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Last Updated Jul 31, 2022, 12:27 PM

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Picks, Predictions, Odds

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Analysis

The Twins and the Padres will square off at Petco Park for the second of a three-game set on Saturday, July 30, 2022.

The Twins are the top team in the American League Central with a 52-47 ledger. However, Minnesota is 25-25 away from Target Field. The Padres begin Saturday’s play with a 56-45 record, good for second place in the National League West. The Dodgers lead San Diego by 12 games despite the Padres' solid 25-21 ledger at home.

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Prediction

The Padres send RHP Joe Musgrove to the hill against Minnesota’s 10th ranked scoring offense on Saturday night (4.54 RSPG), who’s having the best campaign of his seven-year career sitting 8-3 with a 2.63 ERA across 17 starts this season (0.99 WHIP), despite surrendering four runs or more in back-to-back outings (10.1 IP, 7.84 ERA).

On the flip side, the Twins send RHP Sonny Gray to the mound against San Diego’s 16th ranked scoring offense tonight (4.38 RSPG), who’s posted solid numbers in his first campaign with Minnesota sitting 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA across 14 appearances (1.10 WHIP), despite going 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA across four starts in the month of July (1.45 WHIP).

I’ll back the Padres to cover here, as Gray has tossed five innings or less and allowed three runs or more in four of his last six starts for the Twins (5.34 ERA, 1.32 WHIP); setting the stage for an unfavorable matchup against the Padres and Musgrove, who’s still 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA across his last 13 outings for San Diego (1.02 WHIP).

Score Prediction: Padres 6, Twins 3
Best Bet: Padres -1.5 (+155)

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Betting Resources

  • Date: Saturday, July 30, 2022
  • Matchup: AL Central vs. NL West
  • Venue: Petco Park
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Time-TV: 7:15 p.m. ET – FOX

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres – Current Form

The Twins won 2-0 against the Tigers last Sunday, but lost 0-2 to the Brewers in their next game on Wednesday. Minnesota held Detroit to just one run on Sunday, which was the Twins' best pitching result the last two series. The Twins were the weakest on Wednesday, when the Brewers scored 10 runs in game two of a two-contest series against them. San Diego captured its series against the New York Mets, 2-1, but fell to the Tigers on Wednesday. The Mets scored only one run against San Diego on Friday, which was the Padres' best result in the last two series.

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres – Pitching Matchup

Minnesota: Sonny Gray (5-3, 3.52 ERA)

Sonny Gray will make his 15th start of the season for Minnesota, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 5-3 record and 3.52 ERA thus far, while tallying a 1.10 WHIP, 18 walks, and 64 strikeouts across 69 innings of action. Minnesota’s 32-year-old right-hander earned the win in his last start, which came on the road against the Detroit Tigers July 24, 2022. He allowed one run on two hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a Twins victory. Gray is 3-2 with a 2.97 ERA across six starts on the road this season, which includes five walks, 19 strikeouts, and a 0.79 WHIP over 30.1 innings of action.

San Diego: Joe Musgrove (8-3, 2.63 ERA)

Joe Musgrove takes the hill for San Diego in this contest as he makes his 11th start of the season hoping to build some positive momentum after giving up four runs or more in back-to-back starts. Despite his recent struggles, Musgrove is 8-5 with a 2.63 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP, 25 walks and 106 strikeouts over 109.1 innings of work this season. Musgrove owns a record of 3-1 at home this season, and in those outings, he posted a 2.20 ERA, a 0.93 WHIP, 11 walks, and 43 strikeouts in 45 innings of work.

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres – Series History

Minnesota went 3-1 overall in the 2017 head-to-head meetings.

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