MLB Edge Plays for Wednesday, July 6

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Our VI sports betting experts break down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Wednesday, July 6. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 06/30/2025

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EDGE PLAYS TRACKER (49-47-4, -96)

WEDNESDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

• Guardians-Tigers Under 8 (-110) at BetMGM
• Athletics +1.5 (+100) at FanDuel
• Mets ML (-160) at WynnBet
• Angels-Marlins Under 7 (-110) at BetMGM
• Nationals-Phillies Over 8 (-104) at UniBet
• Rangers-Orioles Over 9.5 (-105) at WynnBet
• Cardinals-Braves Under 9 (-118) at FanDuel
• Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145) at BetMGM

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

• Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSDT, BSGL, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-4, 3.16 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Michael Pineda (1-3, 3.62 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 7.8
• Venue O/U Record: 17-27-2

Best Bet: Under 8 (-110) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Detroit has seen the underdog win eight of nine home games.
• Detroit is 6-1 SU last seven games when facing Cleveland.
• Detroit is 4-1 SU last five home games.
• Cleveland is 1-4 SU last five road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Detroit has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.
• Detroit has gone UNDER the total in four of six home games.
• Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in six straight divisional games when playing during the daytime.
• UNDER has cashed in three of four meetings.
• Cleveland has gone UNDER in four of five games.

RUN LINE

• Cleveland is 1-5 ATS last six games.
• Detroit is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Cleveland.

Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics

• Time: 3:37 p.m. ET
• Network(s): NSCA, RSN, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Jose Berrios (6-4, 5.72 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: James Kaprielian (1-5, 5.43 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 7.3
• Venue O/U Record: 14-20-4

Best Bet: Athletics +1.5 (+100) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

• Toronto has seen the underdog win five straight games.
• Toronto is 0-5 SU last five games.
• Toronto is 1-4 SU last five road games.
• Oakland is 7-15 SU last 22 games.
• Oakland is 4-15 SU last 19 home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Oakland has gone UNDER the total in seven of eight games.
• UNDER has hit in five of six meetings.
• Toronto has gone OVER the total in 18 of 23 games.
• Toronto has gone OVER in six of eight road games.
• Oakland has gone UNDER the total in six of eight home games.

RUN LINE

• Toronto is 0-5 ATS last five games.
• Toronto is 1-4 ATS last five games when facing Oakland.
• Oakland is 4-2 ATS last six home games.
• Oakland is 5-0 ATS last five games.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds

• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): SNY, BSOH
• Away Pitcher: David Peterson (5-1, 3.24 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.53 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 10.9
• Venue O/U Record: 23-16-1

Best Bet: Mets ML (-160) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• New York has won 21 straight games when playing as the favorite after losing the game prior.
• Cincinnati is 2-11 SU last 13 home games.
• Cincinnati is 5-13 SU last 18 games.

RUN TOTAL

• New York has gone OVER the total in five of six games when facing the NL at night.
• New York has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.

RUN LINE

• Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing New York.
• Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
• Cincinnati is 2-8 ATS last 10 home games.
• New York is 2-6 ATS last eight games.

Los Angeles Angels at Miami Marlins

• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSW, BSFL
• Away Pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (7-4, 2.68 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Trevor Rogers (4-6, 5.56 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.7
• Venue O/U Record: 20-14-2

Best Bet: Under 7 (-110) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Miami has won 11 straight games when facing a team with a losing record.
• Los Angeles is 1-5 SU last six games.
• Los Angeles is 1-4 SU last five road games.
• Miami is 5-0 SU last five games.
• Miami is 8-2 SU last 10 home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in four straight games when facing the NL.
• UNDER has hit in four of five meetings.
• Los Angeles has gone UNDER in 15 of 21 games.
• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in eight of 11 road games.
• Miami has gone UNDER in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

• Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS last 10 games.
• Los Angeles is 6-14 ATS last 20 road games.
• Miami is 4-8 ATS last 12 games.
• Miami is 1-4 ATS last five home games.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

• Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): MASN, NCPA
• Away Pitcher: Josiah Gray (6-5, 4.22 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Aaron Nola (5-5, 3.13 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.6
• Venue O/U Record: 21-19-3

Best Bet: Over 8 (-104) at UniBet

MONEYLINE

• Washington has lost 12 straight divisional games when playing at night.
• Washington is 0-6 SU last six games.
• Washington is 1-13 SU last 14 games when facing Philadelphia.
• Philadelphia is 4-1 SU last five home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Washington has gone OVER the total in seven of eight divisional games when playing at night.
• OVER has cashed in 12 of last 14 meetings.
• Philadelphia has gone OVER the total in 12 of 18 home games.

RUN LINE

• Washington is 1-5 ATS last six games.
• Washington is 4-2 ATS last six road games.
• Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS last five home games.

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles

• Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSSW, MASN2
• Away Pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-4, 5.63 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Spenser Watkins (1-1, 4.61 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.3
• Venue O/U Record: 18-18-1

Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-105) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• Texas has lot 14 straight road games when opening as the favorite after losing on the road the game prior.
• Baltimore is 4-1 SU last five home games.
• Baltimore is 4-2 SU last six games when facing Texas.
• Texas is 1-5 SU last six games.

RUN TOTAL

• Baltimore has gone OVER the total in six straight home games when facing the AL West.
• OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
• Baltimore has gone OVER the total in 10 of 15 home games.
• Baltimore has gone UNDER the total in 11 of 15 games.
• Texas has gone OVER the total in six of nine games.
• Texas has gone OVER the total in seven of 10 road games.

RUN LINE

• Texas is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• Baltimore is 15-5 ATS last 20 games.
• Baltimore is 7-3 ATS last 10 home games.

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves

• Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ESPN, BSMW
• Away Pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-6, 2.61 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Max Fried (8-2, 2.66 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.3
• Venue O/U Record: 22-19-2

Best Bet: Under 9 (-118) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

• Atlanta has won eight straight home games when facing the NL Central.
• Atlanta is 4-1 SU last five games.
• Atlanta is 13-3 SU last 16 home games.
• Atlanta is 5-0 SU last five games when facing St. Louis.
• St. Louis is 1-5 SU last six road games.

RUN TOTAL

• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in six straight games when facing the NL East at night.
• UNDER has cashed in four of six meetings when playing in Atlanta.
• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in four of five road games.
• Atlanta has hit the UNDER in five straight home games.

RUN LINE

• Atlanta is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• Atlanta is 3-6 ATS last nine home games.
• St. Louis is 1-4 ATS last five games.
• St. Louis is 1-5 ATS lat six road games.
• Atlanta is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing St. Louis.

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSAZ, NSBA, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Alex Cobb (3-3, 4.59 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Merrill Kelly (7-5, 3.46 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.4
• Venue O/U Record: 14-26-3

Best Bet: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• San Francisco has lost six straight games as the favorite.
• Arizona is 4-1 SU last five home games.
• Arizona is 4-20 SU last 24 games when facing San Francisco.
• San Francisco is 1-6 SU last seven road games.
• San Francisco is 0-5 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

• Arizona has gone OVER the total in four of six home games.
• OVER has hit in five of seven meetings.
• San Francisco has gone UNDER the total in five of six games when facing the NL at night.

RUN LINE

• Arizona is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing San Francisco.
• San Francisco is 0-5 ATS last five games.
• San Francisco is 12-5 ATS last 17 road games.
• Arizona is 4-1 ATS last five home games.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers