Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Houston Astros will travel to take on the Seattle Mariners Saturday for game-three of the ALDS. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07 PM ET at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington and can be viewed on TBS.  

Updated on 04/26/2024

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HOUSTON ASTROS vs. SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PREDICTION

The Astros will head to Seattle with a 2-0 series lead after winning game-two on Thursday. The offense finished with just six hits and went 1-6 with runners in scoring position but managed to score four runs thanks to a solo home run by Kyle Tucker in the second inning and a two-run shot by Yordan Alvarez in the bottom of the sixth. Starting pitcher Framber Valdez went 5.2 innings while giving up four hits and two runs. The other four pitchers used were great, allowing a combined one hit and zero runs inn 3.1 innings of work. The right-hander Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27 ERA) is scheduled to start game-three.  

Seattle held a 2-1 lead through five innings in game-two, but once again could not hang onto the lead for a full nine innings. The offense finished with five hits and two runs on the day while going 1-6 with runners in scoring position. Not a single Mariner had more than one hit and Seattle failed to hit any balls out of the park. Starting pitcher Luis Castillo gave up five hits and three runs in 7.0 innings of work. Andres Munoz was the only other pitcher used and gave up one hit and one run in 1.0 innings. Right-handed pitcher George Kirby (8-5, 3.39 ERA) is expected to start Saturday.  

I like the Astros in game-three as I’m not sure the Mariners will recover from their devastating game-one loss. I also like the total to go over as I expect both teams to put up runs in this matchup. Anticipate a close one throughout and for Houston to pull away towards the end of the game. Backing the Astros MoneyLine and the over here.  

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Mariners 3
Best Bet: Over 7 Runs (-105)

HOUSTON ASTROS vs. SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING ODDS

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HOUSTON ASTROS vs. SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Saturday, October 15, 2022
• Matchup: AL West
• Venue: T-Mobile Park
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Time-TV: 4:07 p.m. ET – TBS
• Expert Picks

HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING ANALYSIS

Houston is 108-56 SU and 87-77 ATS after Thursday’s win. The Astros are 6-1 SU in their last seven games and 8-1 SU in their last nine games against the Mariners. The total has gone under in five of the Astro’s last seven games. Going against this trend, the total has gone over in four of their last seven games against Seattle. 

 The Astros offense has made a comeback in back-to-back games against the Mariners. This is something they did quite often in the regular season with a batting average of .248 (12th), on base percentage of .319 (7th), slugging percentage of .424 (5th) and scored 737 runs (8th). Yordan Alvarez was the hero once again in game-two as he hit a two-run go-ahead home run in the sixth inning. Alvarez is now 4-8 with two home runs and 7 RBIs this postseason. The second baseman Jose Altuve is still searching for his first hit in the playoffs. Once he gets going this team will be beyond dangerous.  

Houston’s bullpen was one of the best in the league this season and it has shown in the first two games of this series. Throughout the regular season they allowed opponents a batting average of .212 (2nd), had a WHIP of 1.09 (2nd), and team ERA of 2.90 (2nd). Right-handed pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. Is expected to start Saturday. McCullers Jr went 4-2 SU this season with an ERA of 2.27 and gave up 37 hits, 12 earned runs, and struck out 50 batters in 47.2 innings. In his most recent outing on October 3rd, McCullers Jr gave up six hits and one run in 6.0 innings of work against the Phillies.  

SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING ANALYSIS

After Thursday’s loss the Mariners are now 92-74 SU and 86-80 ATS. The total has gone over in five of their last seven games and four of their last six against an AL opponent. The Mariners are 5-2 SU in their last seven games but just 1-8 SU in their last nine games against the Astros. Seattle has gone 7-3 SU in their last 10 home games.  

Seattle’s offense has jumped out to early leads in both game’s one and two of this series but cannot find a way to close things out. Throughout the regular season they had a batting average of .230 (27th), on base percentage of .315 (16th), slugging percentage of .390 (17th) and scored 690 runs (18th). The third baseman Eugenio Suarez has had a solid postseason thus far, going 6-16 at the plate with one home run and three RBIs. The second baseman Adam Frazier has also hit the ball well, going 5-16 at the plate with one RBI.  

The Mariners bullpen have had solid starts in game’s one and two, but things tend to fall apart once the relievers and closers enter the game. Throughout the regular season they held opponents to a batting average of .235 (10th), had a WHIP of 1.19 (8th), and team ERA of 3.59 (8th). The right-hander George Kirby is scheduled to start Saturday. Kirby went 8-5 SU with an ERA of 3.39 this season and gave up 135 hits, 49 earned runs, and struck out 133 batters in 130.0 innings of work. In his one outing against the Astros this season, Kirby gave up four hits and two runs in 4.0 innings.  

KEY PLAYERS

• SEA: Julio Rodriguez - CF (Last Game: 1-5, 2B)
• SEA: Eugenio Suarez - 3B (Last Game: 1-3, BB)
• HOU: Yordan Alvarez - DH (Last Game: 1-3, BB, HR, 2 RBI)
• HOU: Jose Altuve - 2B (Last Game: 0-4, K)

PROBABLE PITCHERS

• SEA: George Kirby - RHP (-)
• HOU: Lance McCullers Jr. - RHP (-)