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MLB

MLB Edge Plays for Tuesday, June 28

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
8 minute read

VI sports betting expert Thom Cunningham breaks down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Tuesday, June 28. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 04/25/2024
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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (26-20-2, +505)

TUESDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

  • Braves-Phillies Over 7
  • Astros-Mets Over 8
  • Cardinals ML
  • Rangers-Royals Over 8.5
  • Dodgers-Rockies Under 11
  • White Sox +1.5
  • Padres-Diamondbacks Under 7.5
  • Orioles +1.5

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSO, NSPA
  • Away Pitcher: Charlie Morton (4-3, 4.84 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Zack Wheeler (6-4, 2.77 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 17-16-3

Best Bet: Over 7

MONEYLINE

  • Philadelphia has seen the underdog win five straight games.
  • Philadelphia is 8-2 SU last 10 home games.
  • Atlanta is 19-5 SU last 24 games.
  • Atlanta is 9-2 SU last 11 road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Atlanta has gone OVER in seven of eight divisional games when playing at night.
  • Atlanta has gone OVER in five of seven road games.
  • OVER has hit in four of six meetings.
  • Atlanta has gone UNDER in four of its last five games.
  • Philadelphia has gone UNDER in four of six games.
  • Philadelphia has gone OVER in eight of 11 home games.

RUN LINE

  • Favorites have covered the run line in four of five meetings.
  • Atlanta is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
  • Atlanta is 8-3 ATS last 11 road games.
  • Atlanta is 10-5 ATS last 15 games when playing in Philadelphia.
  • Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS last nine games.
  • Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS last nine home games.
  • Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS last seven home games when facing Atlanta.

Houston Astros at New York Mets

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): TBS
  • Away Pitcher: Framber Valdez (7-3, 2.90 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (8-3, 4.42 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.7
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-13-1

Best Bet: Over 8

MONEYLINE

  • New York has won 14 straight home games after losing the game prior.
  • Houston is 8-3 SU last 11 games.
  • Houston is 10-4 SU last 14 road games.
  • New York is 13-2 SU last 15 home games.
  • New York is 0-5 SU last five games when facing Houston.

RUN TOTAL

  • OVER has hit in four of six meetings.
  • New York has gone OVER the total in four straight games when facing the AL West at night.
  • New York has gone OVER in 11 of its last 15 home games.
  • UNDER has hit in 12 of 14 meetings in Citi Field.

RUN LINE

  • Houston is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing New York.
  • Houston is 5-1 ATS last six games.
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS last five road games.
  • New York is 9-4 ATS last 13 games.
  • New York is 2-4 ATS last six home games.

Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals

  • Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSMW, BSFL
  • Away Pitcher: Brice Garnett (1-2, 4.08 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Daniel Hudson (5-4, 3.72 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 23-14-1

Best Bet: Cardinals ML

MONEYLINE

  • Miami has lost six straight road games when facing the NL Central.
  • St. Louis is 10-4 SU last 14 home games.
  • Miami is 1-5 SU last six when playing in St. Louis.
  • Miami is 1-5 SU last six road games.
  • St. Louis is 9-1 SU last 10 games when facing Miami.

RUN TOTAL

  • Miami has gone OVER in five of seven games.
  • Miami has gone OVER in six straight games when facing the NL at night.
  • UNDER has hit in six of seven meetings.
  • St. Louis has gone OVER in seven of 10 games.
  • UNDER has hit in seven of nine meetings in St. Louis.

RUN LINE

  • Favorites have cover the run line in three of four meetings.
  • Miami is 1-4 ATS last five games.
  • Miami is 2-4 ATS last six road games.

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSW, BSKC
  • Away Pitcher: Jon Gray (3-3, 4.16 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (1-3, 4.14 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.8
  • Venue O/U Record: 18-18-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5

MONEYLINE

  • Texas has lost four straight games when playing as the favorite after winning the game prior.
  • Texas is 7-1 SU last eight games when facing Kansas City.
  • Texas is 4-2 SU last six games.
  • Texas is 5-2 SU last seven road games.
  • Kansas City is 1-4 SU last five home games.
  • Kansas City is 4-11 SU last 15 home games when facing Texas.

RUN TOTAL

  • OVER has hit in four of five meetings in Kansas City.
  • OVER has hit in three of four meetings.
  • Kansas City has gone OVER in four of six home games.
  • Kansas City has gone UNDER in eight of 12 games.
  • Texas has gone OVER in six of eight road games.
  • Texas has gone UNDER in four of six games.

RUN LINE

  • Texas is 7-1 ATS last eight games when facing Kansas City
  • Kansas City is 1-4 ATS last five home games.
  • Kansas City is 4-11 ATS last 15 home games when facing Texas.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies

  • Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): ATRM, SNLA
  • Away Pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (5-1, 2.00 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Kyle Freeland (3-5, 4.29 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 11.2
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-19-1

Best Bet: Under 11

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles is 2-4 SU last six games when facing Colorado.
  • Colorado has won six straight divisional games when playing as the underdog.
  • Colorado is 2-5 SU last seven games.
  • Colorado is 4-1 SU last five home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in four straight games.
  • UNDER has cashed in nine of last 12 meetings.
  • Colorado has gone UNDER in four of five home games.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in four of five road games.
  • UNDER has hit in six of nine meetings in Colorado.

RUN LINE

  • Colorado is 15-6 ATS last 21 games.
  • Colorado is 4-1 ATS last five home games.
  • Colorado is 6-2 ATS last eight home games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
  • Los Angeles is 3-11 ATS last 14 games when facing Colorado.

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Johnny Cueto (1-4, 3.19 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Chase Silseth (1-2, 4.96 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 15-24-3

Best Bet: White Sox +1.5

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has won nine straight games when facing the AL Central at night after winning at home the game prior.
  • Chicago is 6-3 SU last nine road games.
  • Chicago is 6-18 SU last 24 games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 5-14 SU last 19 home games.
  • Los Angeles is 6-1 SU last seven home game when facing Chicago.

RUN TOTAL

  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in four of five home games.
  • Chicago has gone UNDER in five straight games.
  • UNDER has cashed in four of five meetings.

RUN LINE

  • Chicago is 4-0 ATS last four games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Chicago is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • Chicago is 6-1 ATS last seven road games.
  • Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
  • Los Angeles is 1-7 ATS last eight home games.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSD, BSAZ
  • Away Pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-3, 3.87 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Zac Gallen (4-2, 2.92 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 12-24-3

Best Bet: Under 7.5

MONEYLINE

  • Arizona has lost 11 straight divisional games.
  • San Diego is 7-3 last 10 road games.
  • San Diego is 5-0 SU last five games when facing Arizona.
  • Arizona is 1-5 SU last six games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Arizona has gone UNDER the total in nine of 10 divisional home games.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER in six of nine games.
  • UNDER has hit in five of seven meetings
  • UNDER has hit in four of six meetings when playing in Phoenix.

RUN LINE

  • San Diego is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Arizona.
  • San Diego is 3-7 ATS last 10 overall.
  • Arizona is 2-4 ATS last six games.
  • San Diego is 17-6 ATS last 23 road games.
  • San Diego is 6-2 ATS last eight games when playing in Phoenix.

Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): RTNW, MASN2
  • Away Pitcher: Dean Kremer (2-1, 1.71 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Robbie Ray (6-6, 4.07 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 7.9
  • Venue O/U Record: 15-18-1

Best Bet: Orioles +1.5

MONEYLINE

  • Baltimore has lost seven straight games when facing Seattle after winning the game prior.
  • Baltimore is 6-14 SU last 20 games when playing in Seattle.
  • Baltimore is 5-1 SU last six road games.
  • Seattle is 5-2 SU last seven games.
  • Seattle is 1-6 SU last seven home games.
  • Road team has won four of the last five meetings.

RUN TOTAL

  • Baltimore has gone OVER in six straight games when facing the AL West.
  • OVER has cashed in four straight meetings.
  • Baltimore has gone UNDER in four of five road games.
  • Seattle has gone UNDER in 13 of its last 16 home games.
  • Seattle has gone UNDER in 11 of 16 games overall.

RUN LINE

  • Baltimore is 5-1 ATS last six road games.
  • Baltimore is 5-0 ATS last five games.
  • Baltimore is 5-2 ATS last seven games when playing in Seattle.
  • Seattle is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
  • Seattle is 1-6 ATS last seven home games.
  • Seattle is 1-4 ATS last five games when facing Baltimore.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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