Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Cleveland Guardians will take on the New York Yankees Friday after Thursday's postponed game, for game-two of the ALDS. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York and can be viewed on TBS.  

Updated on 06/16/2024
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The Guardians could not get anything going in game-one of this series as they lost with a final score of 4-1. The offense managed just six hits, one run, and went 0-7 with runners in scoring position. Cleveland has scored just four runs over their past three games which is not going to cut it considering the Yankees are one of the highest scoring teams in baseball. The bullpen was not terrible as starting pitcher Cal Quantrill went 5.0 innings and while giving up four hits and four runs. The other three pitchers used allowed only one hit and zero runs. The right-hander Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) is scheduled to start on Friday.  

The Yankees looked solid in their first playoff win of the season on Tuesday. The offense was not super productive, but managed five hits, four runs, and went 1-2 with runners in scoring position. The first baseman Anthony Rizzo hit a clutch two run bomb in the bottom of the sixth to put the Yankees up three. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole pitched well, going 6.1 innings while giving up four hits and one run. The three other pitchers used also played well, giving up a combined two hits and zero runs in 2.2 innings of work. Southpaw pitcher Nestor Cortes (12-4, 2.44 ERA) is expected to start Friday. 

 I don’t to count the Guardians out too quickly, but there is a chance Cleveland gets swept in this series. They do not have the offensive fire power to keep up with the Yankees and their bullpen is outmatched by New York’s lineup that is filled with talent. I’m not crazy about playing the total here because the Yankees can put up runs at will, but I do like the Yankees moneyline in this game-two matchup. If you’re looking for more juice you can play the runline, but the moneyline is the play if you can get it at -150 or better.  

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 3
Best Bet: Yankees ML (-130)


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  • Date: Friday, October 14, 2022
  • Matchup: AL Central vs. AL East
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Location: Bronx, New York
  • Time-TV: 1:07 p.m. ET – TBS
  • Expert Picks


The Guardians are 94-71 SU and 87-78 entering game-two. Cleveland is 5-2 SU in their last seven games and 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road. They have struggled against the Yankees as of late with a 1-6 SU record over their last seven games against the Yankees. The total has gone over in six of their last nine games and four of their last six when playing on the road against New York. 

 As mentioned before, Cleveland’s offense has scored just four total runs in their three playoff games. This is not too surprising knowing that during the regular season they hit the second lowest amount of home runs in the league. They are not going to beat the Yankees playing small ball so there needs to be some sort of adjustment made if they want to stand a chance in this series. The third baseman Jose Ramirez has been the most productive Guardian since the postseason began, going 4-13 with one home run and two RBIs. Throughout the season Cleveland had a batting average of .254 (7th), on base percentage of .316 (12th), slugging percentage of .383 (21st) and scored 698 runs (T-15th).  

The Guardians relied heavily on their bullpen this season and have pitched well in the postseason thus far, giving up just one run in two games to the Tampa Bay Rays and four runs in game-one of this series with the Yankees. Right-handed pitcher Shane Bieber is expected to take the mound Thursday. Bieber went 13-8 with an ERA of 2.88 this season and gave up 172 hits, 64 earned runs, and struck out 198 batters in 200.0 innings of work. This will be Bieber’s first outing of the season against the Yankees.   

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New York is 100-63 SU and 73-90 ATS after Tuesday’s win. The Yankees are 13-5 SU over their last 18 games and 10-2 SU in their last 12 home games. The total has gone over in 13 of their last 21 games against Cleveland and four of their last six when playing at home against Cleveland. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in five of their last six games.

 Compared to their regular season stats, the Yankees offense had a slow day at the office on Tuesday with just five total hits. The first baseman Anthony Rizzo had the most production on the day, going 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Aside from that, not a whole lot of activity on the stat sheet for New York. However, they did have arguably the best offense in the league throughout the season with a batting average of .241 (15th), on base percentage of .325 (5th), slugging percentage of .426 (4th) and scored 807 runs (2nd).  

The Yankees bullpen handled business on Tuesday like they have been all season, allowing opponents a batting average of .219 (3rd), a WHIP of 1.12 (3rd), and team ERA of 3.30 (3rd). The left hander Nestor Cortes is scheduled to start game-two. Cortes went 12-4 with an ERA of 2.44 this season and gave up 108 hits, 43 earned runs, and struck out 163 batters in 158.1 innings of work. In his one start against Cleveland this season, Cortes went 6.0 innings while giving up three hits and one run. 


  • CLEJose Ramirez - 3B (Last Game: 2-3, BB)
  • CLE: Steven Kwan - LF (Last Game: 2-4, BB, HR, RBI)
  • NYY: Aaron Judge - CF (Last Game: 0-3, BB, 3 K)
  • NYY: Giancarlo Stanton - DH (Last Game: 0-2. BB)


  • CLE: Shane Bieber - RHP (-)
  • NYY: Nestor Cortes - LHP (-)