Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:52 AM
Week 14 Parlay, Teaser & Prop Best Bets
Week 14 of the NFL season is here and VI is getting you ready for this slate of games with another bundle of free parlay and teaser suggestions to help bettors cash winning tickets or inspire them to build their own exotic selections.
After cashing my Week 13 Money Line Parlay, I have decided to raise the stakes a bit this time around with a straight parlay, in addition to my weekly teaser and touchdown props.
My selections for Week 14 can be found below.
NFL Week 14 Parlay Best Bets
2-Way Straight Parlay
- Arizona Cardinals -1.5 at N.Y. Giants (-110)
- Kansas City Chiefs -7 at Miami Dolphins (-110)
Payout: +264 at BetMGM
Everybody is hopping off the Cardinals’ bandwagon now that they have lost four of their last five games, and their only win over that span coming on the infamous DeAndre Hopkins Hail Mary catch that stunned the Bills at the buzzer nearly a month ago.
Kyler Murray has been playing with a banged-up shoulder for a few weeks now, while the Cardinals have also fallen victim to the schedule that brutally accompanies participants in the NFC West this year, matching up with the Bills, Rams, Patriots, Dolphins, and the Seahawks twice in their last six contests.
The Giants have somehow managed to win four games in a row and currently sit in first place in the NFC East thanks to a brilliantly coached defensive squad, but New York still remains stagnant on the offensive side of the ball, tallying under 20 points in half of their wins during this streak and scoring over 25 just once.
Arizona averages 27.7 points per game on offense, while the Giants have eclipsed that number just one time this season (L, DAL – 37-34).
Reports coming out of Giants’ camp this week are saying Daniel Jones (hamstring) is trending towards suiting up for this contest, but even if he does play, I expect to see a much less mobile version of the Duke-product which takes away a large part of his value.
The Giants will likely need to score 28+ points to keep up with the Cardinals this week, and I really believe neither of the quarterbacks that could potentially come out of New York’s stable this week will accomplish that feat.
I am going to take the Cardinals -1.5 here to snap the Giants’ 4- game winning streak.
Hopefully MVP front runner, Patrick Mahomes, and the Kansas City Chiefs packed their sunglasses and tank tops for this trip, because they will be visiting Miami Dolphins at 1 P.M. on Sunday afternoon and it is currently projected to be 81 degrees and sunny at the Hard Rock Stadium by kickoff.
If this game were being played in typical December weather, I may be hesitant to bet against a Miami defense ranked 2nd in the NFL in points allowed per game (17.7), but I believe the current forecast gives a huge edge to the Chiefs’ 2nd ranked scoring offense (30.8 ppg.) as they should have no difficulty stretching the field and moving the ball effectively.
While so much attention is placed on Miami’s stellar defense, Kansas City’s defense is no joke either, currently ranking in the top 10 in points allowed per game (6th), takeaways per game (9th), and opponent points per play (5th).
Dolphins’ quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, has completed under 61% of his passes in three out of his five starts so far this year, only notching truly respectable numbers against the Cardinals and Bengals.
I think the Chiefs are going to show up and make a statement against this young, talented Dolphins team on Sunday afternoon. Don’t be surprised if Ryan Fitzpatrick enters this game at some point, Tua is due for his first big-league interception. I’ll take Kansas City -7 by at least a touchdown to close out this parlay.
NFL Week 14 Teaser Best Bets
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5 vs Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans -1 at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Green Bay Packers -1.5 at Detroit Lions
Payout: +133 at BetMGM
Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have lost three of their last four games, but there is no need for Tampa Bay to panic quite yet, as it lost two of those contests by just a field goal (Chiefs and Rams) and the other one to Drew Brees’ Saints prior to his rib injury.
Vikings’ running-back, Dalvin Cook, has been nearly unstoppable so far this season, currently ranking 2nd in rushing yards (1250), 11th in yards per attempt (5.0), 1st in rushing touchdowns (13), and 2nd in rush attempts (251)…
But Cook will face his toughest task of the entire season this Sunday against a Tampa Bay defensive front ranking 1st in rushing yards allowed per game (74.2), 1st in yards allowed per attempt (3.3), and 3rd in opponent rushing touchdown percentage (24.24%).
I believe the Vikings’ offensive play script on Sunday will have to be primarily shifted into the hands of Kirk Cousins due to the Bucs’ stout run defense, and this game will ultimately become a quarterback battle between Brady and Cousins.
This is a tough matchup for the Vikings. I’ll take Brady over Kirk as the Buccaneers -1.5 get back on track against Minnesota.
No team has managed to be more confusing for bettors over the last calendar-year than the Tennessee Titans, but if there is one thing we know about them, it is that they REALLY like to run the ball, especially once we begin to approach the colder months.
Can you really blame them, though? Derrick Henry already ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (1317), 14th in yards per attempt (4.9), and 2nd in rushing touchdowns this season…
Last year during the month of December, he averaged a whopping 24 carries and over 137 rushing yards per game on 6 TD’s.
After losing to the Browns last week (41-35) in a game which Henry received only 16 touches, I believe Mike Vrabel will turn back to a run-heavy offensive scheme this week and find a great deal of success against a Jaguars’ defensive front ranking 30th in rushing yards allowed per game (136.9), 22nd in rushing touchdowns allowed per game (1.2), and currently allowing opposing rushers 4.4 yards per carry.
Jacksonville recently fired its GM and is clearly in the running for a top tier quarterback coming out of this year’s draft class. They have no reason to win this game. I like the Titans -1 in a bounce back situation here against the Jaguars.
The Lions fired head coach, Matt Patricia, after getting romped by the Texans on Thanksgiving (41-25), but last week they seemed to finally have a spark against the Bears (W – 34-30), as Detroit nabbed its 5th victory of the season under interim head coach, Darrell Bevell.
Unfortunately, I believe the Lions will be running directly into a metaphorical buzzsaw this week, as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers will make their annual trip to Detroit on Sunday, coming off wins in four of their last five games.
Over the last five weeks, the Packers have been absolutely torching defenses, averaging about 32 points per game, which can be mainly attributed to their All-Pro quarterback throwing 16 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions and completing over 70% of his passes during that span.
The Packers’ defense has been relatively alive in recent weeks as well, holding opposing offenses to 25 points or less in four of their last five contests.
In the first matchup between Green Bay and Detroit this season, the Packers blew out the Lions as running back Aaron Jones rumbled for 236 total yards and 3 touchdowns in what resulted in a career-day for him (W – 42-21).
I do not expect the Lions to get beat quite as badly this time around, but I just really think Detroit lacks the firepower to keep up with Green Bay in all aspects of the game this year. I’ll take the Packers -1.5 to close this teaser.
NFL Week 14 TD Prop Best Bets
Anytime Touchdown Props at BetMGM
N.Y. Giants RB Wayne Gallman (+150) vs. Arizona
In the Giants’ most recent contest against the Seattle Seahawks (W – 17-12), RB Wayne Gallman, posted a career high 135 rushing yards, but failed to reach the endzone for the first time in a start this season thanks to two short TD runs poached by Alfred Morris.
Prior to last week’s game, Gallman had punched in five touchdowns on the ground over six starts. I’ll back Gallman to score another touchdown here at +150 odds against a Cardinals’ defense ranking 21st in rushing yards allowed per game (123) and 21st in rushing yards allowed per attempt (4.5).
Dallas RB Ezekiel Elliott (-125) at Cincinnati
Ezekiel Elliott had a great start to the 2020 season, punching in 6 touchdowns over his first five games, but the injury to Dak Prescott and other crucial pieces of their offensive line has caused the Cowboys’ rushing attack to hit a steep decline over the last seven games or so.
The Bengals have been in the tank on both sides of the ball since the injury to Joe Burrow and after posting 95+ yards of total offense in two of his last three games, I believe Zeke is due to find the end zone as Dallas finally draws a matchup they could potentially win.
Chicago RB David Montgomery (+100) vs. Houston
Mitch Trubisky has been the starting quarterback for the Bears now in two consecutive games and while Chicago continues to struggle on the scoreboard, at least they are finally beginning to find an offensive identity through their run game.
Over the last two contests, RB David Montgomery has racked up over 250 yards of total offense and has punched in 3 TD’s, and now he gets a crack at a Houston defensive front ranking 31st in yards allowed per attempt (4.9) and 28th in rushing touchdowns allowed per game (1.3). Back Montgomery to score another TD here at even odds.