Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Chicago Hope
The Atlanta Braves have recalled RHP Bryse Wilson from Triple-A Gwinnett to make the start on Thursday afternoon against RHP Tyler Chatwood and the Chicago Cubs in the series finale. The Braves have won just two of three in the series with the 'under' connecting in each of the three outings so far.

Wilson has made five appearances in the majors, including two starts, and he has posted a 7.15 ERA and 2.029 WHIP across 11 1/3 innings with 10 strikeouts during that span. He made start earlier this season in Philadelphia, coughing up four earned runs, five hits and four walks with three strikeouts in just 3 1/3 innings, needing 99 pitches to make it through the outing. The 'over' easily connected in that outing, and has cashed in each of his two appearances so far this season, too.

 The under is 4-0 in the past four games overall for the Braves, while going 4-0 in their past four on the road, too. The under is also 4-1 in the past five against a right-handed starting pitcher, and 4-1 in the past five on the road vs. RHP, too. The under has hit in seven of the past 10 overall against a winning team.

As far as the Cubs are concerned, the under has hit in four in a row, too, while going 5-1 in the past six at home against teams with a winning overall mark. The under is also 4-0 in the past four inside the NL East, while going a perfect 5-0 in the past five against teams with a winning overall mark. They're even more impressive at home against the under, going 20-7 in the past 26 at home against teams with a winning overall mark. However, in Tyler Chatwood's past eight starts, the over has cashed in six of those outings, while going 5-1 in his past six at the Friendly Confines. The under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings at Wrigley Field, too.

Looking Ahead

Thursday, June 27
Nationals RHP Stephen Strasburg takes the ball at Marlins Park against RHP Sandy Alcantara. The over is 3-0-1 in the past four road games for Washington, while going 3-1-1 in the past five vs. RHP. The under is 19-7-1 in the past 27 by Strasburg on the road, however, while going 8-3 in his past 11 road outings against a team with a losing overall mark. The over is 5-1-1 in Miami's past seven at home, and 3-1-1 in their past five in South Florida vs. RHP. However, the under is a perfect 4-0 in Alcantara's past four inside the division, while going 6-2 across his past eight assignments overall. The under is also 7-3 in Alcantara's past 10 home outings. For Strasburg, the under is 5-0 in his past five outings in Miami, 7-1 in his past seven overall against the Fish and 23-11-3 in the past 37 meetings between these sides overall in Miami.

The Diamondbacks recall LHP Alex Young for a start against the Giants at Oracle Park in San Francisco. He'll take on RHP Tyler Beede is a potentially high-scoring game in the Bay Area. Young had an ERA north of six, albeit in the PCL, which has most of its games played at elevation.

The over is 9-3 in the past 12 games overall, and 6-2 in the past eight road outings, too. The over is also 8-3 in the past 11 vs. RHP, while going 6-2 in the past eight inside the division. The over is also 4-1 in the past five vs. LHP, while going 9-4-1 in his past 14 at home against a southpaw. The over is 4-1 in Beede's past five inside the division, too. In this series the over has cashed in five of the past six meetings overall.

Wind Report
Winds will be rather variable at most MLB outdoor venues on Thursday. However, the Diamondbacks and Giants will be contending with a 10-13 mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field at Oracle Park in San Francisco, a fact which will not aid fairly inexperienced starters Young and Beede.

Friday, June 28
The Dodgers and Rockies square off at Coors Field in Denver, and it's LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu taking the ball for L.A. against RHP Antonio Senzatela. The over is 3-0-1 in the past four for the Dodgers against a right-handed starting pitcher, and 7-0 in their past seven road games against a team with a winning overall mark. The over is 6-2-1 in the past nine overall, while going -2-1 in their past nine inside the division, too. The under is 4-1 in the past five starts by Ryu, while going 33-16-2 across his past 51 road outings.

For the Rockies, the over is a perfect 4-0 in their past four at home, while going 5-2 in the past seven against a southpaw. The over is also 10-3-1 in the past 14 for Colorado against a starting pitcher with a WHIP under 1.15. For Senzatela, though, it's all under all the time. The under is 3-0-1 in his past four against teams with a winning record, and 7-0 in his past seven starts in Game 2 of a series. The under is also 18-7-1 in the past 26 starts overall, while going 9-4 in the past 13 at home and 10-2-1 in the past 13 against NL West foes.

Cardinals RHP Michael Wacha takes the ball against LHP Eric Lauer and the Padres on Friday night in a battle of two teams fairly evenly matched. The under is 7-3 in the past 10 overall for the Cardinals, and 8-2 in the past 10 in Game 1 of a new series. However, the over is 5-1 in the past six road outings, and 7-3 in their past 10 against NL West opponents. For the Padres, the over is 2-0-2 in the past four overall, and 8-2 in the past 10 against winning teams. However, the under is 4-1-1 in the past six at home vs. RHP, and 4-1-1 in the past six at Petco. For Lauer, the under is 5-1 in his past six at home, and 7-3-2 in his past 12 in Game 1 of a new series.

Wind Report
Like Thursday night, the only wind trouble spot will be alongside the San Francisco Bay at Oracle Park for the D-Backs vs. Giants. The winds will be blowing at 10-13 mph again to straightaway center field.

VegasInsider Staff

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