MLB Edge Plays for Friday, July 1

VI sports betting expert Thom Cunningham breaks down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Friday, July 1. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 05/05/2024
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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (33-32-3, -37)

FRIDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

  • Red Sox ML (-135) at WynnBet
  • Rangers-Mets Over 8.5 (-120) at FanDuel
  • Yankees-Guardians Over 8.5 (+100) at SI
  • Rockies ML (-110) at Fubo
  • Astros ML (-155) at WynnBet
  • Dodgers ML (-165) at Caesars
  • Mariners -1.5 (+125) at Caesars
  • White Sox-Giants Over 7.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Boston Red Sox at Chicago Cubs

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): NESN, MARQ, MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Rich Hill (4-4, 4.09 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-0, 1.69 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.8
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-17-5

Best Bet: Red Sox ML (-135) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Chicago has lost eight straight games when facing the AL during the daytime.
  • Boston is 2-4 SU last six games when facing Chicago.
  • Chicago is 4-2 SU last six games.
  • Chicago is 4-8 SU last 12 home games.
  • Boston is 8-2 SU last 10 games.
  • Boston is 13-4 SU last 17 road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Chicago has gone OVER in four straight games when playing during the daytime.
  • OVER has hit in three of four meetings.

RUN LINE

  • Chicago is 4-2 ATS last six games.
  • Chicago is 4-2 ATS last six home games.
  • Boston is 7-1 ATS last eight road games.
  • Boston is 6-1 ATS last seven games.

Texas Rangers at New York Mets

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): Apple TV+, BSSW
  • Away Pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-3, 5.31 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Chris Bassitt (6-5, 4.01 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 21-14-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-120) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

  • Texas has won 10 straight games when facing a NL East team with a winning record.
  • Texas is 6-3 SU last nine road games.
  • Texas is 3-6 SU last nine games when facing New York.
  • New York is 2-5 SU last seven games.
  • New York is 13-4 SU last 17 home games.
  • New York is 4-2 SU last six home games when facing Texas.

RUN TOTAL

  • New York has gone OVER the total in five straight games when facing the AL West at night.
  • New York has gone OVER in 12 of 17 home games.
  • Texas has gone OVER in four of five road games.
  • UNDER has cashed in three straight meetings.

RUN LINE

  • New York is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
  • New York is 1-4 ATS last five home games.
  • Texas is 2-4 ATS last six games.
  • Texas is 6-3 ATS last nine road games.
  • The underdog has covered the run line in four straight meetings.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSGL
  • Away Pitcher: Gerrit Cole (6-2, 2.99 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Aaron Civale (2-4, 7.20 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 18-15-1

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (+100) at SI

MONEYLINE

  • New York has won 10 straight games when playing at night after losing on the road the game prior.
  • New York is 6-1 SU last seven games when playing in Cleveland.
  • New York is 4-1 SU last five games.
  • Cleveland is 3-6 SU last nine games.
  • Cleveland is 3-9 SU last 12 games when facing New York.

RUN TOTAL

  • OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
  • OVER has hit in six of eight meetings when playing in Cleveland
  • New York has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

  • New York is 3-7 ATS last 10 games.
  • New York is 1-4 ATS last five road games.
  • Cleveland is 2-6 ATS last eight games.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): ATRM, BSAZ
  • Away Pitcher: Merrill Kelly (6-5, 3.64 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (3-4, 4.66 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 11.2
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-20-1

Best Bet: Rockies ML (-110) at Fubo

MONEYLINE

  • Arizona has lost 13 straight divisional road games.
  • The home team has won four of the last five meetings.
  • Arizona is 1-5 SU last six road games.
  • Arizona is 2-6 SU last eight games.
  • Colorado is 1-4 SU last five games when facing Arizona.
  • Colorado is 7-1 SU last eight home games when facing Arizona.
  • Colorado is 3-6 SU last nine games.
  • Colorado is 5-1 SU last six home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Colorado has gone UNDER the total in four of five divisional games.
  • UNDER has cashed in three straight meetings.
  • Arizona has gone OVER in four of six games.
  • Arizona has gone UNDER in eight of 12 road games.

RUN LINE

  • Arizona is 2-4 ATS last six games.
  • Arizona is 2-4 ATS last six road games.
  • Arizona is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Colorado.
  • Arizona is 2-6 ATS last eight games when playing in Denver.
  • Colorado is 16-7 ATS last 23 games.
  • Colorado is 5-1 ATS last six home games.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): Apple TV+, BSW
  • Away Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-5, 4.24 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Christian Javier (5-3, 2.73 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 7.3
  • Venue O/U Record: 11-19-2

Best Bet: Astros ML (-155) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has lost 10 of its last 11 games when facing an AL team with a winning record.
  • The road team has won three of the last four meetings.
  • Los Angeles is 4-1 SU last five road games.
  • Los Angeles is 6-13 SU last 19 games when facing Houston.
  • Houston is 5-1 SU last six games.
  • Houston is 6-1 SU last seven home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Houston has gone UNDER in 15 of 17 games when facing the AL at night.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in 13 of 17 games.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in six of seven road games.

RUN LINE

  • Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • Los Angeles is 5-11 ATS last 16 road games.
  • Houston is 8-1 ATS last nine games.
  • Houston is 5-2 ATS last seven home games.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSD, SNLA
  • Away Pitcher: Blake Snell (0-5, 5.60 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Tony Gonzolin (9-0, 1.58 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.6
  • Venue O/U Record: 16-14-3

Best Bet: Dodgers ML (-165) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has won 13 straight divisional home games after winning at home the game prior.
  • San Diego is 1-4 SU last five games.
  • San Diego is 1-5 SU last six road games.
  • San Diego is 1-12 SU last 13 games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 7-3 SU last 10 games.
  • Los Angeles is 4-2 SU last six home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in six of seven games.
  • UNDER has cashed in three of four meetings.
  • OVER has cashed in seven of 10 meetings when playing in Los Angeles.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER in four of six games.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER in four of five road games.
  • Los Angeles has gone UNDER in four of six home games.

RUN LINE

  • Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS last 10 games.
  • Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS last six home games.
  • San Diego is 1-5 ATS last six games when facing Los Angeles.
  • San Diego is 1-4 ATS last five games.
  • San Diego is 1-5 ATS last six road games.

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): RTNW, NSCA
  • Away Pitcher: James Kaprielian (0-5, 5.88 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Marco Gonzales (4-8, 3.31 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8
  • Venue O/U Record: 17-19-1

Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (+122) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

  • Oakland has lost 15 straight games when facing the AL at night.
  • Seattle is 8-2 SU last 10 games.
  • Seattle is 17-2 SU last 19 games when facing Oakland.
  • Oakland is 2-8 SU last 10 games when playing in Seattle.
  • Oakland is 1-4 SU last five road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Seattle has gone UNDER in eight of 10 divisional home games.
  • OVER has hit in five of seven meetings.
  • Seattle has gone UNDEWR in 14 of 19 home games.

RUN LINE

  • Seattle is 6-1 ATS last seven games.
  • Seattle is 15-4 ATS last 19 games when facing Oakland.
  • Oakland is 3-7 ATS last 10 games when playing in Seattle

Chicago White Sox at San Francisco Giants

  • Time: 10:15 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): NSCH, CSCH, NSBA
  • Away Pitcher: Lance Lynn (1-1, 6.19 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Alex Cobb (3-3, 5.48 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.2
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-16-3

Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-110) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

  • San Francisco has won six straight games after losing at home the game prior.
  • The home team has won three of the last four meetings.
  • Chicago is 2-6 SU last eight games.
  • Chicago is 2-4 SU last six road games.
  • San Francisco is 2-8 SU last 10 games when facing Chicago.
  • San Francisco is 2-5 SU last seven games.
  • San Francisco is 2-4 SU last six home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Chicago has gone UNDER in six of seven games.
  • OVER has cashed in six of eight meetings.

RUN LINE

  • The underdog has covered the run line in four of five meetings.
  • San Francisco is 12-6 ATS last 18 games.
  • San Francisco is 1-5 ATS last six home games.
  • Chicago is 2-6 ATS last eight games.
  • Chicago is 4-1 ATS last five road games.