matchup. 

Score Prediction: Rays 4, Yankees 3
Best Bet: Rays ML (-110)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Odds

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Betting Resources

• Date: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Matchup: AL East
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Location: New York, NY
• Time-TV: 7:05 p.m. ET – Amazon Prime

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees – Current Form

The Rays have played excellent recently, highlighted by Tampa Bay posting back-to-back series victories over Marlins and Red Sox squads, resulting in a solid 5-0 record across that window. In the third contest against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, the Tampa Bay Rays were in their best form in the last five games, not allowing the Boston Red Sox score one single run. The Yankees lost against the Angels last Wednesday with 2-1, but climbed back up by winning against the Twins last Thursday. They limited the Minnesota Twins to just one run in the third contest of the series on Wednesday.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees – Pitching Matchup

Tampa Bay: Drew Rasmussen (9-4, 2.70 ERA)

Drew Rasmussen is on the hill for the Rays in this contest as he makes his 24th start of the season hoping to build some positive momentum. He comes in 9-4 with a 2.70 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, 27 walks and 103 strikeouts over 116.2 innings of work this season. Rasmussen received a no-decision in his most recent start against the Miami Marlins, as Tampa Bay’s right-hander surrendered one run on four hits, and four strikeouts during the Rays’ 1-2 road loss on August 31, 2022. Pitching on the road this season, Rasmussen is 3-3 with a 3.59 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, 16 walks and 42 strikeouts over 52.2 innings in 12 starts.

New York: Frankie Montas (5-11, 3.79 ERA)

New York ace Frankie Montas toes the rubber for his 26th start of the season as he looks to improve on a 5-11 mark and 3.79 ERA. The right-hander has put together a 1.18 WHIP to go along with 136 strikeouts and 35 walks in 135.1 innings of work. The 29-year-old right-hander lifted the Yankees to win on the road over the Tampa Bay Rays on September 4, 2022. Montas tossed five innings in the 1-2 win by Tampa Bay Rays, while giving up one hit with seven strikeouts. In his 13 home starts this season, Montas is 2-6 with a 2.63 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, 24 walks and 85 strikeouts over 78.2 innings of work.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees – Series History

In the 19 encounters between this pair during the 2021 campaign, the Rays posted a winning 11-8 mark. However this season, the Yankees have taken the advantage away from the Rays with nine wins out of 16 games.