Tech Trends – Wild Card Round

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

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NFL Wild Card weekend will offer up three days of betting action, starting on Saturday, Jan. 15 and concluding on Monday, Jan. 16.

We've identified betting trends and angles for all of the matchups.

Also, we have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Saturday, Jan. 15

LAS VEGAS at CINCINNATI (NBC, 4:30 p.m.)

• Long time since either won in postseason (Raiders 2002 season, Bengals 1990 season).
• Vegas won last four and covered last three in 2021, 6-4 as dog this season, though one of those losses at hands of Cincy on Nov. 21.
• Bengals covered last four in 2021, though just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 as host.
• Cincy "over" 6-3 at home this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO (CBS, 8:15 p.m.)

• Belichick has won and covered 7 of last 8 at Orchard Park including Monday night win on December 6.
• Pats also 6-4 last ten as dog.
• Four of last five meetings at Buffalo have landed "under" as well.
• Bills "under" 7-3 last ten as host since late 2020.

Tech Edge: Patriots and slight to "under," based on series and "totals" trends.

Sunday, Jan. 16

PHILADELPHIA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Birds 7-2 vs. spread away, though Bucs 6-1 vs. spread last seven as host this season, and Brady 10-2 vs. spread last 12 at home.
• Philly also "over" 10-5 last 15, TB "over" 5-3 at home in 2021, though first meeting "under" back on Oct. 14.
• Bucs 4-0 SU in playoffs last season, 3-1 vs. line (failed to cover wild card at Wash).

Tech Edge: Bucs and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at DALLAS (CBS, 4:30 p.m.)

• Niners closed the season 7-2 SU and vs. number last nine, and covered five of last eight away.
• Cowboys won and covered 5 of last 6 this season, but note season-long domination of weak NFC East (6-0 SU and vs. line).
• Dallas also "under" 8-3 last 11 this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Niners and "under," based on recent and "totals" trends.

PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY (NBC, 8:15 p.m.)

• Tomlin 7-4 as dog this season, 10-5 in role since 2020, though wasn't close in Dec. 26 loss at Arrowhead.
• Chiefs 4-2 vs. spread in playoffs as host since 2018 season, had also covered 6 in a row prior to recent spread L's vs. Cincy & Denver.
• KC also covers last four at home this season and finished campaign with five straight "over" results.

Tech Edge: Slight to Chiefs and "over," based on recent and "totals" trends.

Monday, Jan. 17

ARIZONA at L.A. RAMS (ESPN/ABC, 8:15 p.m.)

• Sean McVay is 7-1 SU and vs. spread against Cards since taking over Rams in 2017, though the loss came this season at home.
• Which was part of Big Red's 8-1 SU and spread mark away in 2021.
• L.A. covered just 2 of its last 6 at SoFi this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Cards, based on recent trends.

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Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers