Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the San Diego Padres Saturday for Game 4 of the NLDS. First pitch is scheduled for 9:37 PM ET at Petco Park in San Diego, California and can be viewed on FS1.  

Updated on 05/18/2024
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The Dodgers find themselves in a must-win situation after losing Game 3 on Friday. With a final score of 2-1, Los Angeles struggled to get anything going on offense with just six hits, one run, and 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position (RISP). This has been a problem with the Dodgers in all three games, as they are 3-25 with RISP. Starting pitcher Tony Gonsolin gave up four hits and one run in just 1.1 innings. The other five pitchers used were solid, holding the Padres to three hits and one run in 6.2 innings. LHP Tyler Anderson (15-5, 2.57 ERA) is scheduled to start Saturday.  

The Padres will have a chance to close out the series Saturday night at home after a 2-1 win on Friday. San Diego’s offense did just enough on the day with seven hits, one home runs, and 1-for-10 with RISP. This was the lowest scoring game for the Padres in these playoffs, so to get a win here was huge. Starting pitcher Blake Snell gave up five hits and one run in 5.1 innings of work. The other four pitchers closed out the game allowing just one hit and zero runs. RHP Joe Musgrove (10-7, 2.93 ERA) is expected to start Saturday.  

I think you have to play the Padres in Game 4. The bullpen has been pitching lights out throughout the playoffs and the offense is rolling as well. Not to mention, Petco Park was electric on Friday and I would expect the same energy on Saturday night. Back the Padres ML here.  

Score Prediction: Padres 3, Dodgers 2
Best Bet: Padres ML


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  • Date: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Matchup: NL West
  • Venue: Petco Park
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Time-TV: 9:37 p.m. ET – FS1
  • Expert Picks


Los Angeles 112-53 SU and 98-67 ATS after Friday’s loss. The total has gone under in nine of their last 13 games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in nine of their last 10 games on the road. Los Angeles is 14-6 in their last 20 games against the Padres and 4-2 SU in their last six games on the road against San Diego.  

The Dodgers offense have struggled to capitalize in key situations against the Padres in the first three games and are a dreadful 3-for-25 with RISP. Getting on base has not been the problem, it is finding a way to drive in runs that is killing the Dodgers. 1B Freddie Freeman has yet to have his big moment, batting 2-for-10 (.200) at the plate with 1 HR. RF Mookie Betts has struggled as well, batting 2-for-11 (.222) at the plate with no homers or RBIs.  

Aside from Gonsolin lasting just 1.1 innings, the Dodgers bullpen pitched well on Friday as they allowed just two runs. LHP Tyler Anderson will take the mound Saturday. Anderson went 15-5 with an ERA of 2.57 this season, and he gave up 145 hits, 51 earned runs, and struck out 138 batters in 178.2 innings of work. In his most recent outing against the Padres on September 27th, Anderson went 6.0 innings and gave up three hits and two runs.  

(Getty Images)


The Padres are 93-75 SU and 76-92 ATS after winning Game 3. The total has gone over in the 7 of the Padres last nine games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in seven of their last 11 games against the Dodgers. San Diego is 2-4 SU in their last six games when playing at home against Los Angeles and 6-14 SU in their last 20 games against the Dodgers.  

San Diego’s offense could not get much going on Friday, but it was still enough to get the win. The difference maker in Game 3 was a solo home run from CF Trent Grisham in the bottom of the fourth inning. This was the lowest scoring game yet for the Padres in the playoffs as they had been averaging just under five runs per game prior to Game 3. 3B Manny Machado was walked four times on Friday but has been great in these playoffs, batting 6-for-22 (.273) with two home runs and five RBIs. Also keep an eye on RF Juan Soto who is big for a home run.  

The Padres bullpen has been great thus far in the playoffs with a team ERA of 2.83 after six games. RHP Joe Musgrove is scheduled to start Saturday. Musgrove went 10-7 SU with an ERA of 2.93 this season and gave up 154 hits, 59 earned runs, and struck out 184 batters in 181.0 innings. In his Wild Card outing against the Mets, Musgrove went 7.0 innings while holding the Mets to one hit and zero runs. If he can have a similar outing in game-four the Padres will be tough to beat.  


  • SNDManny Machado - 3B (Last Game: 0-1, 3 BB, K)
  • SND: Juan Soto - RF (Last Game: 1-4, 2B, R)
  • LAD: Mookie Betts - CF (Last Game: 1-3, RBI)
  • LAD: Freddie Freeman - 1B (Last Game: 0-3, BB, K)


  • SND: Joe Musgrove - RHP
  • LAD: Tyler Anderson - LHP