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MLB Teams – 100 Wins Prop

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read

Can Three MLB Teams Reach 100 Wins for the 2020 Regular Season?

Last year, the Houston Astros topped Major League Baseball with 107 wins followed by their American League rival, the New York Yankees with 103 and Minnesota Twins with 101. In the National League, the Los Angeles Dodgers romped to 106 wins as the only senior circuit club to reach triple digits in 2019. All of which may lead some to believe that the over/under of 2.5 for total MLB teams to win 100 or more regular season games at DraftKings is too low. And those thinking about betting the 'over' do have a case.

The American League itself has produced no fewer than three teams that won 100 or more regular season games in each of the past two seasons. And in 2017, the junior circuit had two teams in triple figures for regular season wins. While nobody in the National League reached 100 wins in 2018, the Dodgers reached the benchmark in the 2017 season. In fact, 2016 was the last Major League campaign in which less than three teams won 100 or more games in the regular season.

With that in mind, let’s examine potential winners and losers that factor in on the question.

Odds provided by DraftKings (IN, NJ & PA only)
Odds Subject to Change (T&C's Apply, 21+)

Number of Teams to win at least 100 games – Excluding Playoffs:

Over 2.5 -110, under 2.5 -110

MLB Betting Odds Overview

The public is likely to gravitate towards 'over' the total based on the last couple of seasons as that is what’s fresh on their minds. Additionally, teams such as the Dodgers and Yankees are immediately associated with 100-win seasons.

However, the DraftKings over/under win totals on each team is not nearly as optimistic. Only the Dodgers and Yankees opened with win totals at 100 or better for 2020. Every other team on the board has a total of less than 100 wins on the 2020 regular season. If that goes to form, then 'under' the total will be the winning bet this year.

New York Yankees

Expectations are always high for the Bronx Bombers, but this year is over the top. It begins with the megabucks contract bestowed upon free agent starting pitcher Gerrit Cole. Furthermore, 2017 American League Rookie of the Year Aaron Judge is expected to return to form after two consecutive injury shortened seasons. And closer Aroldis Chapman has taken former Yankee Mariano Rivera’s mantle as the most dominant in the game.

Next, consider the fact that New York has cleared the 100-win total in the past two seasons. Another important point to consider is that it appears as if the Pinstripes’ long time American League East archrival Boston Red Sox have hoisted the flag of surrender. Even the low payroll Tampa Bay Rays may prove to be overvalued. It all adds up to a potentially less taxing division schedule which will likely ensure 100+ wins for New York.

Los Angeles Dodgers

L.A. has cleared the century mark in two of the past three regular seasons and is likely to do so yet again for 2020. Among the many betting factors in their favor is a weak National League West Division in which none of the other teams looks like a threat. That, coupled with the loaded Los Angeles team itself, should keep the coast cleared for the Dodgers to surpass 100 wins on the campaign.

Minnesota Twins

The 2019 season was quite the rarity for the Twins in that they won over 100 games for the first time since their 1965 pennant winning season. Minnesota is certainly a good team in a relatively weak American League Central Division but also most certainly will take a step back, even if they repeat as AL Central champions.

Houston Astros

Putting aside all the recent moralizing the fact remains that Houston is one of the better teams in the game. However, their loss of front office and managerial leadership must be considered a probable liability. Just as important is the departure of Gerrit Cole to the Yankees. Houston’s string of three consecutive 100-plus win regular seasons should come to an end in what is likely to be a tougher American League West.

Best Bet
Under 2.5

While the Yankees and Dodgers should coast to 100 wins there is nobody else that looks primed to do so. Beyond that, injuries or other factors that can’t be foreseen could damage the prospects of even the best of teams. Look for less than three teams to total 100 or more wins in the 2020 regular season after last year’s high-water mark. 'Under' the total is the call!

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