Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions, Picks, Odds

4 minute read

Regular-season NBA action will resume on Friday night with a Northwest Division showdown between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets. Coverage begins from Denver’s Ball Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Nuggets 123, Timberwolves 120

Best Bets

Over 239.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Predictions

After finishing 13^th in the West with a record of 23-49 SU last year, Minnesota briefly sustained that same lethargic pace with another lackluster start to this season, as the Timberwolves opened with a disappointing 11-15 SU skid – while scoring just 107.7 OPPG across that span.

The Wolves have played excellent since mid-December though, considering Minnesota enters Friday riding an impressive 32-19 SU and 30-19-2 ATS run – while generating 118.9 OPPG and allowing 116.2 DPPG during that timeframe.

On the other hand, Denver stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Nuggets kicked things off with a relatively mediocre 20-19 SU and 16-23 ATS stretch – while scoring just 105.6 OPPG across that window.

The Nuggets have played excellent since the midway point of January though, considering Denver boasts sturdy records of 26-12 SU and 18-19-1 ATS across their last 38 games – while scoring 118.6 OPPG and surrendering 113.9 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll take the over here, as the Wolves are 5-5 SU and ATS in their last ten games, while tallying 118.8 OPPG and surrendering 117.4 DPPG across that span – setting the stage for a particularly high-scoring battle against a Nuggets squad that’s averaging 118.4 OPPG across their latest 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS stretch.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Odds

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Resources

Matchup: Northwest
Date: Friday, April 1, 2022
Venue: Ball Arena
Location: Denver, CO
TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 9:00 p.m. ET
Injury Report

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Analysis

SU: 43-34
ATS: 41-34-2
O/U: 45-32

After last year’s lackluster 23-49 SU showing, Minnesota briefly kept that same ball rolling with another frustrating to this season, as the Timberwolves kicked things off with a frustrating 11-15 SU and ATS skid – with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Minnesota has admirably flipped the script since December, considering the Wolves enter Friday riding a sturdy 32-19 SU and 30-19-2 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 22 of those matchups.

Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

SU: 46-31
ATS: 34-42-1
O/U: 41-34-2

Despite the year-long absence of Jamal Murray, Denver has still strung together an admirable 2021-22 campaign, considering the Nuggets are currently neck-and-neck with Utah for fifth place in the West with a record of 46-31 SU – and stand well within striking distance of the fourth-placed Jazz.

The Nuggets have encountered their fair share of health hurdles throughout the year, primarily highlighted by the extended absence of their third scoring option, Michael Porter Jr. However, Denver still boasts solid numbers at both ends of the floor, considering the Nuggets have scored 115+ PTS in 13 of their last 21 contests (118.6 OPPG) – and surrendered 110 PTS or less in nine of their last 19 (114.5 DPPG).

**The Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. (AP)**

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Head-to-Head

Denver swept a three-game regular-season set against Minnesota last year, with the first two matchups soaring over the total at an average of 236 PPG, while the third stayed under with a score of 114-103 (U 231). However, Minnesota is 2-1 SU against Denver this season, with the first matchup staying under the total at a score of 93-91 (U 219), while their latest two affairs went over with an average of 238 PPG.

Key Players to Watch

MIN: Karl-Anthony Towns - C (24.4 PPG, 9.8 REB, 3.7 AST)
MIN: Anthony Edwards - SG (21 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.7 AST)
DEN: Nikola Jokic - C (26.5 PPG, 13.6 REB, 8 AST)
DEN: Will Barton - SF (14.7 PPG, 4.9 REB, 3.9 AST)

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Conclusion

After posting back-to-back double-digit road losses in Boston and Toronto, the Wolves hit the road again for Friday’s contest as short underdogs against the Nuggets at Ball Arena – marking the fourth time Minnesota has been an underdog across their last six games.

I’ll take the over here, as the Nuggets are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last ten games, while tallying 118.4 OPPG and surrendering 117.8 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a competitive high-scoring battle against a Wolves squad that’s averaging 123.3 OPPG across their latest 11-5 SU stretch.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Nuggets are 12-2 SU in their last 14 matchups against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 Wolves' games.
The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Nuggets' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven matchups between Minnesota and Denver.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson