MLB Edge Plays for Tuesday, July 5
Our VI sports betting experts break down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Tuesday, July 5. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!
Updated on 04/17/2024
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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (46-43-4, +62)
TUESDAY'S EDGE PLAYS
- Mariners-Padres Over 7 (-120) at DraftKings
- Mets-Reds Over 9 (+100) at BetMGM
- Marlins ML (-130) at WynnBet
- Red Sox ML (-123) at WynnBet
- Guardians-Tigers Under 9.5 (-125) at SI
- Cubs-Brewers Over 8.5 (-110) at Fubo
- Giants-Diamondbacks Over 9 (-110) at FanDuel
Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Network(s): BSSD, RTNW, MLBN
- Away Pitcher: Logan Gilbert (9-3, 2.66 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Mike Clevinger (2-0, 2.79 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 7.3
- Venue O/U Record: 14-23-1
Best Bet: Over 7 (-120) at DraftKings
MONEYLINE
- San Diego has seen the underdog win five straight home games.
- Seattle is 6-1 SU last seven games.
- Seattle is 7-1 SU last eight road games.
- San Diego is 5-2 SU last seven games when facing Seattle.
- San Diego is 2-7 SU last eight games.
RUN TOTAL
- Seattle has gone OVER the total in seven straight games when facing the NL West.
- OVER has hit in five straight meetings.
- OVER has hit in six straight meetings when playing in San Diego.
RUN LINE
- Seattle is 7-1 ATS last eight road games.
- San Diego is 5-2 ATS last seven games when facing Seattle.
- Sean Diego is 2-7 ATS last eight games.
- San Diego is 7-19 ATS last 26 home games.
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Network(s): SNY, BSOH
- Away Pitcher: Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.54 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Nick Lodolo (1-2, 5.52 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 11.2
- Venue O/U Record: 23-15-1
Best Bet: Over 9 (+100) at BetMGM
MONEYLINE
- Cincinnati is 1-5 SU last six games.
- Cincinnati is 1-11 SU last 12 home games.
- New York has won eight straight games when facing a NL team with a losing record at night.
RUN TOTAL
- New York has gone OVER the total in seven of 10 road games.
- New York has gone OVER the total in five straight games when facing the NL at night.
- Cincinnati has gone OVER the total in nine of 13 games.
- Cincinnati has gone OVER the total in five of seven home games.
RUN LINE
- New York is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
- New York is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing Cincinnati.
- Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS last six games.
- Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS last nine home games.
Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Network(s): BSW, BSFL
- Away Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-6, 3.86 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (8-3, 1.95 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 8.8
- Venue O/U Record: 20-13-2
Best Bet: Marlins ML (-130) at WynnBet
MONEYLINE
- Miami has won 10 straight games when facing a team with a losing record.
- Los Angeles is 1-4 SU last five games.
- Los Angeles is 4-15 SU last 19 road games.
- Miami is 5-0 SU last five games.
- Miami is 7-2 SU last nine home games.
RUN TOTAL
- Miami has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.
- Miami has gone OVER the total in five of seven home games.
- Los Angeles has gone OVER the total in five straight games when facing the NL East at night.
- Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in 14 of 20 games.
- Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in seven of 10 road games.
RUN LINE
- Miami is 2-4 ATS last six home games.
- Los Angeles is 1-8 ATS last nine games.
- Los Angeles is 5-14 ATS last 19 road games.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Network(s): NESN, SUN, TBS
- Away Pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (3-2, 2.25 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Nick Pivetta (8-5, 3.23 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 9
- Venue O/U Record: 14-20-3
Best Bet: Red Sox ML (-123) at WynnBet
MONEYLINE
- Boston has lost seven straight divisional games when playing at night after winning the game prior.
- Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU last seven games when facing Boston.
- Boston is 10-4 SU last 14 games.
- Boston is 6-1 SU last seven home games.
RUN TOTAL
- Tampa Bay has gone OVER the total in four of five games.
- UNDER has hit in three of four meetings.
RUN LINE
- Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS last seven games when facing Boston.
- Boston is 8-3 ATS last 11 games.
Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Network(s): BSDT, BSGL
- Away Pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-4, 3.72 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Drew Hutchinson (0-4, 4.81 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 7.6
- Venue O/U Record: 16-27-2
Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-125) at SI
MONEYLINE
- Detroit has seen the underdog win seven of eight home games.
- Detroit is 5-1 SU last six games when facing Cleveland.
- Detroit is 4-2 SU last six games.
- Detroit is 5-2 SU last seven home games.
- Cleveland is 1-4 SU last five games.
- Cleveland is 8-4 SU last 12 road games.
RUN TOTAL
- Detroit has gone UNDER the total in seven of eight games when facing the AL at night.
- UNDER cashed in five of seven meetings.
- Detroit has gone UNDER the total in five of six games.
- Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in five of six games.
RUN LINE
- Cleveland is 1-4 ATS last five games.
- Cleveland is 7-3 ATS last 10 road games.
- Detroit is 3-0 ATS last three games when facing Cleveland.
- Detroit is 4-9 ATS last 13 home games.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Network(s): BSWI, MARQ
- Away Pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (4-6, 4.76 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-0, 3.82 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 8.4
- Venue O/U Record: 18-15-2
Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-110) at Fubo
MONEYLINE
- Milwaukee has lost nine of 10 games when playing at night after winning in extra innings the game prior.
- Chicago is 4-2 SU last six games.
- Chicago is 3-10 SU last 13 road games.
- Milwaukee is 17-6 SU last 23 games when facing Chicago.
- Milwaukee is 7-2 SU last nine games.
- Milwaukee is 4-1 SU last five home games.
RUN TOTAL
- Milwaukee has gone OVER the total in eight of 11 games.
- Milwaukee has gone OVER the total in four of five home games.
- OVER has hit in 10 of 15 meetings.
- OVER has hit in six of eight meetings in Milwaukee.
- Chicago has gone UNDEWR the total in four straight games after going into extra innings the game prior.
RUN LINE
- Chicago is 4-2 ATS last six games.
- Chicago is 4-2 ATS last six games when facing Milwaukee.
- Chicago is 3-7 ATS last 10 road games.
- Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS last eight games.
- Milwaukee is 4-12 ATS last 16 home games.
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Network(s): BSAZ, NSBA
- Away Pitcher: Alex Wood (5-7, 5.03 ERA)
- Home Pitcher: Tyler Gilbert (0-3, 7.88 ERA)
- Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
- Venue O/U Record: 14-25-3
Best Bet: Over 9 (-110) at FanDuel
MONEYLINE
- San Francisco has seen the underdog win five straight games.
- San Francisco is 0-5 SU last five games.
- San Francisco is 1-5 SU last six road games.
- San Francisco is 7-1 SU last eight when facing Arizona.
- Arizona is 4-8 SU last 12 games.
- Arizona is 3-10 SU last 13 home games when facing San Francisco.
RUN TOTAL
- OVER has hit in five of six meetings.
- Arizona has gone OVER the total in six of eight games.
- Arizona has gone OVER the total in four of five home games.
RUN LINE
- San Francisco is 0-5 ATS last five games.
- San Francisco is 4-1 ATS last five road games.
- Arizona is 5-2 ATS last seven games when facing San Francisco.
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