MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, July 9th 

Derek Mountain Sports Betting Expert

1 minute read

These are the two best home run props for today, July 9, 2025:

• Pete Alonso
• Nick Kurtz

Last night brought us plenty of home runs from some of the game’s biggest names: Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and Cal Raleigh were a few of the many to go yard. Below are some more dinger picks before today’s action begins.

Check out the latest sportsbook promos and get in on all of the MLB action!

Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.

Feature Image Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Home Runs Odds

Time	Bet365	BetMGM	FanDuel	Sleeper
	›	›	›	›
Jorge Polanco	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+470	o0.5 +343
Jorbit Vivas	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+600	o0.5 +485
Trent Grisham	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +360	+350	o0.5 +300
Giancarlo Stanton			0
Paul Goldschmidt	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+560	o0.5 +397
See All
J.P. Crawford	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+750
Aaron Judge	o0.5 +220	o0.5 +220	+200	o0.5 +165
Oswald Peraza	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +875	+800
Will Benson	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+390	o0.5 +295
Kyle Stowers	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500		o0.5 +371
Eric Wagaman	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+520	o0.5 +401
Miles Mastrobuoni	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+900
Austin Wells	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +333	+370	o0.5 +257
Cole Young	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Randy Arozarena	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+470	o0.5 +300
Ben Williamson	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+1060
Jasson Dominguez	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+370	o0.5 +287
J.C. Escarra			+520
Christopher Morel	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +600	+600	o0.5 +398
Jake Mangum	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+1200
Wilyer Abreu	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+470	o0.5 +316
David Hamilton	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+900
Dominic Canzone	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+430	o0.5 +325
Anthony Volpe	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+800
Cal Raleigh	o0.5 +185	o0.5 +185	+176	o0.5 +164
Ben Rice	o0.5 +275	o0.5 +310	+330	o0.5 +255
Jazz Chisholm	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +333	+290	o0.5 +256
Luke Raley	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+450	o0.5 +338
Cody Bellinger	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+440	o0.5 +294
Julio Rodriguez	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+520	o0.5 +358
Agustin Ramirez	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +425	+350	o0.5 +296
TJ Friedl	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+450	o0.5 +385
Tyler O'Neill			+320
Hayden Senger	o0.5 +1550	o0.5 +1550	+830
Xavier Edwards	o0.5 +1500	o0.5 +1450	+1100
Elly De La Cruz	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +340	+330	o0.5 +255
Otto Lopez	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+560	o0.5 +451
Heriberto Hernandez	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +550	+480
Juan Soto	o0.5 +265	o0.5 +260	+260
Ramon Laureano	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +550	+480
Pete Alonso	o0.5 +290	o0.5 +300	+255
Starling Marte			0
Ronny Mauricio	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+520
Gunnar Henderson	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+350
Brett Baty	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+470
Mark Vientos	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +575	+390
Nick Fortes	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +825	+800	o0.5 +511
Jesus Sanchez	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575
Matt McLain	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+340	o0.5 +305
Javier Sanoja			0
Connor Norby	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+470	o0.5 +373
Tyler Stephenson	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+450	o0.5 +337
Noelvi Marte	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+540	o0.5 +377
Spencer Steer	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +550	+520	o0.5 +377
Liam Hicks	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1200
Jack Winkler			0
Dane Myers	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +525	+600	o0.5 +422
Derek Hill	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+750	o0.5 +509
Gavin Lux	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+630	o0.5 +442
Jose Trevino	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+560	o0.5 +427
Austin Hays	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+390	o0.5 +303
Jonathan Aranda	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+500	o0.5 +357
Josh Lowe	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+750	o0.5 +509
Kyle Manzardo	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +320	+400	o0.5 +266
Luis Robert	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+500	o0.5 +332
Carlos Santana	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+520	o0.5 +338
Steven Kwan	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +775	+680	o0.5 +471
Lenyn Sosa	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+750	o0.5 +501
Michael A. Taylor		o0.5 +575		o0.5 +392
Yohel Pozo	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +775	+630
Lars Nootbaar	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+600	o0.5 +373
Masyn Winn	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +825	+1000
Nolan Arenado	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+800	o0.5 +472
Brendan Donovan	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+600	o0.5 +382
James Wood	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +360	+350	o0.5 +257
Nolan Gorman	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+460	o0.5 +339
Pedro Pages	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +825	+900
Jose Ramirez	o0.5 +290	o0.5 +290	+320	o0.5 +220
Martin Perez			0
Bo Naylor	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+440	o0.5 +324
Miguel Vargas	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+540	o0.5 +406
Daniel Schneemann	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+560	o0.5 +356
Nolan Jones	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+600	o0.5 +429
Austin Slater	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +600	+630	o0.5 +443
Colson Montgomery	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+630
CJ Abrams	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+520	o0.5 +354
Angel Martinez	o0.5 +600		+630	o0.5 +426
Edgar Quero	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+750
Mike Tauchman	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +575	+830	o0.5 +492
Andrew Benintendi			0
Tim Elko	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625
Jhonkensy Noel	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+560	o0.5 +410
Chase Meidroth	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+800
Brayan Rocchio	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Alec Burleson	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+500	o0.5 +319
Jarren Duran	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+630	o0.5 +380
Taylor Walls	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300	+1060
Chandler Simpson	o0.5 +1650	+2000	+1700
Romy Gonzalez	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+750	o0.5 +501
Marcelo Mayer	o0.5 +950	o0.5 +950	+870
Ha-Seong Kim	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +875	+900
Masataka Yoshida			+750
Carlos Narvaez	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +575	+680	o0.5 +446
Brandon Lowe			+430
Trevor Story	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +450	+600	o0.5 +332
Matt Thaiss	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1100	+1060
Danny Jansen	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+560	o0.5 +408
Yandy Diaz	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+560	o0.5 +385
Abraham Toro	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+830
Junior Caminero	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+420	o0.5 +285
Roman Anthony	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+700
Willson Contreras	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+560	o0.5 +365
Victor Scott	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1200	+1060
Josh Bell	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+500	o0.5 +333
Drew Millas	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+870
Brady House	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+900
Daylen Lile	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+900
Luis Garcia			+630
Paul DeJong	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +412
Riley Adams	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+800	o0.5 +510
Ceddanne Rafaela	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+700	o0.5 +422
Jacob Young	o0.5 +1800	+2200	+1500
Luis Garcia		o0.5 +575
Nathaniel Lowe	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+680	o0.5 +411
Jeff McNeil	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +500	+560
Ryan O'Hearn	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+450
Nolan Schanuel	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +875	+870
Logan O'Hoppe	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+340	o0.5 +297
Sam Haggerty			+870
Evan Carter	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +387
Chad Stevens			0
Zach Neto	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +333	+340	o0.5 +277
Jonah Heim	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+470	o0.5 +385
Alejandro Osuna		o0.5 +850	+750
Jake Burger	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+370	o0.5 +316
Adolis Garcia	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+420	o0.5 +294
Luis Rengifo	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+800	o0.5 +495
Kyle Higashioka	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	0	o0.5 +396
Jo Adell	o0.5 +280	o0.5 +290	+310	o0.5 +229
Yoan Moncada	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+520	o0.5 +407
Alek Thomas	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+680	o0.5 +479
Tristin English			+750
Martin Maldonado	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+630	o0.5 +519
Jose Iglesias	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300	+1000
Geraldo Perdomo	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+750
Jake Cronenworth	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+700	o0.5 +451
Corbin Carroll	o0.5 +240	o0.5 +240	+240	o0.5 +195
Xander Bogaerts	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+750	o0.5 +509
Manny Machado	o0.5 +310	o0.5 +300	+350	o0.5 +241
Fernando Tatis	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+390	o0.5 +282
Luis Arraez	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1300	+1100
Jackson Merrill	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +650	+600	o0.5 +370
Ketel Marte	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +360	+330	o0.5 +253
Gavin Sheets	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +775	+600	o0.5 +446
Eugenio Suarez	o0.5 +320	o0.5 +320	+340	o0.5 +235
Josh Naylor	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+440	o0.5 +351
Marcus Semien	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+500	o0.5 +402
Jorge Soler	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +333	+340	o0.5 +269
Marcell Ozuna	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +333	+300
Jurickson Profar	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+400
Nick Kurtz	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+360
Ronald Acuna	o0.5 +255	o0.5 +250	+240
Michael Harris		o0.5 +575	+480
Austin Wynns		o0.5 +825	+750
Luis Urias			0
Austin Riley	o0.5 +205	o0.5 +200	+196
Max Schuemann	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1100	+1000
Zack Gelof	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+800
Denzel Clarke	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +850	+1060
Lawrence Butler	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +400	+340
Sean Murphy	o0.5 +265	o0.5 +270	+230
Nick Allen	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+1100
Brent Rooker	o0.5 +375	o0.5 +375	+340
Ozzie Albies	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +475	+470
Josh Smith	o0.5 +575	o0.5 +575	+540	o0.5 +398
Ezequiel Duran			0
Corey Seager	o0.5 +280	o0.5 +280	+255	o0.5 +213
Taylor Ward	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+370	o0.5 +292
Mike Trout	o0.5 +300	o0.5 +270	+285	o0.5 +229
LaMonte Wade			+830
Wyatt Langford	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +575	+430	o0.5 +316
Gustavo Campero			0
Matt Olson	o0.5 +270	o0.5 +270	+255
Miguel Andujar	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +900	+680
Shea Langeliers	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +340	+400
Max Muncy	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+560
Jacob Wilson			0
Lourdes Gurriel	o0.5 +550	o0.5 +550	+560	o0.5 +404
Randal Grichuk			+560
Reese McGuire			0
Christian Vazquez			+680
Michael Busch	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +310	+350	o0.5 +257
Ryan Jeffers	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+480	o0.5 +340
Seiya Suzuki	o0.5 +350	o0.5 +350	+320	o0.5 +255
Willi Castro	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+630	o0.5 +384
Kyle Tucker	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +310	+320	o0.5 +241
Byron Buxton			+230
Matt Wallner	o0.5 +290	o0.5 +260	+310	o0.5 +237
Brooks Lee	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+560	o0.5 +371
Nico Hoerner	o0.5 +1250	o0.5 +1250	+1500
Royce Lewis	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+440	o0.5 +318
Carlos Correa	o0.5 +625	o0.5 +625	+630	o0.5 +427
Ty France	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +750	+750	o0.5 +518
Ian Happ	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +350	+360	o0.5 +311
Kody Clemens	o0.5 +280	o0.5 +290	+340	o0.5 +278
Alex Jackson	o0.5 +850	o0.5 +900	+680
Ramon Urias	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+560
Gary Sanchez			0
Brandon Nimmo	o0.5 +265	o0.5 +275	+320
Cedric Mullins	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +475	+500
Francisco Lindor	o0.5 +325	o0.5 +333	+340
Luisangel Acuna	o0.5 +1300	o0.5 +1350	+600
Jackson Holliday	o0.5 +425	o0.5 +425	+430
Harrison Bader	o0.5 +750	o0.5 +725	+700	o0.5 +475
Carson Kelly	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+560	o0.5 +437
Dansby Swanson	o0.5 +525	o0.5 +525	+600	o0.5 +417
Jordan Westburg	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+450
Colton Cowser	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +375	+360
Luis Torrens			0
Pete Crow-Armstrong	o0.5 +320	o0.5 +350	+320	o0.5 +248
Matt Shaw	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Ramon Urias	o0.5 +900	o0.5 +950	+680
Jordan Westburg	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+450
Jesse Winker	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+470
Gary Sanchez			0
Francisco Lindor	o0.5 +390	o0.5 +400	+290
Brandon Nimmo	o0.5 +320	o0.5 +320	+285
Colton Cowser	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+470
Jackson Holliday	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+480
Jose Herrera	o0.5 +1550	o0.5 +1550	+1100
Jake McCarthy	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+900
Trenton Brooks			0
Ronny Mauricio	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+500
Coby Mayo	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +600	+680
Jacob Stallings	o0.5 +1100	o0.5 +1150	+1060
Cedric Mullins	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	0
Tyrone Taylor	o0.5 +1200	o0.5 +1050	+600
Ramon Laureano	o0.5 +700	o0.5 +725	+540
Pete Alonso	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +350	+320
Luis Vazquez	o0.5 +1000		+630
Luis Torrens	o0.5 +1000	o0.5 +1050	+830
Trevor Larnach	o0.5 +400	o0.5 +425	+400	o0.5 +315
Tyler O'Neill	o0.5 +450	o0.5 +450	+350
Juan Soto	o0.5 +275	o0.5 +280	+280
Brett Baty	o0.5 +650	o0.5 +675	+480
Jeff McNeil	o0.5 +600	o0.5 +625	+480
Ryan O'Hearn	o0.5 +800	o0.5 +800	+630
Starling Marte			0
Mark Vientos			0
Gunnar Henderson	o0.5 +500	o0.5 +500	+440
Tyler Soderstrom	o0.5 +475	o0.5 +450	+460

Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run (+275 | bet365) vs. (SP: Tomoyuki Sugano)

To start things off, we’re going with the Polar Bear, Pete Alonso.

Alonso went yard late in last night’s game to help propel a nice comeback win over the Baltimore Orioles. And for tonight, he has another great opportunity to go yard against Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano.

Sugano has allowed five homers in just his last two starts. Although he has generally been solid at limiting power for the year, those numbers have slowly begun to regress, as Sugano is in the 7th percentile in barrel percentage, according to Baseball Savant.

As the calendar turns to July, Alonso is beginning to heat up. Particularly, Alonso has been elite against right-handers with a .313 BA, 16 home runs, 176 wRC+ (!!), and a .979 OPS. 

Nick Kurtz to Hit a Home Run (+350 | FanDuel) vs. (SP: Bryce Elder)

For our second pick, we will take another guy who went yard last night and one of yesterday’s picks: Nick Kurtz.

Kurtz has been one of the league’s best rookies - against right-handers, Kurtz is slugging .613 with a .969 OPS, where 13 of his 14 home runs have come against this same side.

We took advantage of Braves’ pitcher Didier Fuentes last night (who was sent down after his performance), and we get to do it again with Bryce Elder on the bump.

Over the last few years, Elder has been an excellent target for dingers, as he is always near the bottom of the league in generating swing-and-misses. This has certainly been the case in 2025; according to Baseball Savant, he is in the 2nd percentile in xBA (.305) and 3rd percentile in xERA (6.00).

Derek Mountain

Derek Mountain works in the Boston area as an SEO Performance Associate for Better Collective. Derek is a recent graduate of the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, MA where he played football for five years as well as walking on the basketball team his freshman year. Derek has experience writing and editing casino content for nearly four years. More from Derek Mountain