Heat vs 76ers Picks, Odds | NBA Play-In Tournament Prediction

The 2024 SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament resumes with a pair of Eastern Conference battles on ESPN this Wednesday -- and the first matchup of the evening we'll be previewing is Heat vs. 76ers, which is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET.

The Sixers are 4.5-point favorites on the spread in Wednesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 207 total points at FanDuel.

Here's everything you need to know about Heat vs 76ers -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Play-In Tournament on Wednesday, April 17.

Heat vs 76ers Odds

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Heat vs 76ers Picks & Prediction

The zombies crawling out of the grave…The sleepwalkers snapping out of a slumber…The bears awakening from hibernation…The Miami Heat are back in the Play-In Tournament, and it’s impossible to know what to expect from this team after yet another mediocre regular season campaign.

The Heat finished 7th in the East with a record of 44-38 last season, while ranking 25th in offensive rating and 9th in defensive rating (21st Net Rating), and they were nearly eliminated in the Play-In Tournament after losing to Atlanta in the 7-8 matchup and then rallying back to beat Chicago to claim the 8-seed.

But as we all know, the Heat went onto represent the conference in the NBA Finals. So can we really count out Miami after improving their record to 46-36 this season, while also seeing slight upticks (21st Offensive Rating, 5th Defensive Rating) at both ends of the floor?

While you certainly can not count them out (and I still expect them to advance past the winner of Atlanta vs. Chicago to claim the 8-seed), I believe they are running into a buzzsaw in the first round of the Play-In Tournament with a trip to Philadelphia on Wednesday night.

Joel Embiid was sidelined for 43 of 82 games for Philadelphia this season, and the Sixers quickly went in the tank in the absence of the reigning MVP, as they posted a miserable record of 16-27 in those contests – and from January 25 through March 30, they were one of the worst teams in basketball, yielding a record of 10-22 while ranking 22nd in offensive rating and 26th in defensive rating during that stretch.

With that in mind though, Embiid is back in the lineup for the Sixers, and he played pretty well in the closing days of the regular season – scoring 29+ points in four of his five outings since his return to action, and securing 11+ rebounds in three of them.

Once Embiid was officially declared active, the Sixers immediately flipped a switch and won eight straight games to close the regular season, while ranking 2nd in the NBA in net rating during that span. 

That really isn’t all too different from the product we’ve seen from the current iteration of this team during the brief stints when Embiid has been healthy either, considering Philadelphia has posted a stellar record of 31-8 to go along with a net rating of +10.5 in 39 games with the reigning MVP, which would be the 2nd-best net rating in the entire league if that number persisted, only behind Boston (+11.7).

There’s no denying the fact that Miami is dangerous, and I certainly wouldn’t recommend max-betting against the Heat in this spot. But I believe this Philly team is much better than the wide majority of basketball fans are currently giving them credit for – and if they are actually as good as some of the underlying metrics suggest (and Embiid can stay healthy), look out for the Sixers.

Pick: 76ers -4.5 (-110)

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Heat vs 76ers Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Wednesday, April 17
Matchup: Southeast vs Atlantic
Venue: Wells Fargo Center
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Time-TV: ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET

Heat vs 76ers Betting Stats

7) Philadelphia 76ers
(3rd Place, Atlantic)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1600
  • Odds to Win Conference: +850
  • SU: 47-35
  • ATS: 48-33-1
  • O/U: 35-47
  • PPG: 114.6
  • OPPG: 111.5

8) Miami Heat
(2nd Place, Southeast)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +4200
  • Odds to Win Conference: +1600
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 43-39
  • PPG: 110.1
  • OPPG: 108.4

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