MLB Home Run Props and Best Bets for Today, July 3rd

Derek Mountain Sports Betting Expert

1 minute read

These are the two best home run props for today, July 3, 2025:

• Jordan Beck
• Andrew Benintendi

As we near the Fourth of July weekend, that means the MLB All-Star game is right around the corner. Here are a few dinger picks before we head to the MLB’s midway point.

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Be sure to check out our comprehensive MLB home run odds.

Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Home Runs Odds

Time	Bet365	BetMGM	Caesars	FanDuel
	›	›	›	›
Jake Bauers	o0.5 +500		+475	+520
Jackson Chourio	o0.5 +525		+425	+540
Brice Turang	o0.5 +650		+575	+820
Christian Yelich	o0.5 +700		0	+820
Victor Mesa	o0.5 +750		+575	+820
Jonathan Aranda	o0.5 +800		0	+790
Garrett Mitchell	o0.5 +800		0	+920
Yandy Diaz	o0.5 +900		0	+920
Jonny DeLuca	o0.5 +1100		0	+1200
David Hamilton	o0.5 +1300		0	+1300
Cooper Pratt	o0.5 +1300		0	+1260
Richie Palacios	o0.5 +1100	0	0	+1400
Liam Hicks	o0.5 +1400		0	+1120
Junior Caminero	o0.5 +500		+425	+490
Sal Frelick	o0.5 +1400		0	+1600
Taylor Walls	o0.5 +1650		0	+1800
Ben Williamson	o0.5 +1650		0	+1800
William Contreras	o0.5 +625		+525	+680
Chandler Simpson	+3300		0	+3500
See All

Jordan Beck to Hit a Home Run (+450 | FanDuel) vs. (SP: Brandon Walter)

Let’s start in Coors Field, where the weather and hitting environment will be prime for some homers.

Beck has been a lone bright spot on this ailing Rockies team. Against lefties, Beck is hitting .333 with a .590 SLG, .963 OPS with a 153 wRC+. Additionally, he’s hit four home runs in 78 at-bats.

On the mound, he faces Brandon Walter, who has allowed five home runs in his four starts. From a contact standpoint, Walter has actually neutralized righties, but he has not been able to limit their power, as four of his five homers allowed have come against that same side. 

Moreover, righties are slugging 50 points higher than their counterparts.

Andrew Benintendi to Hit a Home Run (+625 | bet365) vs. (SP: Dustin May)

At night, most recreational bettors, for better or worse, will be on a lot of Dodgers to go deep. However, we’ll target a hot White Sox hitter. Andrew Benintendi hit balls of 97.7 mph and 104.7 mph in two of his four at-bats last night.

Benintendi is slugging .424 against righties with seven home runs - he faces an ice-cold Dustin May. A once highly touted prospect, May has been derailed by injuries.

After some early-season success, May has slowly deteriorated, finishing June with a 5.67 ERA. May has been especially susceptible to giving up dingers, allowing four in his last two starts.

Derek Mountain

Derek Mountain works in the Boston area as an SEO Performance Associate for Better Collective. Derek is a recent graduate of the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, MA where he played football for five years as well as walking on the basketball team his freshman year. Derek has experience writing and editing casino content for nearly four years. More from Derek Mountain