MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, July 1st

Derek Mountain Sports Betting Expert

1 minute read

These are the three best home run props for today, July 1, 2025:

• Brent Rooker
• Ben Rice
• Matt Olson

We have a full MLB slate today with 15 scheduled games, but potential rain on the way for a handful of them. Check out the latest sportsbook promos and get in on all of the MLB action!

Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.

Credit: Dale Zanine - Imagn Images

Brent Rooker to Hit a Home Run (+425 | bet365) vs. (SP: Shane Baz)

For today’s first pick of July, we’ll take on a dinger fan favorite over the past two seasons in Brent Rooker.

Rooker is one of the rare batters who displays power against both righties and lefties, as he’s hit 12 of his 17 home runs against right-handed pitchers, including a formidable .454 SLG.

On the bump, he’ll face Shane Baz, who is actually giving up more power against right-handed bats.

On the year, Baz is allowing a staggering 1.54 HR/9, as well as a .425 SLG. It also doesn’t hurt to target guys playing in this minor-league ballpark.

Ben Rice to Hit a Home Run (+400 | FanDuel) vs. (SP: Kevin Gausman)

This afternoon, the Yankees take on the Blue Jays in a pivotal AL East showdown, as Toronto trails the Bronx Bombers by just two games.

For our second pick, we’re going with Ben Rice, who has experienced a bit of a breakout in 2025. As a lefty, Rice has been much better against righties with a .497 SLG and 143 wRC+. 

On the mound is Kevin Gausman. Although Gausman has been serviceable, he’s not what he once was. Gausman has been a great guy to target, specifically against lefties, as he is relinquishing 1.46 HR/9 against the same side.

Matt Olson to Hit a Home Run (+300 | FanDuel) vs. (SP: Tyler Anderson)

For our third and final pick, we’ll target a rare lefty-on-lefty matchup.

However, in this case, it is advantageous with both splits. Matt Olson has equally impressive power numbers against lefties, with a 132 wRC+ and a ridiculous .519 SLG. Although he strikes out much more frequently against left-handers, this is something he won’t have to worry about against Tyler Anderson.

According to Baseball Savant, Anderson is in just the 18th percentile in generating strikeouts. Generally speaking, Anderson has been solid at limiting power but has, interestingly enough, struggled much more against left-handed bats.

Against that side, Anderson has allowed 7 home runs in just 23.1 innings pitched (2.70 HR/9) and a .634 SLG.

Derek Mountain

Derek Mountain works in the Boston area as an SEO Performance Associate for Better Collective. Derek is a recent graduate of the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, MA where he played football for five years as well as walking on the basketball team his freshman year. Derek has experience writing and editing casino content for nearly four years. More from Derek Mountain