Last Updated Oct 07, 2022, 8:25 PM

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Seattle Mariners (90-72) will cross the border Friday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (92-70) in the AL Wild Card round. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario and can be viewed on ESPN. 

SEATTLE MARINERS at TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PREDICTION

Seattle finished the regular season 16.0 games behind the Astros for lead of the AL West and finished second in the AL Wild Card race. The Mariners won three of four against the Tigers in their final series of the season and seven of their last 10 games. The offense was solid over that stretch, averaging 4.8 runs per game. This is a bit higher than their season average of 4.25 runs scored per game. The bullpen did not play quite as well over their last 10 with an ERA of 4.70. This is well above their season ERA of 3.59 (8th). Right-handed pitcher Luis Castillo (8-6, 2.99 ERA) is scheduled to start Friday.  

Toronto finished the season second in the AL East standings, seven games behind the Yankees and finished first in the AL Wild Card race. The Blue Jays most recently won of two of three against the Orioles and have won seven of their last 10 games. The offense has averaged a massive 5.40 runs over that stretch, even better than their season average of 4.78 runs per game. The bullpen has also been great with a team ERA of 2.60 over their last 10 games. The right-hander Alek Manoah (16-7, 2.24 ERA) is expected to take the mound Friday.  

I like the Blue Jays to take game one of this series. Manoah should have a solid outing at home and get some help from an offense that has been on fire as of late. Seattle should keep it close, but I like Toronto moneyline in game one of this Wild Card matchup.  

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Mariners 3 
Best Bet: Blue Jays ML (-132)

SEATTLE MARINERS at TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING ODDS

SEATTLE MARINERS at TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Friday, October 7, 2022
  • Matchup: AL West vs. AL East
  • Venue: Rogers Centre
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
  • Time-TV: 4:07 p.m. ET – ESPN
  • Expert Picks

SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Mariners finished the season 90-72 SU and 83-79 ATS. They also played well on the road with a 44-37 SU record. The total has gone over in four of Seattle’s last five games. The total has also gone over in four of their last five games when playing on the road against Toronto. Seattle is 3-7 SU in their last 10 road games but 10-2 SU in their last 12 games against an AL East opponent.  

Seattle's offense has been inconsistent throughout most the season. As a team they have a batting average of .230 (13th), on base percentage of .315 (16th), slugging percentage of .390 (17th) and have scored 690 total runs (18th). The third baseman Eugenio Suarez has been a big part of the offense with a batting average of .236 (128-543), 31 home runs, and 87 RBIs. Center fielder Julio Rodriguez has also stepped up with a batting average of .284 (145-511), 28 home runs, and 75 RBIs.  

The Mariners bullpen has been the heart and soul of this team this season. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .235 (10th), have a WHIP of 1.19 (8th), and an ERA of 3.59 (8th). The right-hander Luis Castillo is expected to start game one for Seattle. Castillo is 8-6 SU this season with an ERA of 2.99 and has given up 118 hits, 50 earned runs, and struck out 167 batters in 148.7 innings of work. Castillo pitched one game against this Toronto this season when he was with the Reds and gave up seven hits and two runs in 6.0 innings.  

Toronto has gone OVER the run total in five of seven games. (Getty)

TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING ANALYSIS

Toronto finished this season 92-70 SU and 75-87 ATS. The total has gone over in five of their last seven games and four of their last five games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in four of their last five when playing at home against Seattle. The Blue Jays are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent from the AL West division.  

The Blue Jays offense have been having a great season. As a team they have a batting average of .264 (1st), on base percentage of .329 (3rd), slugging percentage of .431 (3rd) and have scored 775 total runs (4th). First baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr has been a monster with a batting average of .274 (175-638), 32 home runs, and 97 RBIs. Shortstop Bo Bichette has had a nice season as well with a batting average of .290 (189-652), 24 home runs, and 93 RBIs.  

Toronto’s bullpen has not played as well as the offense has but have still managed to get the job done. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .247 (19th), have a WHIP of 1.23 (11th), and team ERA of 3.87 (15th). Right-handed pitcher Alek Manoah is scheduled to start Friday. Manoah went 16-7 SU this season with an ERA of 2.24 and gave up 143 hits, 49 earned runs, and struck out 173 batters in 190.2 innings. In his one start against Seattle this season, Manoah went 7.1 innings while giving up three hits and two runs.  

KEY PLAYERS

  • SEA: Julio Rodriguez - OF (-)
  • SEA: Eugenio Suarez - 3B (-)
  • TOR: Vlad Guerrero, Jr. - 1B (-)
  • TOR: Bo Bichette - SS (-)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

  • SEA: Luis Castillo - RHP (-)
  • TOR: Alek Manoah - RHP (-)
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