MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, May 28th
These are the four best home run props for today, May 28, 2025:
- Yanier Diaz (+650)
- Aaron Judge (+196)
- Keibert Ruiz (+830)
- Josh Bell (+600)
Keep reading for more details about Wednesday’s MLB home run prop bets.
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Home Runs Odds
MLB Home Run Picks for May 28, 2025
Yanier Diaz (+650 | BetMGM) vs. Athletics (SP: Luis Severino)
Updated on 5/30/25
Diaz has a great track record against Luis Severino. In 7 plate appearances, Diaz has notched three hits, two of which have been home runs. Diaz has had success against fastballs, launching three home runs against the fastball and fastball variants. Severino has three fastballs in his arsenal, throwing them 67% of the time.
While his exit velocity and raw power stats are average, a combination of the pitching matchup and Diaz’s success against the four-seam fastball could be just enough for Yanier to go yard.
Aaron Judge (+200 | FD) vs. Los Angeles Angels (SP: Yusei Kikuchi)
You do not need me to sit here and tell you about Aaron Judge’s power. Here is what I will say: This is a good matchup for Judge, and the wind is blowing out.
You are always going to pay a steep price on Aaron Judge’s home run prop, but when you consider these factors, it may very well be worth it. Judge has hit two home runs off of Kikuchi in his career, and with 8 MPH winds out to center all it will take is some solid contact for Judge to go yard.
Keibert Ruiz (+830 | FD) vs. Seattle Mariners (SP: George Kirby)
Although it is a small sample size, Keibert Ruiz has had some success against George Kirby. In six plate appearances, Ruiz has 3 hits including one home run. He also boasts a .443 xBA against Kirby, proving that his success is not just due to a string of good luck.
Ruiz puts himself in a great position with his plate discipline, boasting elite whiff and strikeout rates. He is in the 99th percentile in squared-up rate, indicating that when he makes contact, it is solid.
Josh Bell (+600 | FD) vs. Seattle Mariners (SP: George Kirby)
Josh Bell has struggled this season, but a favorable matchup may be just what he needs to get back on track. In 5 plate appearances against George Kirby, Josh Bell has 2 hits, one of which is a home run.
Four of Bell’s home runs this season have come off of fastballs, a pitch type that Kirby throws 58% of the time. If Bell can jump on one early, there is no reason he can’t go yard today.
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