Opening Line Report – Week 13
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
(Consensus Odds as of Tuesday)
Thursday, Nov. 29
New Orleans Saints (-7.5, 53) at Dallas Cowboys
This is a battle of first-place teams, but Vegas and bettors are loving the Saints. New Orleans is on a roll, and both of these teams are coming off a full week or rest since they each played on Thanksgiving.
William Hill opened the game at -7 1/2, and it quickly moved down to -7 within mere minutes. global at [...], the line has yo-yoed from -7 to -7 1/2 throughout the course of Sunday night into Monday morning, while settling back at 7 1/2 as of Tuesday AM. The total has bounced around, too, opening at 51 1/2, flying up to 53 1/2, before settling in the 53-point neighborhood.
Sunday, Dec. 2
Indianapolis Colts (-4, 47.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Colts have been enjoying the resurgence of QB Andrew Luck, who has been on the sidelines for the better part of two seasons. It was worth the wait, as he is in the midst of a streak of eight straight games with three or more touchdown passes. He is tied with former Colts signal caller Peyton Manning for the second-longest such streak, while trailing New England Patriots QB Tom Brady for the longest in NFL history (10 games).
The Colts are 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 games inside the division, while the Jaguars are 1-3-1 ATS in the past five at home, while going 0-3-1 ATS in the past four against AFC South foes. Indy is also 0-6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings, including a push in Indy when the Colts came away with a 29-26 victory.
Atlantis opened the game at -3 on Monday afternoon and it quickly shot up to -4 1/2 in the course of a few hours. Southpoint has held steady at -3 1/2 for Indy as of overnight Tuesday AM. global is where the majority of shops have the line at -4 1/2, where Vegas is mostly listing Indy at -4.
Carolina Panthers (-3.5, 56) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers are mired in a three-game slide, putting their once pretty solid playoff shot into serious jeopardy. They enter the game 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road, while the Bucs are 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine.
The Stratosphere opened the game at -4 and it fell to -3 1/2 by the overnight hours on Monday. at [...], the total moved up slightly from 55 1/2 to 56 in the matter of minutes, which is in line with most other global shops. The early money is on the Bucs, as bettors are not feeling the Cats on their three-game skid. It isn't a major move, though, as the line still has the Panthers at -3 1/2 all across the board in Vegas.
Baltimore Ravens (-1.5, 49) at Atlanta Falcons
There is some uncertainty with the total in this game, as it's unclear whether QB Joe Flacco (hip) will be able to return under center. After rookie QB Lamar Jackson played so well, perhaps Jackson keeps the job. Once head coach John Harbaugh offers clarity, the total will come out.
The line opened at -3 in favor of the Ravens, but the line is on the move. At Golden Nugget, the line opened at -2.5 and is down to -2, if you're feeling the Falcs. Caesars/Harrah's opened up at -2 1/2 and is down to -1 1/2, which is the same situation at [...] global. The early money on this game has been on the Falcons, and quite a bit.
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (-4.5, 45) The Browns are on a two-game heater, and they're actually on the fringe of the playoff discussion in the AFC. And it's almost December. Wacky.
Westgate SuperBook opened this game at -4 1/2, while global you can catch the Browns +5 at [...] if you like the road team. The Browns broke a 25-game road losing streak in Cincinnati in Week 12, but can they take down the first-place Texans?
Even after Houston's dominance on Monday night against Tennessee, the line has held steady at -4 1/2 at most shops.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-5, 40)
The Bills kept the slide going for the Jaguars in Week 12, while the Dolphins folded in the fourth quarter in Indianapolis, falling to the Colts 27-24. They were able to cover, however.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in the past five home games, although they're 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings with Buffalo. Westgate SuperBook opened the Dolphins at -6 1/2, moving to -6 within an hour, and down to just -5 as of early Tuesday morning. William Hill opened the game at -5 1/2, it moved up to -6, and is back down to -5. It appears that's where things will settle heading into mid-week.
Chicago Bears (-4.5, 45) at New York Giants
This game is off the board at most Vegas shops early on. You'll have to hit the global books if you want in on early action, as there is uncertain with the shoulder of QB Mitchell Trubisky. QB Chase Daniel looked good on Thanksgiving, however. [...] opened the Bears at -4 1/2, if you believe in Daniel, who could potentially start again. This is still a hard game to find a line with such uncertain in the Chicago quarterback situation.
Denver Broncos (-3.5, 42.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals QB Andy Dalton (thumb) suffered a thumb injury which was severe enough to land him on the season-ending Reserve/Injured list, so the Broncos remain a moderate road favorite. QB Jeff Driskel will start for the Bengals, and it's still uncertain if he'll have WR A.J. Green (toe) available.
The Broncos have consecutive wins against AFC frontrunners L.A. Chargers and Pittsburgh, so they're definitely running hot.
The Strat and Westgate SuperBook are offering up Denver -3 1/2, but those are the only Vegas shops open for business on this game so far.
Los Angeles Rams (-10, 54.5) at Detroit Lions
Westgate SuperBook opened this game at -8 1/2 and it quickly moved to -10 as of overnight Monday into Tuesday, getting in line with the Strat, William Hill, etc. [...] had this game at -7 briefly on Sunday, but it shot up to -9 1/2 with the course of three hours. If you're sitll feeling the Rams and want single digits, Treasure Island is the place to be, as you can still catch them at -9 for now.
Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers (-14.5, 44.5)
The Packers suffered several injuries to key positions, including along the offensive line, in Sunday's loss at Minnesota. There hasn't been a ton of movement on the line. The total varies from shop to shop, however. If you're feeling like it will be a high-scoring affair, hit Atlantis, Caesars or Westgate for a bargain at 44 1/2. Wynn was still holding steady at 45 as of Tuesday morning.
Kansas City Chiefs (-15, 55.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders were two-touchdown underdogs at home back in 2009 against the Eagles, and they won outright by a 13-9 score. In 2014, they were 16 1/2-point underdogs at Denver on Dec. 28, 2014 and they fell 47-14. The Chiefs head into this game 11-4 ATS in the past 15 trips to the Bay Area, while the road team is 21-9 ATS in the past 30.
Westgate SuperBook has the line up to -15 1/2, quickly moving up a half-point from an open of 15 after Oakland's uninspiring road loss in Baltimore. [...] opened the game at -13, and it quickly moved to -14 within a matter of minutes, and to -15 by the early-evening hours on Sunday to get in line with everyone else. If you're feeling the Chiefs, TI has the game list at -14 on Tuesday morning, while its at -15 1/2 at Stations if you like the home side.
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-9.5, OFF)
The Jets held QB Sam Darnold (foot) out on Sunday against the Patriots, as he was in a walking boot during the week. His status for Sunday's trip to Nashville is uncertain, so QB Josh McCown might be under center again. The Titans also played on Monday night, so this game has very little availability so far in terms of the total. Even after Tennessee was doubled up on MNF, they're still holding steady at -9 1/2 at most shops.
Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots (-6, 48.5)
This is a marquee game, as the Vikings and Patriots could potentially be a Super Bowl preview. [...] opened the game at -5 and the Pats quickly rose to -6 1/2 in the course of a few hours by overnight Monday. The total has remained steady at 48 1/2 across the board global. Jerry's Nugget still had the game at -5 1/2 as of Monday evening, while CG Technology opened at -7 and it was bet down to -6 in less thant 24 hours.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 46)
The Seahawks are flying again, forcing their way back into the NFC playoff picture after stealing one in Carolina over the weekend. The Strat and Westgate each opened the home side at a 10-point favorite. The money might fly in on Seattle this week, as the 49ers are 2-10-1 ATS in the past 13 meetings in this series, and 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven trips to the Pacific Northwest.
There hasn't been a ton of movement on this game yet, but if you really like the Seahawks and don't want to lay double digits, TI was offering the favorites at -9 1/2 into Tuesday morning.
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5, 51.5)
The Bolts hit the road with a 4-1 ATS mark over the past five on the road, while the Steelers are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 at home. However, Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS in the past six after a straight-up loss. This game was flexed in to the Sunday night spot, and it should be a shootout between QBs Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger.
Over the years the Chargers have had their troubles in the Steel City, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven trips to Pittsburgh and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 meetings overall. The Strat and Westgate SuperBook opened the game at -3 1/2 and it has held steady overnight into Monday. global, [...] opened the game at -4 and it went down to -3 1/2 to get in line with the Vegas shops.
If you love the Steelers at home, Jerry's Nugget and TI are the places to be at just -3.
Monday, Dec. 3
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, 44)
The Redskins lost QB Alex Smith to a gruesome leg injury in Week 11, and looked disjointed in a Thanksgiving showdown in Dallas. Of course, QB Colt McCoy wasn't tasked with making tackles, as the biggest problem for Washington was on defense against the Cowboys.
Philly is pretty much favored at -6 1/2 across the board, although you could still hit the road team at +7 at Wynn as of early Tuesday morning. It's a mixture of -6 1/2 and -7 across the board global, and there are plenty of -3 1/2 first-half lines favoring the defending champs, too, if you're into that.
Where to place a bet this NFL Season?
- Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
- Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
- Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.
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