Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Everything's Big In Texas
The Rangers and Astros hook up in Houston, and a lot of runs are sure to follow with LHP Mike Minor and LHP Wade Miley locking horns. The over is 12-3-1 in the past 16 games overall for the Rangers, while going 10-1-1 in the past 12 games against teams with a winning overall record. The over is 7-0-1 in their past eight outings on the road, too, while going 5-0-1 in the past six against American League West Division foes. The over is also 5-0-1 in the past six on the road against teams with a winning overall mark. However, the under is 7-2 in Minor's past nine inside the division, while the under is 10-4-2 in the past 16 on the road againnt teams vs. LHP. The under has also cashed in each of Minor's past four against the Astros.

 The over is 5-0-1 in Houston's past six games overall, while going 5-0-1 in their past six on a grass surface, too. In addition, the over is 4-0 in the past four games for Houston inside the division. While the over is 3-1-1 in the past five at home vs. LHP, the under is 7-3 in the past 10 games overall against southpaws. In this series, the under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings overall, too. As an added bonus, the Rangers have won four of the past five overall, and six of the past eight meetings at 'The Juice Box'.

Looking Ahead

Thursday, May 9
The Mariners and Yankees square off at the stadium in the Bronx, and it's RHP Mike Leake and LHP JA Happ locking horns. The over is 33-16-2 across the past 51 games overall for the Mariners, and 6-1 in their past seven tries against teams from the American League East. In addition, the over is 18-7-1 in their past 26 games on the road. With Leake on the bump, the over is 7-1 in his past eight outings, and the over is 4-0 in Leake's past four road assignments. The over is also 19-7 in their past 26 attempts vs. LHP. For the Yankees, the over is 10-4 in their past 14 games overall, while cashing in six of the past eight at home. The over is also 16-6 across the past 22 against winning teams. The over is also 8-2 in Happ's past 10 starts overall, while hitting in four of his past five at home and each of the past four against teams with a winning record.

The Braves and Diamondbacks kick off a four-game set in the desert. The over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings between these sides, while going 21-8-2 in the past 31 meetings in Arizona. The over is also 5-1-1 in the past seven games overall, while going 4-1-1 in the past six on the road. The over is 5-0-1 in the past six on the road against teams with a winning overall record, too. For Arizona, the over is 5-1 in their past six games overall, and 5-2 in the past seven against NL East foes. However, the under is 11-5 in the past 16 for Arizona vs. RHP, and 12-5-1 in the past 18 against teams with a losing overall record.

Wind Report
There will be a stiff wind blowing 16-19 mph from right field to home plate, although the precipitation will move out in time, so that's the good news. Check out the under, which is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings at Comerica, and 5-2 in the past seven overall in this series.

The winds will be blowing out in Cleveland and Chicago. At Progressive Field for the White Sox and Indians, the wind will be blowing 15-18 mph out to the right-center field power alley, while the Marlins and Cubs will experience winds 12-15 mph blowing to straightaway center field at Wrigley. In St. Louis, the Pirates and Cardinals will see winds gusting 11-14 mph out to right field.

Friday, May 10
RHP Dylan Covey takes the ball for the White Sox against RHP Clay Buchholz. Covey has an 0-1 record and 4.50 ERA in his two starts so far, with the over cashing in each of the outings. Buchholz has struggled with his new team, turning in an 0-2 record and 6.57 ERA across 24 2/3 innings. The under is actually 3-2 over his five outings, but that's a product of poor offensive support rather than good pitching. He has allowed at least one homer in four straight starts (five total).

Mariners RHP Erik Swanson makes his first-career starts at Fenway Park against  . The over has connected in each of Swanson's past three outings, as he has allowed four homers across the past 15 2/3 innings. Overall he has a 1-3 record and 4.94 ERA, and he has a mediocre 1.40 WHIP across his past three outings. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez is on the bump for the BoSox, as he looks to improve on his 3-2 record and 5.40 ERA. The Red Sox offense really seems to get up for his starts, posting six or more runs of support in each outing, including 11.7 runs per game over his past three outings.

The Reds and Giants battle at Oracle Park, and Cincinnati is reeling after being no-hit this week in Oakland. They turn to RHP Luis Castillo, who has seen the under cash in four of his past five outings. However, he faced San Francisco in his last start, allowing four earned runs, four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision. That game resulted in his only over in the past five starts dating back to April 9. RHP Dereck Rodriguez is tentatively set to start Friday's game. He has a 3-4 record, 5.75 ERA and .333 on-base percentage allowed, including eight earned runs, eight hits and four walks with four homers allowed in just five innings in a loss and over result in Cincinnati last time out on May 4.

Wind Report
The Mariners and Red Sox will see the weather moving out at or around game time, and if they get the game underway they'll see winds blowing 12-15 mph directly at the Green Monster in left field. In Queens, the Marlins and Mets will see gusting winds from 10-13 mph blowing out to the left-center field power alley. 

Outside of those two trouble spots, the preciptiation will stay away and the winds will be neutral, not affecting totals.

VegasInsider Staff

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