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Bucks vs Pacers Game 4 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read

The 2024 NBA Playoffs continue with a loaded 4-game slate this Sunday -- and the third matchup of the day we'll preview is Bucks vs. Pacers Game 4, which is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Bucks are 9.5-point underdogs on the spread in Sunday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 217.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 4 of Bucks vs. Pacers -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Sunday, April 28.

Check out our overall NBA odds to get a full idea of the big picture.

Bucks vs Pacers Odds

MIL @ IND Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +6 -110 +6.5 -112 +6.5 -110 +6.5 -120 +6 -110 +5.5 -110 +5.5 -107 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -6 -110 -6.5 -108 -6.5 -110 -6.5 -110 -6 -110 -5.5 -115 -5.5 -120 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o109.5 -110 o109.5 -112 N/A o109.5 -115 o109.5 -110 o109.5 -110 o109.5 -114 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u109.5 -110 u109.5 -110 N/A u109.5 -115 u109.5 -110 u109.5 -110 u109.5 -114 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +260 +280 +200 +225 N/A +245 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -340 -350 -300 -278 N/A -335 -480  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +6 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +5.5 -122 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -6 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -5.5 -107 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o106.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A o105.5 -108 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u106.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A u105.5 -124 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +180 N/A N/A N/A N/A +200 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -225 N/A N/A N/A N/A -265 -480  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +3 -110 +3.5 -114 +3.5 -115 +3.5 -115 +3 -105 +3.5 -120 +2.5 -104 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -3 -110 -3.5 -106 -3.5 -105 -3.5 -115 -3 -115 -3.5 -105 -2.5 -122 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o55.5 -110 o54.5 -115 N/A N/A o54.5 -112 o55.5 -110 o54.5 -120 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u55.5 -110 u54.5 -111 N/A N/A u54.5 -108 u55.5 -120 u54.5 -108 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +186 +190 +175 +180 N/A +180 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -235 -250 -227 -218 N/A -235 -480  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +2.5 -115 +3.5 -120 N/A +2.5 -115 +2.5 -105 +2.5 -110 +3.5 -124 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -3.5 -102 N/A -2.5 -115 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -110 -3.5 -106 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o55.5 -115 o54.5 -122 N/A N/A o54.5 -110 o54.5 -110 o54.5 -120 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u55.5 -115 u54.5 -104 N/A N/A u54.5 -110 u54.5 -115 u54.5 -112 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +180 N/A N/A +170 N/A +175 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -225 N/A N/A -205 N/A -230 -480  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +2.5 -115 +2.5 -102 N/A +2.5 -110 +3 -112 +2.5 -110 +3.5 -114 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -120 N/A -2.5 -120 -3 -108 -2.5 -120 -3.5 -114 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o53 -115 o52.5 -111 N/A N/A o52.5 -108 o53.5 -105 o52.5 -108 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u53 -115 u52.5 -115 N/A N/A u52.5 -112 u53.5 -125 u52.5 -122 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +172 N/A N/A +160 N/A +188 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -215 N/A N/A -192 N/A -245 -480  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+5.5 -110 +2 -115 +1.5 -120 N/A +1.5 -120 +2 -115 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -110 +10 -106  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-5.5 -110 -2 -115 -1.5 -102 N/A -1.5 -110 -2 -105 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -118 -10 -114  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
o224.5 -110 o52.5 -115 o51.5 -125 N/A N/A o52.5 -108 o52.5 -120 o52.5 -118 o214.5 -110  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
u224.5 -110 u52.5 -115 u51.5 -102 N/A N/A u52.5 -112 u52.5 -110 u52.5 -112 u214.5 -110  
Final
Milwaukee Bucks 553 Bucks
+188 N/A +116 N/A +125 +124 N/A +130 +370  
Indiana Pacers 554 Pacers
-225 N/A -142 N/A -161 -148 N/A -167 -480  

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Bucks vs Pacers Picks & Prediction

The Bucks were behind the 8-ball from the jump in this series with Giannis Antetoukounmpo sidelined with a calf injury for (at least) the first two matchups – and as of Saturday afternoon, there’s still no clear timetable for his return, as the latest update stated Giannis still hasn’t added running or cutting to his recovery routine.

For the first 24 minutes of this series, however, it looked like the absence of Antetokounmpo might not be much of a problem for Milwaukee, because it was Dame Time early and often for the Bucks, as Damian Lillard erupted for 35 points on 11-of-19 from the field and 6-of-10 from 3-point range in the first half of Game 1 to give his team a 69-42 lead at the break.

The Bucks managed to hold on for a 109-94 victory in Game 1. But it wasn’t exactly a cakewalk, as the Pacers won the second half by a 12-point margin and Lillard disappeared into the night with zero points on 0-of-5 from the field in the second half – which wasn’t a huge concern heading into Game 2. But at this point, it isn’t a great sign for Milwaukee.

Game 2 was a similar story for the Bucks. This time around, however, Dame’s disappearing act actually costed them, as Lillard went off for 26 points on 58% from the floor and 55% from 3-point range in the first half of Tuesday’s contest, and then took his foot off the gas pedal again down the stretch with just 8 points on 33% from the field and zero successful long range attempts in the second half – resulting in a 125-108 home loss.

In Game 3, however, Milwaukee appeared to be dead in the water early. But finally, it was Dame Time late in a big game. Lillard scored 9 points on 20% shooting in the first half, and then bounced back with 19 points on 40% from the field and 50% from 3-point range in the second half, which helped the Bucks erase a 22-point deficit after the midway break and send the game to overtime – but unfortunately, Dame suffered a calf strain in the process and is now listed as doubtful for Game 4.

Khris Middleton was phenomenal in Game 3 for Milwaukee. He scored 42 points on 16-of-29 (55%) from the field and buried a game-tying 3-pointer at the buzzer in regulation, and then accomplished an eerily similar feat to tie the game with less than 10 seconds on the clock in OT. Unfortunately, however, it was immediately negated by a last-second bucket from Tyrese Haliburton on the following possession. So, even on Middleton’s best night, the Pacers still managed to escape with the win in Game 3 to take a 2-1 lead in the series.

The Bucks are 18-21 since hiring Doc Rivers as their head coach back in January, which includes a 1-2 split in the playoffs – and there hasn’t been much to feel good about during that time frame, especially in the absence of Antetokounmpo, considering they rank 18th in offensive rating and 15th in defensive rating in their last 39 games – and most of those games were played with the 2-time MVP in the lineup.

If Giannis and Dame were healthy, this series would be a completely different story, especially given the offensive sparks Lillard has provided thus far – but Middleton can’t do it all by himself, and if Giannis is also unable to shoulder the scoring load in the imminent future, the Bucks are in trouble. I’ll lay the points with Indiana.

Pick: Pacers -9.5 (-110)

Click this link for picks and predictions for all First Round NBA Playoff matchups!

Bucks vs Pacers Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Sunday, April 28
Matchup: Central
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Location: Indiana, IN
Time-TV: TNT, 7:00 p.m. ET

Bucks vs Pacers Betting Stats

3) Milwaukee Bucks
(1st Place, Central)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +5500
  • Odds to Win Conference: +2100
  • Odds to Win Series: +440
  • SU: 49-33
  • ATS: 35-46-1
  • O/U: 40-41-1
  • PPG: 119.0
  • OPPG: 116.4

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements leading up to the NBA Finals!

6) Indiana Pacers
(3rd Place, Central)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +4800
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1300
  • Odds to Win Series: -650
  • SU: 47-36
  • ATS: 45-37-1
  • O/U: 42-40
  • PPG: 123.3
  • OPPG: 120.2

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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