Tech Trends – Week 14

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

15 minute read

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Week 14 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, and we've identified betting trends and angles for all the matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Thursday, Dec. 10

NEW ENGLAND at L.A. RAMS

• Belichick has covered last four as a dog in 2020, now 18-5 as dog since 2010.
• Belichick also “under” 9-4 last 13 since late 2019.
• Rams on 7-2 “under” run.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Patriots, based on “totals” and team trends.

Sunday, Dec. 13

TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE

• Titans “over” 10-2 in 2020, now “over” 20-5 since Tannehill took over at QB mid 2019.
• Jags “over” 14-10-1 last 24 since early 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

DALLAS at CINCINNATI

• Into Ravens on Tuesday, Dallas 2-9 vs. line TY, now 1-6 vs. spread last seven away.
• Also Cowboys 14-9 “over” since early 2019.
• Cincy 4-0-1 vs. line at home TY!

Tech Edge: Bengals and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

ARIZONA at N.Y. GIANTS

• G-Men 7-1-1 vs. line last nine TY, also 8-3-1 “under” in 2020.
• Cards no covers last five TY but did win and cover at MetLife vs. Jets on Oct. 1.

Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

HOUSTON at CHICAGO

• Romeo has won SU 3 of last 5 with Texans TY.
• Though Houston just 1-4 vs. line away TY.
• Bears 1-5 vs. spread last five TY, 9-23 last 31 since late 2018, and 24-11 “under” since mid 2018 (though “over” last two).

Tech Edge: Texans and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

DENVER at CAROLINA

• Panthers 0-2 as chalk TY, no covers last four in role since 2019.
• Carolina 2-4 vs. spread at Charlotte TY, 2-7-1 last ten vs. spread as host since mid 2019.
• Into KC on Sunday night, Denver actually 7-3 vs. spread last ten away, and Broncos back to trending “under” (3-0 last 3, now 23-12 “under” since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: Broncos and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY

• After covering 6 of 7, Vikes have dropped last three vs. line.
• Still, they’ve covered 4 straight on road, and now 9-4 last 13 vs. line as visitor.
• Vikes also “over” 8-3-1 TY and 17-5-1 “over” in reg season since early 2019.
• Bucs “over” 19-9 since Arians arrived LY.

Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Vikings, based on “totals” and team trends.

KANSAS CITY at MIAMI

• Dolphins have covered 7 of last 8, 9 of last 11, 18 of last 24 on board, and 13-5 last 18 as dog.
• Into Denver game on Sunday night, Andy Reid no covers last three TY, and only 3-3 vs. spread as visitor in 2020.

Tech Edge: Dolphins, based on recent trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at LAS VEGAS

• Indy has covered 4 of last 5 away TY, also “over” 3-1 last four and 7-5 in 2020, “over” 10-7 since late LY.
• Raiders “over” 8-3-1 TY, “over” 3-1-1 at Allegiant Stadium.
• Raiders 9-16-3 vs. line in second halves of season since 2017.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Colts, based on “totals” and team trends.

N.Y. JETS at SEATTLE

• Jets have covered 4 of last 6 TY though only 1-4 vs. spread away.
• J-Men also 5-3 “under” last 8 TY.
• Hawks 4-2 vs. line at newly-named Lumen Field TY (though a few close calls), also “under” last four TY.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Seahawks, based on “totals” and team trends.

GREEN BAY at DETROIT

• Lions have actually covered last 3 vs. Pack at Ford Field, though Detroit just 2-4 vs. line last six TY, and lost 42-21 at Lambeau on Sept. 20.
• Lions “over” 18-10 since LY, Pack on 9-5 “over” run since late 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Lions, based on “totals” and series trends.

ATLANTA at L.A. CHARGERS

• Falcs 4-3 SU and vs. line since Raheem Morris took over for Dan Quinn in October.
• Falcs also on 7-2 “under” run.
• Bolts no covers last six TY, and 4-13-2 last 19 vs. line since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Falcons and slight to “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

NEW ORLEANS at PHILADELPHIA

• Birds “under” last six TY, Saints “under” last five in 2020.
• Saints have also won and covered last five TY, part of 9-0 SU surge.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Saints, based on “totals” and team trends.

WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO (at Glendale, Az)

• Not sure about home-road designations now for 49ers as they play home games in Glendale.
• They were just 1-4 vs. spread at Levi’s.
• Into Bills on Monday, SF 4-2 “under” last six TY.
• In Pitt on Monday, WFT has won and covered last two in 2020, also “under” 4–1 last seven TY.

Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to WFT, based on “totals” and recent trends.

PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO

• Steel 4-1 vs. line away TY, though into SF on Monday, Bills had covered last three in 2020.
• Buff 7-3-1 as dog since last season.
• Buff also “over” 7-3-1 in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Monday, Dec. 14

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND

• Even after win at Tenn, Brownies just 2-5 vs. line last seven TY.
• Ravens have covered five of last six at Cleveland, Balt now 7-3 last ten vs. line in series, including wins last two by 24 ppg.

Tech Edge: Ravens, based on series trends.

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