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MLB Edge Plays for Thursday, July 14

Kevin Rogers
Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert
8 minute read

Our VI sports betting experts break down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Thursday, July 14. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for all of today's games! Also, get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 04/25/2024
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THURSDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

  • Pirates +1.5 (-140) at DraftKings
  • Rockies +1.5 (-130) at DraftKings
  • Braves -1.5 (-130) at DraftKings
  • Reds-Yankees Under 8.5 (-125) at SI
  • Rays ML (-125) at WynnBet
  • Tigers-Guardians Under 8.5 (-115) at FanDuel
  • Cardinals +1.5 (-122) at Unibet
  • White Sox-Twins Under 8.5 (-105) at DraftKings
  • Mets ML (-133) at WynnBet
  • Mariners-Rangers Over 8.5 (-113) at Unibet
  • Astros -1.5 (+105) at BetMGM
  • Brewers-Giants Under 6.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins

  • Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): MLBN, ATPT, BSFL
  • Away Pitcher: Zach Thompson (3-6, 4.38 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Brice Garrett (1-3, 4.33 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 21-16-3

Best Bet: Pirates +1.5 (-140) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

  • Miami has lost eight straight games when facing Pittsburgh after winning the game prior.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU last six games.
  • Pittsburgh is 7-15 SU last 22 road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Pittsburgh has gone OVER the total in five straight games after losing in extra innings the game prior.
  • Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the total in six of eight games.
  • Miami has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.

RUN LINE

  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS last six games.
  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS last six games when facing Miami.
  • Miami is 3-7 ATS last 10 games.
  • Miami is 1-8 ATS last nine home games.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

  • Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): MLBN, ATRM, BSSD
  • Away Pitcher: Blake Snell (1-5, 4.66 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Kyle Freeland (4-7, 4.70 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 11.4
  • Venue O/U Record: 23-22-3

Best Bet: Rockies +1.5 (-130) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

  • Colorado has won 12 of 13 home games when facing San Diego as the underdog.
  • San Diego is 4-12 SU last 16 games.
  • San Diego is 3-9 SU last 12 road games.
  • Colorado is 5-2 SU last seven games.
  • Colorado is 9-3 SU last 12 home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • UNDER has hit in four of five meetings.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.
  • San Diego has gone UNDER the total in six of eight road games.
  • Colorado has gone UNDER the total in six of nine games.

RUN LINE

  • San Diego is 0-6 ATS last six games.
  • San Diego is 1-6 ATS last seven road games.
  • Colorado is 6-0 ATS last six home games when facing San Diego.
  • Colorado is 10-2 ATS last 10 home games.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSE, MASN
  • Away Pitcher: Kyle Wright (10-4, 2.97 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Anibal Sanchez (-)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.9
  • Venue O/U Record: 21-26

Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (-130) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

  • Atlanta has won 12 straight games when facing a team with a losing record at night.
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU last five games when facing Washington
  • Atlanta is 7-3 SU last 10 games.
  • Atlanta is 13-4 SU last 17 road games.
  • Washington is 0-5 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

  • OVER has hit in five straight meetings when playing in Washington, D.C.
  • Atlanta has gone UNDER the total in 10 of 12 games.
  • OVER has hit in 10 of 14 meetings.
  • Washington has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

  • Atlanta is 1-4 ATS last five games.
  • Atlanta is 5-2 ATS last seven road games.
  • Atlanta is 5-1 ATS last six games when playing in Washington, D.C.
  • Washington is 2-5 ATS last seven home games.

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): YES, BSOH
  • Away Pitcher: Luis Castillo (3-4, 2.92 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Nestor Cortes (7-3, 2.74 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 7.8
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-25-1

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-125) at SI

MONEYLINE

  • New York has won 11 straight home games when playing at night after going into extra innings the game prior.
  • Cincinnati is 5-1 SU last six games.
  • Cincinnati is 1-6 SU last seven games when playing in the Bronx.
  • New York is 20-3 SU last 23 home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • New York has gone UNDER the total in nine of 10 home games after going into extra innings the game prior.
  • Cincinnati has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.
  • UNDER has hit in 12 of 18 meetings.

RUN LINE

  • Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS last five games.
  • Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS last 13 road games.
  • New York is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • New York is 3-8 ATS last 11 home games.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): NESN, SUN, MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Kutter Crawford (2-2, 4.50 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (5-3, 3.11 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 7.6
  • Venue O/U Record: 19-23-1

Best Bet: Rays ML (-125) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Tampa Bay has won six straight divisional games when playing at night.
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU last six home games when facing Boston.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU last eight home games.
  • Boston is 2-7 SU last nine games.
  • Boston is 1-5 SU last six road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Boston has gone UNDER the total in four of five road games.
  • Tampa Bay has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.
  • UNDER has hit in seven of nine meetings.
  • Boston has gone OVER the total in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

  • Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS last seven games when facing Boston.
  • Boston is 2-4 ATS last six games.
  • Boston is 1-5 ATS last six road games.
  • Boston is 1-4 ATS last five games when playing in Tampa Bay.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSDT, BSGL
  • Away Pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez (0-2, 11.51 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Triston McKenzie (6-6, 3.47 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.3
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-20-1

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115) at FanDuel

MONEYLINE

  • The underdog has won five straight meetings.
  • Detroit is 1-5 SU last six games.
  • Detroit is 1-5 SU last six road games.
  • Cleveland is 3-8 SU last 11 games.
  • Cleveland is 0-5 SU last five games when facing Detroit.

RUN TOTAL

  • Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in five of six home games.
  • Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in four of five games.
  • UNDER has hit in four of five meetings when playing in Cleveland.

RUN LINE

  • Detroit is 1-5 ATS last six games.
  • Detroit is 1-5 ATS last six road games.
  • Cleveland is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
  • Cleveland is 4-1 ATS last five home games.
  • Cleveland is 16-7 ATS last 23 home games when facing Detroit.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSMW, SNLA, MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Tyler Anderson (9-1, 3.15 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Daniel Hudson (6-5, 4.00 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.3
  • Venue O/U Record: 25-20-1

Best Bet: Cardinals +1.5 (-122) at Unibet

MONEYLINE

  • Los Angeles has won 10 of 11 games when facing the NL at night.
  • St. Louis is 8-3 SU last 11 home games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 8-1 SU last nine games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Los Angeles has gone OVER the total in five straight road games when facing the NL Central.
  • St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in nine of 11 games.
  • St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in six of eight home games.

RUN LINE

  • St. Louis is 6-3 ATS last nine home games.
  • St. Louis is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 2-9 ATS last 11 games when playing in St. Louis.
  • Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS last five road games.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): CSCH, BSNO
  • Away Pitcher: Johnny Cueto (3-4, 2.91 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Sonny Gray (4-2, 3.03 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8
  • Venue O/U Record: 18-24-3

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-105) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

  • Minnesota has seen the underdog win four of five home games when facing Chicago.
  • Minnesota is 2-4 SU last six games.
  • Minnesota is 5-2 SU last seven home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Minnesota has gone UNDER the total in eight of nine home games.
  • OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
  • Minnesota has gone OVER the total in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

  • Minnesota is 1-4 ATS last five home games.
  • Minnesota is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing Chicago.
  • Chicago is 3-8 ATS last 11 games.

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs

  • Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): MARQ, SNY
  • Away Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (9-4, 4.55 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Keegan Thompson (7-3, 3.04 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-20-6

Best Bet: Mets ML (-133) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

  • Chicago has seen the underdog win five straight home games.
  • New York is 4-2 SU last six road games.
  • Chicago is 18-6 SU last 24 games when facing New York.
  • Chicago is 0-6 SU last six games.

RUN TOTAL

  • UNDER has cashed in four of five meetings.
  • New York has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.

RUN LINE

  • New York is 2-4 ATS last six games.
  • New York is 4-2 ATS last six road games.
  • New York is 2-9 ATS last 12 games when facing Chicago.
  • Chicago is 1-5 ATS last six games.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers

  • Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSSW, RTNW, MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Marco Gonzales (5-9, 3.24 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Martin Perez (7-2, 2.72 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.2
  • Venue O/U Record: 20-21-2

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-113) at Unibet

MONEYLINE

  • Seattle has won 10 straight games.
  • Texas is 4-2 SU last six games.
  • Texas is 4-2 SU last six home games.
  • Seattle is 9-2 SU last 11 games when facing Texas.
  • Seattle is 10-1 SU last 11 road games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Texas has gone OVER the total in six of seven home games.
  • Texas has gone OVER the total in five of six games.
  • Seattle has gone OVER the total in five of seven games.
  • Seattle has gone OVER the total in 15 of 23 road games.

RUN LINE

  • Texas is 4-2 ATS last six games.
  • Seattle is 7-3 ATS last 10 games when facing Texas.
  • Seattle is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
  • Seattle is 6-1 ATS last seven road games.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

  • Time: 8:07 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSW, ATSW
  • Away Pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-4, 2.64 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Reid Detmers (2-3, 4.22 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
  • Venue O/U Record: 18-25-3

Best Bet: Astros -1.5 (+105) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

  • Houston has won eight straight games when facing the AL after losing the game prior.
  • Houston is 11-3 SU last 14 games.
  • Houston is 4-1 SU last five games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Houston is 5-2 SU last seven road games.
  • Los Angeles is 1-5 SU last six games.
  • Los Angeles is 4-2 SU last six home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Houston has gone OVER the total in six straight games when facing the AL at night.
  • OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
  • Los Angeles has gone OVER the total in four of five games.

RUN LINE

  • Houston is 14-6 ATS last 20 games.
  • Houston is 16-8 ATS last 24 games when facing Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles is 4-8 ATS last 12 home games.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants

  • Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Network(s): BSWI, NSBA, MLBN
  • Away Pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.20 ERA)
  • Home Pitcher: Carlos Rodon (8-5, 2.70 ERA)
  • Venue Runs Per Game: 9.1
  • Venue O/U Record: 22-19-3

Best Bet: Under 6.5 (-1155) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

  • Milwaukee has won six straight road games after losing the game prior.
  • Milwaukee is 2-5 SU last seven games.
  • Milwaukee is 8-3 SU last 11 road games.
  • San Francisco is 4-1 SU last five games.
  • San Francisco is 2-5 SU last seven home games.

RUN TOTAL

  • Milwaukee has gone UNDER the total in five of six games.
  • UNDER has hit in five of six meetings.
  • San Francisco has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.

RUN LINE

  • Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
  • Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS last 10 road games.
  • San Francisco is 8-3 ATS last 11 games when facing Milwaukee.
  • San Francisco is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
  • San Francisco is 5-10 ATS last 15 home games.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers
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