St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox Picks, Predictions, Odds

The St. Louis Cardinals (37-28) will take on the Boston Red Sox (34-30) Saturday for game-two of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts and can be viewed on FOX.  

Score Prediction

Red Sox 4, Cardinals 3

Best Bets 

  • Red Sox ML (-105) at Caesars
Updated on 05/08/2024
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Predictions

The St. Louis Cardinals enter this matchup first in the NL Central standings with a two-game lead over the second place Milwaukee Brewers. Prior to this series, the Cardinals went 3-1 SU in a four-game series with the Pirates and have won six of their last 10 games. St. Louis is having a productive season with their bats, averaging 4.78 runs per game. The bullpen has been solid as well and have held opponents to two runs or less 21 times this season. Right-handed pitcher Dakota Hudson is scheduled to start Saturday. Hudson is 4-3 in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.29 and has given up 55 hits, 24 earned runs, and struck out 36 batters in 65.2 innings of work.  

The Boston Red Sox are currently fourth in the AL East standings, 13.5 games behind the New York Yankees for first place. The Red Sox most recently went 2-1 SU against the Athletics in a three-game series and have won seven of their last 10 games. After struggling at the beginning of the season, the offense has turned things around and are averaging 4.73 runs per game. The bullpen has picked things up as well and have pitched four shutouts over their last 12 games. The right-hander Kutter Crawford is expected to take the mound Saturday. Crawford is 1-1 in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.74 and has given up 16 hits, 10 earned runs, and struck out 21 batters in 15.2 innings.  

I like the value in the Red Sox moneyline here in game-two. Crawford has not been Boston’s strongest pitcher this season, but this team has been on a roll as of late, winning 11 of their last 14 games. Hudson struggled in his most recent outing against Cincinnati and I expect that to carry over in this one. Backing the Red Sox moneyline.  

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Resources

  • Date: Saturday, June 18, 2022
  • Matchup: NL Central vs. AL East
  • Stadium: Fenway Park
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV-Time: FOX - 7:15 p.m.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Analysis

Prior to the conclusion of game-one Friday night, the Cardinals are 37-28 SU, 36-29 ATS, and have an O/U record of 33-29-3. The total has gone over in five of St. Louis’ last six games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last six games on the road. The Cardinals are 1-5 SU in their last six games against Boston and 16-15 SU on the road this season.  

St. Louis has been consistent with their bats throughout the season. As a team the Cardinals have a batting average of .254 (6th), on base percentage of .322 (7th), slugging percentage of .399 (12th), and have scored 312 runs (5th). The first baseman Paul Goldschmidt is having a great season with a batting average of .347 (82-236), 16 home runs, and 56 RBIs. Second baseman Tommy Edman is also playing well with a batting average of .285 (70-246), seven home runs, and 26 RBIs.  

The Cardinals bullpen have had a few bad outings, but have been good on the season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .244 (19th), have a WHIP of 1.28 (19th), and have an ERA of 3.81 (12th). Right-handed pitcher Dakota Hudson is scheduled to start Saturday. Hudson is 4-3 in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.29 and has given up 55 hits, 24 earned runs, and struck out 36 batters in 65.2 innings of work. In his most recent outing against Cincinnati, Hudson struck out two batters in 7.0 innings while giving up nine hits and six runs.  

Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

After starting the season 11-19, the Red Sox have managed to turn things around and are now 34-30 SU, 35-29 ATS, and have an O/U record of 24-33-7. The total has gone under in six of the Red Sox last eight games. Following this trend, the total has gone under in four of their last five home games. Boston is 5-1 SU in their last six games when playing at home against St. Louis and 15-15 SU at home this season.  

Boston’s offense struggled at the start of the season but have been much better as of late. As a team the Red Sox have a batting average of .257 (3rd), on base percentage of .319 (11th), slugging percentage of .415 (6th), and have scored 306 runs (8th). Third baseman Rafael Devers is having a nice season with a batting average of .329 (85-258), 16 home runs, and 40 RBIs. The shortstop Xander Bogaerts has also been productive with a batting average of .332 (77-232), six home runs, and 31 RBIs.  

The Red Sox bullpen has been pitching much better than they were at the start of the season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .225 (6th), have a WHIP of 1.16 (6th), and have an ERA of 3.51 (6th). The right-hander Kutter Crawford is expected to take the mound Saturday. Crawford is 1-1 in nine games this season with an ERA of 5.74 and has given up 16 hits, 10 earned runs, and struck out 21 batters in 15.2 innings. In his most recent outing against the Mariners, Crawford struck out seven batters in 5.0 innings while giving up one hit and zero runs.  

Key Players to Watch

  • STL: Paul Goldschmidt - 1B (Last Game: 1-5)
  • STL: Nolan Arenado - 3B (Last Game: 2-3, HR, R, RBI, BB)
  • BOS: Xander Bogaerts - SS (Last Game: 3-4, 2B, R)
  • BOS: Rafael Devers - 3B (Last Game: 2-3, 2 RBI)

Probable Pitchers

  • STL: Daniel Hudson - RHP (4-3, 3.29 ERA, 36 K, 1.25 WHIP)
  • BOS: Kutter Crawford - RHP (1-1, 5.74 ERA, 21 K, 1.79 WHIP)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Conclusion

The Red Sox have been playing much better as of late and I like that trend to continue Saturday. I expect Boston to see success against Dakota Hudson who is coming off his worst outing of the season. The Cardinals have also struggled in recent past against the Red Sox, going 1-5 SU in their last six road games against Boston. Backing the Red Sox moneyline in this matchup.