Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Boston Red Sox (7-9) will be on the road to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (10-6) Monday for the first game of a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario and can be viewed on MLB Network.  

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Score Prediction

Red Sox 5, Blue Jays 4 

Best Bets 

• Red Sox ML (+105) at BetMGM

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Predictions

The Red Sox finished their series with the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, winning one game of the three-game series. Boston had 19 hits and eight runs throughout the series while allowing Tampa Bay 18 hits and 11 runs. The Red Sox faced the Blue Jays prior to their series with the Rays and lost two of three games. Boston struggled to bring in runs during that series, scoring five while allowing 10 runs. Right-handed pitcher Nathan Eovaldi is scheduled to take the mound Monday. Eovaldi is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 3.68 and has allowed 16 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 19 batters in 14.2 innings.  

Toronto wrapped up their road series with the Houston Astros on Sunday. The Blue Jays won two of three games and had 25 hits and 14 runs throughout the series. On the defensive side they allowed the Astros 26 hits and 13 runs. In their three games against the Red Sox this season, the Blue Jays took two of three games and had 26 hits and 10 runs while allowing Boston 21 hits and five runs throughout the series. The right-hander Jose Berrios is expected to start for Toronto on Monday. Berrios is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 6.35 and has allowed 17 hits, eight earned runs, and struck out 11 batters in 11.1 innings of work.  

I like the Red Sox in this matchup. After a hard-fought series with the Astros including a 10-inning game on Sunday, I expect the Blue Jays to be a bit worn out in this one. As long as Eovaldi can get a bit of help from the offense, the Red Sox should be able to take care of business here. Backing the Red Sox with great value here at +115.  

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Odds

• Red Sox +105
• Blue Jays -130
• Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
• Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
• Over 8 (-115)
• Under 8 (-105)

MLB Odds | Futures Odds

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, April 25, 2022
• Matchup: AL East
• Stadium: Rogers Centre
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• TV-Time: MLBN - 7:07 p.m. ET

Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

After losing four of their last five games the Red Sox are 7-9 SU, 9-7 ATS, and have an O/U record of 4-12. The total has gone under in six straight games for Boston. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in six of Boston’s last eight games when playing on the road against Toronto. In their first series with the Blue Jays this season the Red Sox went 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, and an O/U record of 0-3.  

Boston has had troubles on offense as of late, scoring less than three runs in five of their last six games. As a team the Red Sox have a batting average of .225 (19th), on base percentage of .276 (27th), slugging percentage of .350 (19th), and have scored 58 runs (19th). The shortstop Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox with a batting average of .350 (21-60), one home run, and six RBIs. Left fielder Verdugo has been just as good with a batting average of .291 (16-55), three home runs, and 11 RBIs.  

The Red Sox pitching has been on par with the offense in terms of performance. As a team the Red Sox have an ERA of 3.66 (19th), are allowing opponents a batting average of .226 (12th), and have allowed 64 total runs (18th). The right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is scheduled to take the mound Monday. Eovaldi is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 3.68 and has allowed 16 hits, six earned runs, and struck out 19 batters in 14.2 innings. In his matchup with the Blue Jays earlier this season, Eovaldi gave up seven hits, one earned run, and struck out six batters in 4.2 innings. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Analysis

The Blue Jays are off to a hot start this season with records of 10-5 SU, 7-8 ATS, and have an O/U record of 4-11. The total has gone under in six of the Blue Jays last seven games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in six of Toronto’s last eight games when playing at home against Boston. Toronto has been solid at home this season with a SU record of 4-2.  

Toronto has hit the ball well this season and has shown consistency with their bats. As a team the Blue Jays have a batting average of .250 (6th), on base percentage of .308 (18th), slugging percentage of .419 (4th), and have scored 66 runs (14th). The first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr has been excellent with a batting average of .351 (20-57), five home runs, and 12 RBIs. The third baseman Matt Chapman has been driving in runs as well with a batting average of .246 (14-57), two home runs, and nine RBIs.  

The Blue Jays pitching has been very good as of late, holding opponents to three runs or less in six of their last seven games. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .235 (20th), have an ERA of 3.63 (17th), and have given up 63 runs (16th). Right-handed pitcher Jose Berrios is expected to start for Toronto Monday. Berrios is 1-0 in three games this season with an ERA of 6.35 and has allowed 17 hits, eight earned runs, and struck out 11 batters in 11.1 innings of work. In his one game against Boston this season, Berrios went 6.0 innings and allowed eight hits, one earned run, and struck out six batters.  

Key Players to Watch

• BOS: Trevor Story - 2B (Last Game: 1-4, 2B, R)
• BOS: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: 1-4)
• TOR: Vlad Guerrero, Jr. - DH (Last Game: 2-3, R, RBI, BB)
• TOR: George Springer - OF (Last Game: 1-4, 2b, 2 R, BB)

Probable Pitchers

• BOS: Nathan Eovaldi - RHP (1-0, 3.68 ERA, 19 K, 1.30 WHIP)
• TOR: Jose Berrios - RHP (1-0, 6.35 ERA, 11 K, 2.03 WHIP)

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Conclusion

Toronto is the better baseball team in this one, but I think Boston is able to win game one of the series. Boston will need to do a better job with runners in scoring position, something they struggled to do in the first series against the Blue Jays. If they can manage to do that, Eovaldi and the rest of the bullpen should be able to bring home the W. Backing the Red Sox moneyline for game one.