MLB Edge Plays for Monday, July 11

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Our VI sports betting experts break down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Monday, July 11. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for today's games. Also, get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 07/05/2025

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MONDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

• Tigers +1.5 (-155) at WynnBet
• White Sox-Guardians Under 9 (+100) at BetMGM
• Phillies-Cardinals Under 8 (-120) at DraftKings
• Athletics-Rangers Over 8.5 (-110) at BetMGM
• Rockies ML (+140) at WynnBet
• Padres-Rockies Under 12 (-110) at BetMGM
• Diamondbacks-Giants Over 7.5 (-115) at BetMGM

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

• Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSDT, BSKC, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.7
• Venue O/U Record: 20-21-2

Best Bet: Tigers +1.5 (-155) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• Kansas City has lost eight straight games when playing during the daytime after winning at home the game prior.
• Detroit is 6-2 SU last eight games.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in nine of 10 meetings.

RUN LINE

• Detroit is 6-2 ATS last eight games.
• Detroit is 4-2 ATS last six road games.
• Kansas City is 2-4 ATS last six games.
• Kansas City is 2-6 ATS last eight home games.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): NSCH, CSCH, BSGL
• Away Pitcher: Lance Lynn (1-1, 5.33 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-5, 3.86 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
• Venue O/U Record: 19-17-1

Best Bet: Under 9 (+100) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Cleveland has won 10 straight games when facing Chicago after losing the game prior.
• Cleveland is 1-6 SU last seven games.
• Cleveland is 4-1 SU last five games when facing Chicago.
• Chicago is 4-1 SU last five road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Chicago has gone UNDER the total in three of four games.
• Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in six of nine games.
• Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in five of seven home games.
• UNDER has hit in four of six meetings.

RUN LINE

• Cleveland is 5-13 ATS last 18 games.
• Cleveland is 3-8 ATS last 11 home games.
• Cleveland is 6-3 ATS last nine games when facing Chicago.
• Chicago is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
• Chicago is 7-1 ATS last eight road games.
• Chicago is 2-5 ATS last seven games when playing in Cleveland.

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals

• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSMW, NSPA
• Away Pitcher: Aaron Nola (5-6, 3.15 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Miles Mikolas (5-7, 2.72 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.1
• Venue O/U Record: 23-19-1

Best Bet: Under 8 (-120) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

• St. Louis has lost 11 straight games when facing Philadelphia after winning the game prior.
• St. Louis is 2-6 SU last eight games.
• St. Louis is 2-4 SU last six games when facing Philadelphia
• Philadelphia is 5-2 SU last seven road games.

RUN TOTAL

• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in nine straight games when facing the NL East at night.
• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in five straight home games.
• UNDER has cashed in five of six meetings.
• UNDER has cashed in seven of eight meetings in St. Louis.
• Philadelphia has gone UNDER the total in six of seven road games.

RUN LINE

• St. Louis is 1-7 ATS last eight games.
• St. Louis is 1-5 ATS last six game when facing Philadelphia.
• Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS last seven road games.
• Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS last four games when facing St. Louis.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ATRM, BSSD
• Away Pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-4, 4.18 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Jose Urena (0-0, 2.51 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 11.4
• Venue O/U Record: 22-20-2

Best Bet: Rockies ML (+140) at WynnBet
Best Bet: Under 12 (-110) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Colorado has won 10 straight home games when facing San Diego as the underdog.
• Colorado is 7-2 SU last nine home games.
• San Diego is 1-4 SU last five games.
• San Diego 2-7 SU last nine road games.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in five of last six meetings in Denver.
• Colorado has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.
• UNDER has hit in seven of 10 meetings.
• San Diego has gone UNDER the total in four of five road games.

RUN LINE

• Colorado is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
• Colorado is 7-2 ATS last nine home games.
• Colorado is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing San Diego.
• San Diego is 0-5 ATS last five games.
• San Diego is 2-7 ATS last nine road games.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

• Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSAZ, NSBA, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Merrill Kelly (7-5, 3.42 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Alex Cobb (3-3, 4.74 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.1
• Venue O/U Record: 21-17-3

Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-115) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Arizona has lost 17 straight divisional road games when facing a team with a winning record.
• Arizona is 1-4 SU last five games.
• Arizona is 1-5 SU last six road games.
• San Francisco is 21-4 SU last 25 vs. Arizona.
• San Francisco is 3-7 SU last 10 games.

RUN TOTAL

• OVER has hit in seven of eight meetings in San Francisco.
• OVER has hit in six of eight meetings.

RUN LINE

• Arizona is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
• Arizona is 2-4 ATS last six road games.
• San Francisco is 4-8 ATS last 12 games.
• San Francisco is 1-4 ATS last five games when facing Arizona.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers