Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:58 AM

Ballpark Figures - Week 11

Editor's Note: Don't miss out on 30 days of Winning Baseball Picks from Joe Williams for the 2018-19 MLB regular season. Click to win! 

Ten Little Indians
The Minnesota Twins swing into Progressive Field on Tuesday to kick off a series against the Cleveland Indians. Minnesota holds an 11 1/2-game lead of the defending AL Central Division champs, so it might not be as important of a series to them as it is to the Tribe. In the opener the Indians will use RHP Shane Bieber against rookie LHP Devin Smeltzer. Bieber has been one of the better pitchers for the Indians, going 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA and .274 opponent one-base percentage while striking out an impressive 85 batters over 68 2/3 innings. The southpaw Smeltzer made his major league debut on May 28, spinning six scoreless with three hits and seven strikeouts over six innings in a no-decision against the Milwaukee Brewers. Now he will make his first career starts on the road.

 The Twins have fired to the top of the AL Central with 13 victories over the past 16 road games, and they're an impressive 21-5 in the past 26 games against Central foes. In addition, they're 6-1 in the past seven road outings against teams with a winning home record and 38-13 in the past 51 games against right-handed starting pitchers. They have also dominated the dregs of the league, going 36-15 across the past 51 games against teams with a losing overall record.

For the Indians, they're just 1-6 across their past seven games at home, and they're 0-4 in the past four series openers while winning just four of their past 14 games overall. They have struggled inside the division, too, winning only four of their past 13 games overall. Bieber could be the answer, however, as the Indians have won each of his past four home starts, and six of his past seven against winning sides while taking five of his past six starts overall. In addition, the Twins are just 1-4 in their past five games in Cleveland, although the Indians were playing a lot more consistent baseball during that stretch.

As far as the total is concerned, the under is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in Cleveland and 4-1-1 in the past six meetings overall, too. The over has dominated for the Twins lately, going 2-0-2 in their past four overall, and 4-0-2 in their past six games away from home. The over is also 3-0-2 in the past five road outings against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 7-3-1 in the past 11 following a win. The under is 5-2 in their past seven inside the division, however. The under is also 7-2 in Cleveland's past nine against division rivals, while going 5-1 in the past six games at home. The under is 18-8 in their past 26 games, too.

Looking Ahead

Tuesday, June 4
It's a battle between southpaws when the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates do battle in the Steel City on Tuesday. The Braves are 4-1 in LHP Max Fried's past five outings on the road while going 4-1 in his past five inside the division. The Braves are 8-2 across the past 10 on the road, too, while going 4-0 in their past four vs. LHP. However, the Braves are 0-7 in their past seven following a day off, and they are 0-7 in their past seven Tuesday games, for whatever that's worth. The Bucs are 1-6 in the past seven at home and 1-6 in the past seven against teams with a winning overall mark. They're also 3-8 in the past 11 overall and 2-7 in the past nine against left-handed starting pitchers. They have won LHP Steven Brault's past four starts, and they're 5-1 in his past six outings at home while going 6-2 in his past eight tries against winning teams.

The Giants and Mets hook up in Queens, and it's a nice pitching matchup with LHP Madison Bumgarner and RHP Noah Syndergaard squaring off. San Francisco has won just three of the past 11 overall, and they're 0-7 in their past seven series openers. They're also just 7-19 in MadBum's past 26 road starts, and 1-7 in his past eight kicking off a new series. The Mets have won just one of the past five, but they're 9-4 in Syndergaard's past 13 home outings, while going 10-3 in his past 13 against losing teams. They Mets are also 9-1 in the past 10 at home, and 6-1 in their ;ast seven at home vs. LHP.

The A's and Angels hook up, and Oakland is looking to stay hot on the road. They have won six in a row away from the Bay Area, and they're 4-0 in the past four on the road vs. RHP. The A's have dropped five in a row, and they're 0-5 in the past five vs. RHP, too. Frankie Montas could change that, as the A's are 8-3 in his past 11 outings against teams with a losing record. The Halos are just 2-5 in the past seven at home, and 1-4 in the past five openers of a series. However, they are 13-5 in the past 18 at home vs. RHP while going 16-5 in the past 21 home dates against teams with a losing road record.

Weather Report
The winds will be blowing in at 10-13 mph from right field for the Rays-Tigers battle. It will be the opposite for the Giants-Mets game in Queens, with winds blowing 9-12 mph out to right field.

On the north side of Chicago, the Rockies and Cubs will be experiencing a jetstream blowing out to left-center field at an 11-14 mph clip. The Red Sox-Royals game will also feature gusting winds of 11-14 mph blowing out to the fountains in left-center field. Across I-70, the Reds and Cardinals will also face a stiff 10-13 mph wind blowing into the left-field seats.

Wednesday, June 5
The Yankees will use LHP James Paxton, back from injury, up against RHP Trent Thornton is a game which appears heavily skewed in favor of the visitors. The Yankees are a perfect 6-0 in their past six road games against a right-handed starter, while going 39-18 in the past 57 overall vs. RHP. The Yankees have also won five straight starts by Paxton. For the Jays, they're 1-5 in Thornton's past six home outings. They have also struggled against southpaws, going 5-11 in the past 16 at home vs. LHP, and 16-39 in the past 55 overall against lefties. The over is 6-2-1 in New York's past nine vs. RHP, while the over is 4-0-1 for Toronto in their past five vs. LHP.

The Red Sox roll out LHP Chris Sale for their game in Kansas City against RHP Jakob Junis of the Royals. The Red Sox have won five of Sale's past six tries against AL Central opponents, and they're 26-11 in his past 37 against losing teams. However, they have won just two of his past seven on the road, and three of his past 12 starts overall. The Royals are 1-4 over Junis' past five outings, and 3-8 in his past 11 home starts against teams iwth a winning record. In addition, the under is 6-0 in Sale's past six road outings, and 6-1 in his past seven overall. The under is 3-1-1 in Junis' past five showings against a team with a winning overall mark.

The Astros and Mariners play on, with RHP Brad Peacock and RHP Mike Leake locking horns. Houston has won each of Peacock's past five outings against AL West teams, while going 21-7 in his past 28 starts overall. They're also 6-2 in his past eight road outings against teams with a losing record. For the M's, they have managed wins in just two of Leake's past nine starts, while going 0-4 in his past four tries against teams with a winning overall mark. The under is 3-1-1 in Peacock's past five road outings, and 3-0-2 in his past five overall. The under is 4-1 in Leake's past five starts, while going 10-3 in his past 13 against winning teams. The under is also 4-1 in Peacock's past five showings against the Mariners.

Weather Report
In the matinee game between the White Sox and Nationals, the teams will face a stiff wind blowing out to right-center field at 12-15 mph to make things interesting for the pitchers. For the second straight day, the Giants and Mets will face gusty winds blowing out, this time at 12-15 mph to straightaway center field. The teams will also be playing beat the clock, as the chances of rain pick up from 25 percent at 7 p.m. ET to 55 percent at 9 p.m. ET.

The Rays and Tigers face the potential of a lengthy delay and/or postponement, with a rain forecast of 40 percent of higher from 7-10 p.m. , tapering off to 21 percent by 11 p.m. If they do get underway, winds will be blowing out 10-13 mph to center field. In Cleveland, the rains will be more steady all throughout the day, and since these teams play so frequently, a postponement and day-night doubleheader reschedule down the road is likely.

The O's and Rangers will face 40 percent chances of rain all throughout the afternoon and evening, with winds blowing in from left-center field at 10-13 mph.

We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. Read more

MLB News