Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies (21-24) will take on the New York Mets (29-17) Saturday for game-two of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET at Citi Field in Queens, New York and can be viewed on FOX.  

Score Prediction

Mets 5, Phillies 4

Best Bets 

• Mets ML (-120) at FanDuel

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies enter this matchup tied for second in the NL East with the Atlanta Braves and seven and a half games behind the Mets for first place. The Phillies are struggling to put together multiple wins in a row and have lost six of their last 10 games. The bats have been productive this season, averaging 4.53 runs per game. The bullpen has been Philadelphia’s biggest downfall as they have allowed opponents four or more runs 23 times this season. Right-handed pitcher Zack Eflin is scheduled to start on Saturday. Eflin is 1-3 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.65 and has given up 35 hits, 15 earned runs, and struck out 35 batters in 37.0 innings.  

If the Mets are able to stay healthy throughout this season, they are looking like the team to beat in the NL East. The Mets have cooled off a bit since the beginning of the season, but have still managed to win six of their last 10 games. New York’s offensive production is one of best in the league, averaging 4.82 runs per game. The bullpen has allowed nine or more runs in three of their last five games, but have a respectable 3.74 ERA on the season. The right-hander Taijuan Walker is expected to take the mound Saturday. Walker is 2-0 in six games this season with an ERA of 2.70 and has given up 26 hits, nine earned runs, and struck out 18 batters in 30.0 innings of work.  

I like Mets moneyline in game-two of this series. Taijuan Walker is coming one of his best outings of the year, allowing five hits and zero runs in 7.0 innings to the Rockies. Eflin has been a bit inconsistent this season and gave up six earned runs in his outing against the Mets earlier in the season. Expect a good game, but for New York to come out on top. Backing the Mets here.  

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Odds

• Phillies +110
• Mets -130
• Phillies +1.5 (-180)
• Mets -1.5 (+155)
• Over 8.5 (-115)
• Under 8.5 (-105)

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Resources

• Date: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Matchup: NL East
• Stadium: Citi Field
• Location: Queens, New York
• TV-Time: FOX - 7:15 p.m.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Analysis

Prior to the results of game-one on Friday night, the Phillies are 21-24 SU, 23-22 ATS, and have an O/U record of 23-20-2. The total has gone over in seven of the Phillies last eight road games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in nine of their last 10 when playing on the road against the Mets. Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in their last eight games against the Mets and 10-11 SU on the road this season.  

Philadelphia is hitting the ball well this season, but just aren’t getting enough help from their bullpen. As a team the Phillies have a batting average of .250 (7th), on base percentage of .313 (12th), slugging percentage of .411 (3rd), and have scored 204 runs (9th). Designated hitter Bryce Harper has been Philadelphia’s most productive hitter with a batting average of .316 (50-158), 10 home runs, and 31 RBIs. The second baseman Jean Segura has also been playing well with a batting average of .289 (43-149), six home runs, and 18 RBIs.  

The Phillies will need to fix their bullpen if they want to stay within arm's reach of the Mets. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .247 (21st), have a WHIP of 1.30 (20th), and have an ERA of 3.96 (18th). Right-handed pitcher Zack Eflin is scheduled to start on Saturday. Eflin is 1-3 in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.65 and has given up 35 hits, 15 earned runs, and struck out 35 batters in 37.0 innings. In his one outing against the Mets this season, Eflin struck out three batters in 4.1 innings while giving up eight hits and five earned runs.  

New York Mets Betting Analysis

With over a quarter of the season already wrapped up, the Mets have been the frontrunner of the NL East and have gone 29-17 SU, 26-20 ATS, and have an O/U record of 22-21-3. The total has gone over in four of the Mets’ last five games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in nine of their last 12 when playing at home against the Phillies. New York is 6-2 SU in their last eight games against the Phillies and 13-8 SU at home this season.  

The Mets offensive production has been excellent. As a team New York has a batting average of .260 (2nd), on base percentage of .332 (2nd), slugging percentage of .398 (11th, and have scored 222 runs (3rd). The second baseman Jeff McNeil has been the Mets most productive hitter with a batting average of .321 (50-156), two home runs, and 23 RBIs. Designated hitter Pete Alonso has done a nice job bringing in runs with a batting average of .275 (49-178), 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs.  

New York’s bullpen has had a few bad games this season, but have been solid overall. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .232 (13th), have a WHIP of 1.18 (8th), and have an ERA of 3.74 (12th). The right-hander Taijuan Walker is expected to take the mound Saturday. Walker is 2-0 in six games this season with an ERA of 2.70 and has given up 26 hits, nine earned runs, and struck out 18 batters in 30.0 innings of work. This will be walkers fourth time facing Philadelphia this season. His first two outings were solid, allowing a combined two hits and zero runs in seven innings. His most recent outing against the Phillies (May 5th) did not go as well, giving up nine hits and six earned runs in 4.0 innings.

Key Players to Watch

• PHI: Bryce Harper - DH (Last Game: 1-5, R, RBI)
• PHI: Alec Bohm - 3B (Last Game: 2-5, R)
• NYM: Francisco Lindor - SS (Last Game: 1-2, 3 R, RBI, 2 BB)
• NYM: Pete Alonso - 1B (Last Game: 2-2, HR, R, 4 RBI, BB)

Probable Pitchers

• PHI: Zac Eflin (1-3, 3.65 ERA, 35 K, 1.14 WHIP)
• NYM: Taijuan Walker (2-0, 2.70 ERA, 18 K, 1.17 WHIP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Conclusion

The Mets have won five of the seven games played against the Phillies this season. I think that trend will continue on Saturday. Walker is coming into this matchup with all the confidence he needs on the mound while Eflin is struggling to find a steady rhythm. Backing the Mets moneyline in this one.