Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:58 AM
Wkd Series Prices - Best Bets
MLB Weekend Series Prices Best Bets
There is no way around the fact that these MLB weekend series prices have been beyond bad this season, as last week's play on the Phillies came up well short again. It's been a grinding year to say the least with these plays, and beyond frustrating to struggle with something like this that has brought plenty of success in the past, but when runs like this happen all you can do is try to put in more work, scale down your unit size, and hope that things turn around.
This weekend we've got 10 different series starting up today across the board, and with the Padres/Cubs matchup getting going in the afternoon, there is really only nine to choose from. Having any sort of choice hasn't been worked the best for these plays though, and with some astronomical prices out there on about half of them this weekend - LA Dodgers are -550 over Miami, Boston is -320 over Baltimore, Tampa is -330 over the White Sox, Cleveland is -325 over KC, and the Yankees are -350 over Colorado – if you are going to play multiple series wagers this week, you'd better be prepared to lay some chalk.
Staying with one series is the plan once again, as the short term goal is to string together a few weeks of winners, with the long-term goal being to salvage a rough series play season on the whole. With that, it's back to the well this week, and with the same team that let us down seven days ago.
Series Price: Philadelphia (-105) vs Pittsburgh (-115)
Philadelphia is coming off a hotly contested series split with the Dodgers this week, as one team (LA) just tried to keep on doing what they do – win baseball games – while the other (Philly) tried everything they could to prove they are a legitimate contender. The jury is probably still out on the latter half of that statement, as Phillies pitching from top to bottom continues to be suspect at times, but barring multiple bullpen blowups this weekend against Pittsburgh, the Phillies should be able to grab at least two games from the Pirates.
The Pirates have gone 1-5 SU since returning from the break, as it's been rare for them to get a solid pitching performance from anyone. A scheduled rotation of Jordan Lyles, Trevor Williams, and Joe Musgrove this weekend is far from their best three-pack of starters for a series, and while Philly is in a similar boat with a scheduled rotation of Jake Arrieta, Zack Eflin, and Vince Velasquez, against six pitchers that sit somewhere around the “average” spectrum, which offense would you prefer to back?
That's really what it boils down to for me here, as this Phillies offense had to take plenty of confidence from hanging 9 and 7 runs on two of the Dodgers starters in that series, even if they didn't come against the Dodgers best. LA's rotation has been the envy of nearly all of baseball this season, and to split a four-game set with them by letting your offense do the bulk of the work is a momentum building moment for a team like the Phillies that's arguably underperformed all year long.
With Pittsburgh being the 'worst' opponent the Phillies have faced out of the break, I don't see them not being able to not win a single series since before All-Star weekend, and as a slight road underdog here, the price is right to back this embattled team for the second straight week. Let's hope the results are different or we might be seeing an insanity definition quote to open up next week's weekend series plays.
Best Bet: Philadelphia to win the series