San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Picks, Predictions, Odds

The San Diego Padres (37-24) will take on the Chicago Cubs (23-36) Monday for game-one of a four-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 PM ET at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois and can be viewed on MLB Extra Innings.  

Score Prediction

Padres 5, Cubs 3

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San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Predictions

The San Diego Padres enter this matchup second in the NL West standings, only a half-game behind the Dodgers for first place. San Diego most recently went 2-2 SU in a four-game series against the Rockies and have won seven of their last 10 games. The offense has been solid on the season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Padres bullpen has been fantastic and have held opponents to two runs or less 26 times this season. Right-handed pitcher Yu Darvish is scheduled to start on Monday. Darvish is 5-3 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.62 and has given up 53 hits, 27 earned runs, and struck out 54 batters in 67.1 innings of work.  

Chicago is currently fourth in the NL Central standings, 10 games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for first place. The Cubs were most recently swept in a three-game series against the Yankees and have lost seven of their last 10 games. Both the offense and bullpen have struggled to get much going this season and were outscored 28-5 in their most recent series against New York. The left-hander Justin Steele is expected to take the mound Monday. Steele is 1-5 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.79 and has given up 47 hits, 25 earned runs, and struck out 47 batters in 47.0 innings.  

I like San Diego in game-one of this series. Darvish has been good for the most part this season and the Cubs have really struggled offensively against quality bullpens. Until the Cubs can start proving themselves against top-tier teams, it's tough to find reason to back them in matchups like this. Locking in the Padres moneyline here.

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Odds

• Padres -135
• Cubs +115

MLB Odds | World Series Odds | Expert Picks

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Resources

• Date: Monday, June 13, 2022
• Matchup: NL West vs. NL Central
• Stadium: Wrigley Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV-Time: MLBN - 8:05 p.m.

San Diego Padres Betting Analysis

The Padres have been playing great this season and have gone 37-23 SU, 32-28 ATS, and have an O/U record of 27-31-2. San Diego is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games. Going against this trend, the Padres are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the Cubs. The total has gone under in five of their last six games when playing on the road against Chicago. San Diego is 20-11 SU on the road this season.  

San Diego has been hitting the ball fairly well this season. As a team the Padres have a batting average of .234 (22nd), on base percentage of .311 (18th), slugging percentage of .361 (27th), and have scored 268 runs (12th). The third baseman Manny Machado is having a fantastic season with a batting average of .323 (73-226), 10 home runs, and 37 RBIs. First baseman Eric Hosmer has also been contributing with a batting average of .286 (59-206), four home runs, and 26 RBIs.  

The Padres bullpen is the main reason why this ball club has seen the success they have this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .216 (2nd), have a WHIP of 1.13 (4th), and have an ERA of 3.31 (5th). Right-handed pitcher Yu Darvish is scheduled to start on Monday. Darvish is 5-3 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.62 and has given up 53 hits, 27 earned runs, and struck out 54 batters in 67.1 innings of work. In his most recent outing against the Mets, Darvish struck out six batters in 7.0 innings while giving up two hits and zero runs.  

Chicago Cubs Betting Analysis

After losing six straight games the Cubs are now 23-36 SU, 31-28 ATS, and have an O/U record of 29-27-3. The total has gone over in eight of Chicago’s last 10 home games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in five of their last six when playing at home against San Diego. The Cubs are 0-6 SU in their last six games and 11-20 SU at home this season.  

Chicago’s offense has had a tough time finding any consistency. As a team the Cubs have a batting average of .242 (15th), on base percentage of .320 (8th), slugging percentage of .394 (14th), and have scored 253 runs (21st). Center fielder Ian Happ continues to find success this season with a batting average of .275 (53-193), seven home runs, and 30 RBIs. Catcher Wilson Contreras is also having a nice season with a batting average of .267 (47-176), 10 home runs, and 23 RBIs.  

The Cubs bullpen has not pitched well this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .249 (22nd), have a WHIP of 1.32 (22nd), and have an ERA of 4.59 (26th). The left-hander Justin Steele is expected to take the mound Monday. Steele is 1-5 in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.79 and has given up 47 hits, 25 earned runs, and struck out 47 batters in 47.0 innings. In his most recent outing against the Cardinals, Steele struck out one batter in 7.0 innings while giving up seven hits and two runs.  

Key Players to Watch

• SND: Manny Machado - SS (Last Game: 2-4, R)
• SND: Eric Hosmer - 1B (Last Game: 0-2, RBI)
• CHC: Ian Happ - OF (Last Game: 3-3, HR, 3B, 2 R, RBI, BB)
• CHC: Patrick Wisdom - 1B (Last Game: 2-4, 2B)

Probable Pitchers

• SND: Yu Darvish - RHP (5-3, 3.61 ERA, 54 K, 1.01 WHIP)
• CHC: Justin Steele - LHP (1-5, 4.79 ERA, 47 K, 1.55 WHIP)

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Conclusion

I like San Diego in this matchup and expect them to control most of this four-game series. The Cubs have lost six straight and have had a tough time against good team such as the Padres. Darvish should go 6.0-7.0 innings in this one with the rest of the bullpen finishing the job. Backing the Padres moneyline here.